Bandwagon jumpers: Caution!

Now with Kerry as the frontrunner, you do have to realize that his support is extremely soft, and with the media guns focusing on Kerry, Kerry will do poorly tomorrow. As a matter of fact, I am seeing that in the Western states polling (AZ, NM, OK) that Kerry might even lose. No delegates either.

Clark and Dean are prepared to collect the delegates and it will be Clarks turn on the spotlight next week while Kerry's Kash dries up. In fact, he won't be able to afford to spend much money any longer and get himself into huge debt.

You guys are in for a surprise this week.

I predict a "I'm switching from Kerry to so and so" on Wednesday. That is bandwagon jumping, folks and you will see that happen soon.

Hawkeye-X

Special Interests will likely come out of the closet to support him.

I'm wondering when reality will FINALLY settle in.

:hi:

I don't know that the media's toll on Kerry will take place before the elections tomorrow, but like you, I don't see him getting a lot of support in the West. (Caveat: I said that about Iowa too and was shocked.)

Yet the media will catch up with him sooner or later, if their recent behavior is any indication.

What Western state polls have you seen?

"Clarks turn on the spotlight next week while Kerry's Kash dries up"..what do you see in your crystal ball, Hawkeye? :)

or was it Clark/Dean? Shucks, the ball has gone dark again.

of what Im hearing on the radio in SC. All I hearing is Kerry will win 3 states. I guess I will find out tomorrow.

Is your support for Dean contigent on whether he wins delegates tomorrow?

Not just over the Democrats, but over Bush as well.

Kerry is not my first choice, but it would be stupid to write him off at this point.

It's possible his momentum may be unstoppable.

Kerry is polling ahead by double digits in at least 4 of the 7 states tomorrow. He is not doing poorly.

There's one that Clark is doing well in, I hope he wins.

SC is a dead heat between Kerry and Edwards. I hope Edwards does well.

Kerry's support is soft? He gets more endorsements every day. His poll numbers increase every day, against Bush as well as the other candidates.

This is just wishful dreaming on your part.

I have some VERY reliable information that Kerry will lose most, if not all states tomorrow to either Clark or Edwards with Dean a 2nd with hovering at 15%.

You forgot New Mexico absentee ballots was returned at about 22K, most of them are likely Dean supporters and AZ will reject Kerry because they will see him as a true flake and copycat.

Hawkeye-X

it for ourselves? I think it's baloney.

Kerry is not going to lose every state tomorrow with double digit leads in most of them the night before.

You have NO way of knowing sealed absentee ballots are most likely votes from Dean supporters.

You won't provide any proof because you have none.

I'll be anxious to find this thread tomorrow.

I am privy to some info that is not normally seen by the pollsters.

Okay, right.

So Kerry is going to lose every state tomorrow. We'll see soon enough.

Nite.

Neel notwithstanding.

In a BIG way. Those absentee ballots didn't materialize for Dean any more than the independent NH swing voters did.

The "VERY reliable information" turned out to be a bust. Dean is toast.

Go clark!

Endorsements aren't permanent. Dean lost one, Kerry gained one and the endorsers can jump the bandwagon.

Hawkeye-X

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Will keep all of us Dem supporters on our toes and battle tested before Rove can touch any of us.

Voting tomorrow for Dean with two of my family members. We won't win the state but that's okay.

Kerry, Clark, Dean or whomever, they need to take a long, hard look at their priorities.

It's amazing the number of Kerry supporters that magically materialized here on DU as well. Prior to Iowa, the debates raging here on the boards were primarily between Dean and Clark supporters. You could count the Kerry and Edwards folks on one-hand. Now with Iowa and NH behind us all these folks now "found" a candidate to support.

There's a herd-mentality going on, fostered by the media about getting on the Kerry wagon. I for one am not ready to hitch my star to that wagon. Not just yet..........

Welcome to DU! :toast:

It's amazing that with only 2 weeks passing from the Iowa caucuses, suddenly the pack has been cleared and we're all supposed to jump on-board with the current front-runner.

I'm not ready to consider any candidate a front-runner until Super-Tuesday in March when states like CA and NY begin to weigh-in. Then the smoke will have cleared and a truer picture will emerge.

Declaring Kerry the frontrunner is the ultimate chutzpah after the drubbing the Dean and Clark supporters got for suggesting the same for their candidates.

Welcome to DU!:pals:

supporters have been here all along, just like us Kucinich supporters, but the Dean and Clark posters are larger groups that can keep a thread going longer.

Kerry's wins, and Edwards's strong showings, in Iowa and NH gave their supporters something new to talk about at DU, something that everyone else had to acknowledge as well. A lot of Dean supporters seem to have gone MIA, but I haven't seen this bandwagon effect you're talking about. I think people at DU are staying with their candidates for the primary.

a matter of attention . . . prior to Iowa, the only people paying attention were political junkies like us . . . now joe and jane sixpack are starting to tune in, and they're looking for the candidate who can beat Bush . . . what they see is:

- Sharpton coming across as too radical;
- Kucinich coming across as too flakey;
- Lieberman coming across as too Republican;
- Edwards coming across as too young; and
- Dean coming across as too inexperienced . . .

that leaves Kerry and Clark as the candidates receiving serious consideration from the majority of primary voters who are just now beginning to pay attention . . . and Kerry has the edge because of the perception that Clark is a johnny-come-lately, and because Kerry has a lot of campaign experience that Clark doesn't have . . .

and that's why Kerry is the frontrunner . . .

I don't think so. I predict Kerry winning all but SC today. Clark will sink back into obscurity where he belongs. I would love to see Dean do well but I'm not holding my breath.

.

lololol

that 97% of all DU predictions turn out to be amusingly wrong.

For example, "Dennis is going to drop out" is so wrong. Sic semper predictions.

It's that Skull and Bones thing, man.

Kerry won 5 out of 7 states, that's hardly a poor showing. I think you made a foolish prediction.

I saw your other thread this morning with more false information about Kerry saying he loaned his campaign money so he could pay himself back with interest. That was quickly proven to be false and then the thread suddenly disappeared.

I don't think I'll take anything I see from you too seriously.

:tinfoilhat: :thumbsdown: :nuke: :eyes: :tinfoilhat: :nuke: :eyes: :tinfoilhat: :nuke: :eyes: :tinfoilhat: :nuke: :eyes: :tinfoilhat: :nuke: Kerry support hard like rock.

Wishful thinking I guess.