How close does Dean have to keep the margin of victory?

_Jumper_

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Tue Jan-27-04 08:44 PM
Original message

How close does Dean have to keep the margin of victory?

5%? 10%? 15%?

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Renew Deal

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Tue Jan-27-04 08:45 PM
Response to Original message

1. Less than 10. More than that is a blowout

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lancdem

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Tue Jan-27-04 08:47 PM
Response to Reply #1

4. Single digits

39 to 25 won't do it.

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cjbuchanan

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Tue Jan-27-04 08:46 PM
Response to Original message

2. I think less then 10%

He can still claim a rebound with any second place (he was at fourth in some polls last week at this time), but if he gets it down to 5%, it will be a big talking point for him.

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bigwillq

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Tue Jan-27-04 08:47 PM
Response to Original message

3. Less than 10 more like 7-8

But I don't see that happening now and it make me sad

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Guaranteed

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Tue Jan-27-04 08:50 PM
Response to Original message

5. I dunno but Blitzer is projecting a 10% victory for Kerry

I'll be happy with that.

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Guaranteed

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Tue Jan-27-04 09:08 PM
Response to Reply #5

10. Dean is moving up by my calculations...just by tenths of a percentage...

But he was up at about 25.7% last I checked...Kerry about 39.3%

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cheezus

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Tue Jan-27-04 10:12 PM
Response to Reply #5

12. wouldn't that be 30-33

if kerry gets a 10% victory?

haha. yeah. i'm not funny

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arewethereyet

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Tue Jan-27-04 08:52 PM
Response to Original message

6. 10% max and thats generous

anything more and its all over save the wasting money.

That comeback kid thing looked nice when he got it below 10%, seems ordinary otherwise.

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platinumPens

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Tue Jan-27-04 08:57 PM
Response to Original message

7. I don't see how a double digit margin could translate to a

positive spin. That's a shame. I really hoped he would do a lot better.

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ShaneGR

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Tue Jan-27-04 08:59 PM
Response to Original message

8. Single Digits

Anything bigger than that and he's toast, especially looking at the make-up of the Feb 3rd primaries. He has NO hope in South Carolina or Missouri so he'd be relegated to, probably, Arizona.

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isbister

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Tue Jan-27-04 09:03 PM
Response to Original message

9. less than 5%

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OneBlueSky

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Tue Jan-27-04 10:10 PM
Response to Original message

11. tonight was a big loss for Dean . . .

considering that he'd been leading by double digits only a few weeks ago . . . besides the Kerry victory, the story here is how far and how fast Dean has fallen . . .

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