Polls Show Democratic Takeover of Congress Within Reach

Current predictions of new Senate and House makeup based on recent polls
Independents included in Democratic totals

Election Predictions

Senate: (D)51 (R)49

House: (D)223 (R)212

Electoral Vote Predictor

Senate: (D)50 (R)49 1 tie

House: (D)217 (R)216 2 ties

Election Projection

Senate: (D)51 (R)49

House: (D)215 (R)220

Real Clear Politics

Senate: (D)50 (R)49 1 tie

Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power

Senate: (D)49 (R)49 2 toss-up

We should be annihilating the Reds in the house. The closer it looks, the more likely we are to lose it on counting "anomalies."

:popcorn:

potential keep from being just another statistic usurped via the Diebold menance.

I've just put together a summary of what they project at this time. My primary target audience was busy DU visitors who want a quick overview. If they want more, the links are there.

Something positive to consider is the impact of the Foley scandal as the last straw in a series of Republican failures. North Korean nukes are getting attention, but the Foley scandal is still being covered bigtime in the news all the same. My guess is that many of the disenchanted repukes will stay home, and that factor is not adequately reflected in these polls.

or better yet, read his book Tempting Faith

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=364x2375324

That book is a real jaw-dropper. It's not really a surprise that Republicans have played the religious right as fools. But this book makes it a matter of record and provides details from inside the White House.

I was suprised when Tucker Carlson was so candid recently about this mindset. Having learned of this book, however, I realize he knew it was coming out and is trying to get ahead of the curve.

It's October, Karl. Here's another surprise!!

as well, that Tucker wanted to be the first one on record to have said it.

(discounting the Diebold factor)

I'd rather have the house but I'll take one or both.

Election Projection's forecast for the House looks more gloomy but my personal opinion is that this is an exception and not the norm. And please be mindful, the momentum is distinctly in our favor. I've had the time and the inclination to follow Congressional election polls more closely than most people have, and I have noticed that our prospects have continued to improve as election day draws near.

My guess is we'll take the House. As for the Senate I want to say we'll get a majority there too, but I wouldn't be surprised if we ended up with a 50/50 tie - in which case Republicans would retain the majority because Elmer Cheney would cast a tie breaking vote.

: )

how the House can even be close ...

I get that Gerrymandering has secured districts ... But, you only have a 15 seat swing, and you have about 3 or 4 seats that seem near automatic flips (Ney's, Foley's, Delay's) ...

And more recent predictions from others that I did not list in my OP are seemingly confirming our belief. For some reason I've not had much faith in that site but I wanted to include it for perspective if nothing else. But I don't think I'll cite it again.

Here's one of those predictions from others:

http://www.mydd.com/story/2006/10/12/14357/845