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If Gore runs, he can afford to wait

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LiviaOlivia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-08-06 08:32 PM
Original message
If Gore runs, he can afford to wait
Edited on Fri Dec-08-06 08:36 PM by LiviaOlivia
If Gore runs, he can afford to wait
by kos
Fri Dec 08, 2006

It seems the more longshot the race, the earlier a candidate throws his or her hat into the ring. Vilsack started things off. Now that we're in the holiday season, most will wait until January. Obama will likely wait a few months more since really, what's the hurry? He's got the fawning press all over him already. He might as well wait until that sort of peters out, announce, then recapture the media spotlight.

It was clear that Hillary wanted to 1) wait a while to announce (she'll have a bullseye on her when she does), and 2) skip Iowa. Now, with Obama in the race, she can't do either. People aren't chattering about Hillary anymore. They're chattering about Obama. So she has to announce and hope to steal some of that thunder. And given that Obamamania isn't dying down, she'll have to do that sooner rather than later. And with Obama in position to deal a knockout blow in Iowa, she'll have to compete there as well.

Obama can afford to wait on Hillary. Their big decision will be whether to step on her announcement or let her breathe. In 2003, John Edwards announced on September 15 to much buzz. Then, on September 17, Wes Clark stole Edwards' thunder by making his own announcement. (Those late announcement dates are sort of funny and quaint. We'll be on a much more accelerated schedule this year.) So Obama will be in position to squelch the Clinton media rollout with his own. It would be the sort of Machiavellian move that would signal his willingness to play tough politics.

Which brings us to Gore.

There's few reasons for him to even hint at joining the fray this early. The biggest potential liability is the loss of the good consultants and strategists to other campaigns. But the talent would exist to shepherd him through the early contests. I mean, he's Al Freakin' Gore. He doesn't need a traditional campaign to sell him to voters. And in any case, we'd see defections from other campaigns to join the Gore bandwagon.

So when? No sooner than December 2007. Let the rest of the field beat the shit out of each other before Gore comes in, savior-like, to pull together a fractured and divided party. At that point, no amount of Obamamania could stop a Gore nomination.

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2006/12/8/133520/178
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-08-06 08:38 PM
Response to Original message
1. interesting strategy


Let the rest of the field beat the shit out of each other before Gore comes in, savior-like, to pull together a fractured and divided party.
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Pirate Smile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-08-06 08:47 PM
Response to Original message
2. Thanks for posting that. I don't know how I missed it today. It must
have got posted and immediately pushed down the front page of Kos by a bunch of other posts.


I've thought Hillary wanted to skip Iowa for quite a while now. Bill didn't have to do Iowa so it isn't something they are familiar with from his experience.

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SharonRB Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-08-06 09:31 PM
Response to Original message
3. I like it!
But I don't like the idea of having to wait another whole year to find out if he's going to run. By then I'd kind of like to know whether I need to find someone else to back or not. If he's running he's my A number 1 choice.

Run, Al, run!!!!
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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-08-06 09:37 PM
Response to Original message
4. Good Read! K&R! n/t
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Mabus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-08-06 09:59 PM
Response to Original message
5. I think he waiting until after "The Assault on Reason" is released
After that, it could be only a matter of time.
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Telly Savalas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-08-06 10:03 PM
Response to Original message
6. "I'm Al Freakin' Gore and I approve this message."
It'd be nice to seem some ads which ended with this line.
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Trajan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-08-06 11:21 PM
Response to Original message
7. Albert Gore in Portland, October 24, 2006 ....
"I will NOT run for elective office again ...." ...

He convinced me and everyone else at the Rose Garden : Albert Gore will NOT run in an elective campaign again .... ever ....

He is happy now, and so is his family ....

Aint gonna happen ...

Now: Secretary of State ? ..... Hmmmmm ....
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bajamary Donating Member (427 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-08-06 11:34 PM
Response to Original message
8. Run Al, run

Nothing would be better than having Al Gore as the Democratic nominee for president in 08.

Nothing except his winning AGAIN.

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andykef Donating Member (93 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-09-06 07:26 AM
Response to Original message
9. Disagree
Al Gore needs to get out there and establish himself at THE candidate to avoid both being seen as purely the best anti-Hillary candidate and to raise $.
At the moment the nomination seems to be all about Hillary vs Obama and Gore needs to start making headlines to be competitive. Ok he could come in late (i.e. after Iowa or as write in) but that is not going to cut much ice with electorate as it makes him appear cunning too much of a politician and therefore plays to his negatives (i.e. Gore is just a career politician). Come on Al
GORE '08
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kentuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-09-06 07:56 AM
Response to Original message
10. I think if Gore waits....
he would inherit a Party that was divided in several different factions: some for Hillary, some for Wes Clark, some for Edwards, some for Obama, etc.... But none could carry a majority. Noce except one. Gore.
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JNelson6563 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Dec-09-06 07:10 PM
Response to Original message
11. Agreed!
Let the others beat on each other and where the bulls-eye. Gore can come in when the time is just right. I sure hope he does.

Julie
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