why believe any poll numbers??

The last IA caucus I took part in was 88.

I heard the following over and over again at least as eary as 76...

...Many, many democrats were getting very, very tired of being called daily by candidate workers, the party itself, and polling organizations. (Often you couldn't tell if it was a candidate worker or a polling group calling.)

...So a lot of people said - 'It's nobody's business who I intend to vote for.'

...So they answered however they wanted for each call.

you sould beleive them.

Kerry was polling way behind Dean during the beginning of January, so far behind that Zogby stated that he could not imaginine the possibility of Kerry reviving and beating Dean anywhere.

Zobgy's polls wre the first to place Dean with enormous leads over Kerry, as much as 30 point leads. and Zogby was the first to show a sudden rise in Kerry's tracking polls, and his eventually passing Dean in these tracking polls beyong the polls margin of error. One week before the Iowa caucuses Kerry was still well behind Dean, beyong the margin of error in the Zogby Polls. Other polls reflectiing the same thing followed. Right now Zogby has Kerry out front, and other polls have Kerry sattistically in a dean heat with Dean with Kerry gaining 3 to 4 points a day and Dean dropping 1 to 2 point a day since monday night.

Since the Iowa polls reflected the actual outcome a week before the caucuses, there is every reason to beleive that they will be accurate for New Hampshire, and the same thing will be likely vbefore evey other primary and caucus. THey will not become accurate until the voting becomes imminent.