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Mods -- I received this in an email from a member of a Yahoo discussion group I'm in and it had been forwarded to her -- there is no URL for it, but I think the stuff it reveals and discusses is important. I did a google to try to find the original, but I had no luck. Delete it if you must but I think it's important information.
> Bush Slips--Among Republicans > 01/30/2004 @ 08:01am > E-mail this Post > The record-high turnout in the New Hampshire Democratic primary -- 219,787 > Granite State voters took Democratic ballots Tuesday, shattering the previous > record of 170,000 in 1992 -- is being read as a signal that voters in one New > England state, and most likely elsewhere, are enthusiastic about the prospect > of picking a challenger for George W. Bush. And the turnout in the Democratic > primary is not even the best indicator of the anti-Bush fervor in New > Hampshire, a state that in 2000 gave four critical electoral votes to the man > who secured the presidency by a razor-thin Electoral College margin of > 271-267. > > Many New Hampshire primary participants decided to skip the formalities and > simply vote against the president in Tuesday's Republican primary. Thousands > of these Bush-bashing Republicans went so far as to write in the names of > Democratic presidential contenders. > > Under New Hampshire law, only Democrats and independents were permitted to > participate in Tuesday's Democratic presidential primary. That meant that > Republicans who wanted to register their opposition to Bush had to do so in > their own party's primary. A remarkable number of them did just that. > > One in seven Republican primary voters cast ballots for candidates other than > Bush, holding the president to just 85 percent of the 62,927 ballots cast. In > some parts of the state, such as southwest New Hampshire's Monadnock Region, a > historic bastion of moderate Republicanism, Bush did even worse. In Swanzey, > for instance, 37 percent of GOP primary voters rejected Bush. In nearby Surry, > almost 29 percent of the people who took Republican ballots voted against the > Republican president, while a number of other towns across the region saw > anti-Bush votes of more than 20 percent in the GOP primary. > > Few of the anti-Bush votes went to the 13 unknown Republicans whose names > appeared on GOP ballots along with the president's. Instead, top Democratic > contenders reaped write-in votes. > > US Senator John Kerry, D-Massachusetts, who won the Democratic primary, came > in second to Bush in the Republican contest, winning 3,009 votes. Kerry's name > was written in on almost 5 percent of all GOP ballots. Who were these > Republican renegades for Kerry? People like 61-year-old retired teacher David > Anderson. A Vietnam veteran, Anderson told New Hampshire's Concord Monitor > that he wrote in Kerry's name because the senator, also a veteran, understands > the folly of carrying on a failed war. "I feel a commander, the president of > the United States, ought to be a veteran," explained Anderson, who says his > top priority is getting US troops out of Iraq. > > Kerry wasn't the only Democrat who appealed to Republicans. In third place on > the Republican side of the ledger was former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, who > won 1,888 votes, more than 3 percent of the GOP total. Retired General Wesley > Clark secured 1,467 Republican votes, while almost 2,000 additional Republican > primary votes were cast for North Carolina Senator John Edwards, Connecticut > Senator Joe Lieberman, Ohio Representative Dennis Kucinich and the Rev. Al > Sharpton. > > In all, 8,279 primary voters wrote in the names of Democratic challengers to > Bush on their Republican ballots. > > That's a significant number. In the 2000 general election, Bush beat Democrat > Al Gore in New Hampshire by just 7,212 votes. Had Gore won New Hampshire, he > would have become president, regardless of how the disputed Florida recount > was resolved. > > The prospect that Republicans and Republican-leaning independent voters in New > Hampshire, and nationally, might be developing doubts about whether Bush > should be reelected is the ultimate nightmare for the Bush political team. > White House political czar Karl Rove begins his calculations with an > assumption that Republicans will be united in their support of the president's > reelection. But the president's deficit-heavy fiscal policies, his support for > free-trade initiatives that have undermined the country's manufacturing > sector, and growing doubts about this Administration's military adventurism > abroad appear to have irked not just Democrats and independents, but also a > growing number of Republicans. > > The Bush White House is taking this slippage seriously. US Senator John > McCain, R-Arizona, who beat Bush in the 2000 New Hampshire Republican primary, > was dispatched to the Granite State before Tuesday's primary, in order to pump > up the president's prospects, as were Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and > New York Governor George Pataki. And Bush, himself, jetted into the state on > Thursday, effectively acknowledging that state Republican Party chair Jane > Millerick was right when she said, "What we have recognized is that New > Hampshire is a swing state." > > But can the president pull independent-minded Republicans, and Republican- > minded independents, back to him? That task could prove to be tougher than the > job of finding weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. > > No one doubts that Democrats in New Hampshire, and elsewhere, are angry with > the president. Indeed, if there was one message that has come through loud and > clear during the first stages of the race for the Democratic nomination, it > was that Democrats in the first-in-the-nation primary state -- like their > peers in the first-in-the-nation caucus state of Iowa -- have proven to be > less interested in ideological distinctions between Democratic contenders than > they are in picking a candidate who will beat Bush. > > Exit polls conducted on Tuesday in New Hampshire did not merely sample the > opinions of Democrats. They also questioned independent voters, who make up > almost 40 percent of the New Hampshire electorate. A Democratic primary exit > poll conducted for Associated Press and various television networks found that > nine in ten independents were worried about the direction of the US economy. > Eight in ten told the pollsters that some or all of the tax cuts pushed by the > Bush administration should be canceled. Forty percent of the independents > questioned in the poll said they were angry with Bush, while another 40 > percent said they were simply dissatisfied with the president. > > Bush aides are quick to dismiss the polling numbers. > > But how will they dismiss the results of the New Hampshire Republican primary, > where every seventh voter cast a ballot for anyone-but-Bush?
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