115 million turnout below prediction of 117.5 to 121 million

LilKim

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Wed Nov-03-04 04:20 AM
Original message

115 million turnout below prediction of 117.5 to 121 million

according to this link:

http://morningsun.net/stories/110304/opE_20041103036.shtml

It'd be good if we could nail this down even more because this obviously isn't quite right, to say the least.

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Gloria

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Wed Nov-03-04 04:26 AM
Response to Original message

1. But many pundits considered 115 million to be large enough to ensure

a Kerry win.....

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jezebel

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Wed Nov-03-04 05:35 AM
Response to Reply #1

3. Everybody was going with the assumption that larger turnout would be

mostly Democrat voters. Apparently the right wing came out even harder than we did.

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linazelle

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Wed Nov-03-04 05:40 AM
Response to Reply #3

4. That's not apparent at all...what is apparent is fraud

Exit polls for all of the swing states were pro Kerry but Bush won them. How could that happen uniformly?

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jezebel

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Wed Nov-03-04 05:43 AM
Response to Reply #4

6. I don't automatically discount fraud, but there is a plausible explanation

Edited on Wed Nov-03-04 05:44 AM by jezebel

being offered. Apparently the AP in their exit polls claims they were working with a model that mirrored the voting of the last 2 elections. 39% Democrat / 35% Republican. But they are saying that was wrong and the voters actually came out 37/37.

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linazelle

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Wed Nov-03-04 05:47 AM
Response to Reply #6

7. That is utter bullshit...simply a way to explain away the obvious nt

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tritsofme

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Wed Nov-03-04 04:28 AM
Response to Original message

2. I had predicted 116 million

I thought this would ensure a Kerry victory.

I am beyond words.

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linazelle

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Wed Nov-03-04 05:41 AM
Response to Reply #2

5. What did you base a 116 million prediction on? Are you a pollster?

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