MASSIVE FRAUD! MY ANALYSIS VINDICATED BY A FORMER MIT MATH PROFESSOR

:kick:

Compare results: Prof odds 1 in 50,000. Mine: 1 in 2,500 (but we agree)


Here is my 18 exit poll analysis:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

1. The MIT professor gives Bush a 1 in 50,000 (.002%) of gaining 4.15% in the vote over the 4pm exit polls.

2. My analysis gives Kerry a 99.96% probability of getting over 50% in the final vote (based on the 18 state average). That is equivalent to saying that there is a .04% probability (1 in 2,500) that Bush would get over 50% of the 2-party vote vs. Kerry.

There is virtually NO discrepancy in the results, since the professor calculated the probability of Bush gaining a higher percentage than I do in my calculation.

Therefore the professor's probability is lower than mine by a factor of 1/20.

However you slice it, the odds are minuscule that Bush won fairly.

The fact that the discrepancies were near zero in 10 states, and extremely high in IMPORTANT states like FL (optiscan, BBV) and OH (absentee/provisional ballots, spoiled punch cards and BBV) tells the story.

It's not JUST BBV. There are many ways to rig the election.

Massive Fraud! I agree!

I think we are living in a fascist state. The media isn't allowed to talk about this shit. I'm scared.

The analysis, conducted by former Associate Professor of Mathematics David Anick, also ruled out any significance of a variance between electronic voting and paper ballot states, which RAW STORY reported last week.

In fact, the non-electronic voting states of New York and New Hampshire had higher gains for President Bush than states in the exit polls using some electronic voting: Arkansas, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Ohio, New Jersey, New Mexico, Nevada and West Virginia.


i.e., The fraud was NOT caused by BBV.

but are Optical Scan machines considered "electronic voting" or "paper ballot" -- since they convert a paper ballot into an electronic form?

but the good news is that, unlike BBV, there is a paper trail.

as well as massive scale vote suppression and ballot spoilage.

Poll challengers, something I don't remember hearing about in 2000, accomplished both of these ends in one fell swoop.

Kerry began this election with a supposed 1 million vote deficit.