http://www.thehill.com/thehill/export/TheHill/News/Frontpage/121305/news2.htmlRahm won’t echo Dean in bold 2006 forecasts
By Peter Savodnik
<snip>He (Rep. Rahm Emanuel (D-Ill.), chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC)) has identified three groups of first-tier congressional races: open seats, “ethically challenged Republicans,” and districts in which Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.) or Vice President Al Gore won at least 48 percent of the vote. That has led the DCCC to focus on former House Majority Leader Tom DeLay (R-Texas), as well as Reps. Bob Ney (R-Ohio), Richard Pombo (R-Calif.) and Charles Taylor (R-N.C.), all of whom have been embroiled in scandals and none of whom was seriously challenged in 2004.
(Being tainted by scandal does not appear to guarantee a serious challenge: California Rep. John Doolittle (R-Calif.) received contributions from associates of ex-Rep. Duke Cunningham (R-Calif.), who recently pleaded guilty to taking bribes, but is not a Democratic priority.)
The Emanuel strategy also appears to leave one Republican who was earlier targeted by the DCCC safe from attack: Rep. Rick Renzi (R-Ariz.). And it raises doubts about how serious the DCCC is about beating Rep. John Hostettler in Indiana’s 8th District and, in the neighboring 9th District, first-term Rep. Mike Sodrel.
<snip>Emanuel also dismisses talk that Democrats’ nationalization of the midterm elections, by running against the Republicans’ handling of the Iraq war and the “culture of corruption,” would foster not simply an anti-Republican but an anti-incumbent mood, bringing down Democrats in swing districts such as Reps. Jim Marshall and John Barrow, both from Georgia. <snip>