CT-SEN Lamont: 44% Schlesinger: 12% Lieberman (CFL): 42%

Very early:

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Has a real chance. I've said that all along. Ford doesn't have a chance and I believe it's racial, though I know reasonable people may think otherwise.

Let me just share my experience. As a New Englander who has spent some time in the south (1 year Texas, 2 in Jax Florida) racism is alive and well and in your face. Daily.

I'm not saying it doesn't exist in the North. It does, but it's not PALPABLE like it is in the south. I had a black male co-worker in Florida come out and say that he could tell I wasn't from the south in the 1st five minutes that he met me. And it had to do with how I looked at him. That was a real shock to me. At that point in my life, I'd lived in Rhode Island and San Francisco and had never encounterd overt racism, just hidden racism.

I think progressives are making a real mistake to discount modern racism as being something imagined by the oversensitive.

That said, apropos of nothing, Lamont's going to win in a sqeaker.

I think the real repubs in ct won't be able to bring themselves to vote for the former democratic nominee for the vice presidency, who also happens to be a jew. The CT republicans are the old money, country club type and I just have never bought that they would vote for Lieberman.

They are a minority, those republicans, but they're who Joe needs to win. Without them, he won't win.