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Okay, folks, our ACTUAL chances of winning here.

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
Guaranteed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-04 12:32 AM
Original message
Okay, folks, our ACTUAL chances of winning here.
Edited on Wed Nov-03-04 12:33 AM by BullGooseLoony
It all depends on OH. Here's the deal:

Gore states win 260 EV's this election, so Kerry has 10 more to make up. Gore states include WI, MN, IA, and NM, and Hawaii.

So, if we keep all the Gore states, plus get Ohio, we win 280. If we ALSO pick up NH, we win 284.

That means that IF we win OH, we can lose NM (5) and IA (7), which total 12 EV's and would bring us down to 272, as long as we win WI and NH. Alright? Those are the REAL numbers. Thanks.
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Hobarticus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-04 12:33 AM
Response to Original message
1. Thanks!
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kokomo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-04 12:34 AM
Response to Original message
2. Too many doom and gloomers here at DU. I came here to celebrate.
The night is young.
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Triana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-04 12:34 AM
Response to Original message
3. Helloooooo? We lost Ohio...
...courtesy of Jim Crow and his Rethuglican spawn and Diebold. 2000 replay (only worse this time and in another state in addition to FL).

Goodnight.
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Guaranteed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-04 12:36 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. No, we haven't lost Ohio.
It's going to be very close. We'll just have to see.
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ThoughtCriminal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-04 12:37 AM
Response to Original message
5. Bush is running out of states
Looks bad on the yahoo! map, but it seems Bush must win NM and OH.
If he loses either of those, he's short if:

Kerry wins NH, MN, HI, IA, WI, NV, MI
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