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I think Dean has a 50.01% chance of winning the nomination.

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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-27-04 07:52 PM
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I think Dean has a 50.01% chance of winning the nomination.
Clark, Kerry, and Edwards share the rest. Bookmark this thread. Watch the results and you will see.
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Guaranteed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-27-04 07:53 PM
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1. Why? nt
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ACPS65 Donating Member (217 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-27-04 07:53 PM
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2. I think Sharpton has a 50.01% chance of winning the nomination.
Clark, Kerry, and Edwards share the rest. Bookmark this thread. Watch the results and you will see.
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David Dunham Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-27-04 07:54 PM
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3. Kerry Has a 65% Chance; Dean 10%
Dean's national poll negatives are 46%. That's way too high.
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La_Serpiente Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-27-04 07:57 PM
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4. To add onto your statement
Edited on Tue Jan-27-04 07:58 PM by La_Serpiente
Dean does have many historical advantages. He has organizational and monetary power in many states already as oppose to the other candidates. The only year where a Democrat lost but had the most money was in 1968.

But there are other contributing factors as well. Add experience, geography and likeability into the equation too and you get a different result as well.
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