Campaign finance data projects winners????

LEW

(809 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Sun Oct-22-06 04:56 PM
Original message

Campaign finance data projects winners????

http://online.barrons.com/public/article/SB116138396438799484-uMRQ4ejl3lonVnJ_TXy6k9fPXls_20061121.html?mod=9_0002_b_free_features

"Our analysis -- based on a race-by-race examination of campaign-finance data -- suggests that the GOP will hang on to both chambers, at least nominally.

This is so lame and pathetic!!

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bluestateguy

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Sun Oct-22-06 05:00 PM
Response to Original message

1. Very poor methodology

They cite John Aldrich, one of the best political scientists in the country, and then pretend like they are debunking everything he says.

The fact is that you only need enough money to get your message out and turn out your voters, beyond that it's just a law of diminishing return.

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ISUGRADIA

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Sun Oct-22-06 08:03 PM
Response to Original message

2. No accounting for real dollars

They say they used data since 1972. A $200,000 advantage in 72 is a hell of a lot different than now ($100-$500K races then, $1-$3 million average now). If a competitor has competative cash he or she can win, he or she does not have to have more.

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Wed May 01st 2024, 11:44 PM
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