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Anybody worried the reported results won't match the exit polling?

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Brotherjohn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:46 PM
Original message
Anybody worried the reported results won't match the exit polling?
Diebold, anyone?

If this happens, it would be interesting to see if it occurred mostly in states/counties with touchscreen voting.

Related, I find it odd that all of a sudden, everybody trusts exit polls. I always have, for my part. They typically come very close to actual results (and did so in 2000, despite the perception they didn't)

It's what the new, paperless voting systems will report that I'm concerned about. I'm just glad there's exit polling again so that there's some check against what the counties/states report.
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veteran_for_peace Donating Member (372 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:47 PM
Response to Original message
1. I am concerned about that.
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deadparrot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:47 PM
Response to Original message
2. I'm ALWAYS worried, believe me.
I'm not putting anything past this slime of an administration.
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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:47 PM
Response to Original message
3. It's absolutely a possibility
however, we are prepared for this.
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are_we_united_yet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:48 PM
Response to Original message
4. Yes Yes Yes Yes
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aden_nak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:48 PM
Response to Original message
5. I am not worried. I think the slant will outweigh the deception.
I didn't think I'd ever say that. In fact, I was a constantly vocal bitcher about how even paper trail electronic machines were a complete fucking scam (for reasons I am too annoyed with to get into here). But the sea of voters hammering those polls didn't go there to defend the status quo. They went there to save the Ship of State from running aground.
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ciaobox Donating Member (796 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:48 PM
Response to Original message
6. This should be easy to prove
We could check exits precint by precinct. Not worried.
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featherman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:49 PM
Response to Original message
7. Diebold or whatever...it happened in Florida in 2000
The race was called for Gore based on exit polling because HE GOT MORE VOTES!!! They just weren't counted.
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Brotherjohn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:54 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. Exactly. I just hope there aren't any crucial states that are as close...
... as FL was last time (a few hundred; official tally, that is).

The optimist in me thinks that's the only way they can even try to get away with any such shenanigans. If Kerry leads by at least a few thousand in the key states that he wins, I don't think there's much anybody can do without really raising suspicion.
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:52 PM
Response to Original message
8. I agree, people shouldn't get too excited
ANYTHING could happen from now til the state winners are declared.
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Triana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:53 PM
Response to Original message
9. youbetcha. that is a huge concern (n/t)
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Mountainman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:54 PM
Response to Original message
10. Exit polls were right about FL in 2000, A majority of people thought they
voted for Gore, but the votes weren't counted that way.
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Borgnine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:55 PM
Response to Original message
12. Of course.
I'm giddy right now, but with reservation.
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progressivebydesign Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:56 PM
Response to Original message
13. I am absolutely concerned about it... it's scares me, too. n/t
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endnote Donating Member (645 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 04:57 PM
Response to Original message
14. VERY CONCERNED ABOUT THAT.
Remember that Jebby said Chimpy will get Florida by 4%...
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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 05:03 PM
Response to Original message
15. Major Concern Here
I don't trust exit polling. Too many variables such as people voting after they get off work etc.

I am sitting tight and waiting.
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central scrutinizer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 05:03 PM
Response to Original message
16. votes from rural areas and overseas
will come in late and will likely favor bushco but hopefully, Kerry's lead will be large enough to absorb those late shifts.
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Francine Frensky Donating Member (870 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 05:13 PM
Response to Original message
17. If they're way off, we MOSH, people! Get your black hoodie on and go!
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Adenoid_Hynkel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 05:14 PM
Response to Original message
18. absolutely, i remmber 2002
so i put nothing past rove
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zoeb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 05:15 PM
Response to Original message
19. worried? yeah, but doesn't keep me from basking in the
glow of the exit poll numbers. lol
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Sara Beverley Donating Member (989 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 05:22 PM
Response to Original message
20. You mean just like in 2000 when more people said they had voted Gore?
And they actually had voted for Gore but thousands of Gore ballots were trashed?
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Fluffdaddy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 05:24 PM
Response to Original message
21. Me too. To many people here doing the victory dance
REMEMBER 2000................IT'S NOT OVER
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Kattman Donating Member (5 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 05:29 PM
Response to Original message
22. Definitely
I worry about the absentee voting which isn't being polled.
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 06:15 PM
Response to Reply #22
27. Hi Kattman!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 05:29 PM
Response to Original message
23. Another possible reason for discrepancy....
Exit polls do not include absentee, mail in and early voters.

Also "early" exit poll numbers usually are quite fluid. When the polls close, we'll have a much clearer picture.


That doesn't mean to not be on the lookout just remain calm.
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samtob Donating Member (253 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 05:32 PM
Response to Original message
24. After 2000 I have no faith in exit polls,
not that I really did before....but the way the other polls have been so whacked as of late, I need to see the results not the polls.
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City Lights Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 05:33 PM
Response to Original message
25. Me.
I'm cautiously optimistic now, but won't get rid of the butterfiles in my stomach until I hear the race called for Kerry.

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Libby2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 05:34 PM
Response to Original message
26. I'm with you
I think the exit polls were right on the money in 2000.
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