Hillary Clinton strong among Dems, two-to-one over Obama, others

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2007/Info/polling-faq.html

Hillary Clinton strong among Dems, two-to-one over Obama, others
Posted by Mark Silva 4/10/07

The fundraising in the presidential campaign of 2008 may have grown highly competitive, but Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York continues to hold a commanding lead among Democrats surveyed, the latest Gallup Poll shows.

Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois has nearly matched Clinton in the first round of party fundraising – each of them banking $25 million and up in just three months, demonstrating how competitive the junior senator from Illinois will be in the campaign ahead. But Clinton continues to hold a two-to-one advantage over Obama in polling among Democrats, with an advantage that the New York senator has held since the two staked claims to the race in January growing in the latest results from Gallup.

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Clinton “remains the dominant presidential front-runner among Democrats nationally,’’ Gallup’s *Frank Newport reports, with Clinton claiming “ twice the support as her nearest challenger,’’ Obama.
Former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina, and former Vice President Al Gore, who says he isn’t running, also are “bunched in second place’’ with Obama. But if Gore’s name is removed from the survey and his supporters' second-place choices are substituted, Clinton's lead becomes “even more dominant,” with Obama and Edwards tied far behind.

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“The trend for Obama has been relatively static,’’ Newport reports. “The Illinois senator ends up in this latest April poll essentially where he was last January; Obama gets exactly half of the vote given to Clinton.’’



http://www.galluppoll.com/content/?ci=27163


April 10, 2007
Hillary Clinton Remains Dominant Front-Runner Among Democrats
Obama and Edwards close in second place

by *Frank Newport

GALLUP NEWS SERVICE

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Basic Results

The basic trends over five Gallup Polls conducted among Democrats nationally this year are as follows:



Although the exact percentages vary from poll to poll, as we would expect given the relatively modest sample sizes of Democrats involved in each poll (between 450 and 500), Clinton remains the dominant leader, far outpacing any of her rivals.

The trend for Obama has been relatively static. The Illinois senator ends up in this latest April poll essentially where he was last January; Obama gets exactly half of the vote given to Clinton.

Edwards has held his own during this time. He has averaged 13% across the five polls, and ends up at 15%. Edwards had one slightly weaker showing in early March, but in the next poll, taken shortly after his announcement that he would continue his campaign despite his wife Elizabeth's recurrence of cancer, his standing recovered.

Unannounced candidate Gore pulls in 14% of the vote of Democrats in this poll. He may have received a slight boost in polls conducted after his Oscar appearance, but the benefits he received appear to have subsided.

They had all the Democratic candidates speaking about Iraq with MoveOn. I found Clinton didn't sound as tough and determined to get out out of Iraq ASAP as Edwards and Bidden sounded

military bases being possible for Iraq sometime ago, I think...

The answers are obvious.

as most Dems I know do not favor Clinton. I realize my personal circle of acquaintances isn't exactly a Gallup poll, but still . . . .

There is no way for that to be accurate. Not from the polls I have seen.