Obama is tied with Hillary nationally.

April 23, 2007
For the fourth straight week, Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D) has gained ground and he has finally caught New York Senator Hillary Clinton in the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination. It’s now Obama 32% Clinton 32% and former North Carolina Senator John Edwards holding steady at 17%. New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson is a distant fourth at 3%. Senators Chris Dodd and Joe Biden each attract 1% support. So does General Wesley Clark (who has not announced he is running, I would add).

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Political%20Tracking/Democratic%20Primaries/DemocraticPresidentialPrimary.htm

This is good news overall for the Democratic Party. While I would like to see Richardson doing better, and resent the media blackout of the "2nd tier" candidates, the fact is that if trends continue Obama will soon overtake Clinton as the Democratic frontrunner. Obama is a good choice. Everytime I hear him speak I am struck how sincere and statesmanlike he sounds. He has a seriousness about him, yet connnects with people better than Gore (who I just mention for comparison because he was often regarded as "stiff"). Obama seems a step above he rest of the field...there is definitely something about him that is tangible...real leadership potential and vision.

4 weeks in a row!

This is when you'll see Hillary excel. She's at her best when under pressure.
I hope Obama isn't afraid of being in such close proximity to Hillary. :hi:

different though, he had the initial momentum and then Senator Kerry pulled ahead. This time we have Hillary in the lead with Sen. Obama closing. But hell it is still so early that most of these polls mean shit. But as always it is fun to speculate.

He will get killed in a national campaign.

Hillary will be a much tougher campaigner despite her high negatives
which (btw)wont go any higher-everyone has pretty much made up their
minds about her-and she leads all the Gop candidates.

On the other hand, The GOP slander machine will destroy the neophyte (2 year old senator) Obama.

I remember it was republican neocon david brooks who first encouraged obama
to run. I frankly don't trust David Brooks to give democrats honest advice.

Barack will be 10-12 points down to the gop nominee after labor day-if he gets the nomination
which I hope he doesnt. He's letting his ego get in the way of good judgement. he needs to wait till he's ready-no disrespect intended, he's just not yet ready.he's young and has plenty of time to develop and grow.

Fact is, 48% of Americans will definitely vote against Clinton.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Political%20Tracking/Dailies/April%202007/fororAgainst20070417.htm

Yes, I would like a more experienced candidate as well. I'd like Clark, but I'm not sure that he's going to be running. Given the data we have at the moment, Obama stands a far better chance of winning in the general election than Senator Clinton.

influence most people.

:sarcasm:

Actually, just how much experience does one need? Obama has served two terms as congressman as well as being Senator now. He's taught constitutional law and has a very interesting, diverse background. He has shown many signs of leadership and people are excited by his candidacy. He knows the issues and he certainly is intelligent enough to find ways to get things done in Washington.

As for the GOP slander machine, tell me ANY candidate that they will not try to slander and demonize. That's just part of the drill when running against the Republican Party.

Your assessment that Barack will be "10-12 points down to the gop nominee after labor day" is completely unfounded. What metrics are you using to give any notion that the trend you indicate will happen.

If you think Senator Clinton would be a better candidate to run, good for you... we'll see what happens in the primary season. I fully expect her to campaign for Obama when he is the nominee. :->

http://www.suntimes.com/news/elections/253391,CST-NWS-prof12.article

He DID teach constitutional law.

AND he was (is?) a senior guest lecturer. I think you may be splitting hairs a bit.


http://www.law.uchicago.edu/faculty/obama/courses.html

and then gets egg on face. You should always have facts before trying to smear. Great Job for having your backup handy. Good JOB:rofl:

Obama Was A Constitutional Law Professor: false Teaching Law and being a Law Professor are two different things

He taught law but was not a Law Professor.. I said this late last night.

But nevertheless, the distinction is as real as the mis-perception.
And the correction was necessary for keeping the record straight.

sorry to get your eggs scrambeled, ethel..but thems the breaks when you start throwing them prematurely.

Obama seems to be able to handle the situation extremely well.

I'm not bashing Hillary or any other Democratic Candidate, that is the best way to handle this situation, IMO.

Remember that we have a very short measuring stick in GW.

After GW, I know some Kindergarten children that have a better ability to lead.

They know how to put their hand over their heart when they pledge to our flag ~ recall GW putting his hand above his waist. :)

They know how to smile and be nice to animals ~ GW's mother didn't teach him to be kind to animals.
Obama is doing just find ~ :applause:

blah, blah, blah...

If you don't like Obama, don't vote for him. That's it.

I caught a glimpse of Obama's ego when he made his initial appearance on Leno.

The old rule applys. You never enter your horse in a race s/he can't win.
I know Hillary has been schooling herself for this day for a very long time.

After reading the text of the speech Obama gave on Sunday-
Him, not so much. But, I wish him luck in the debate.

It takes some natural talent. Obama has it; HRC does not. Any doubts on this were erased in Selma. Obama was articulate, confident, charismatic, and looked presidential. HRC came across as a total phony (even without the "Kentucky Fried Hillary" incident), scripted, and a stiff. She does not have the personality needed to be elected. To HRC I say, I knew Bill Clinton. Bill Clinton was a president of mine. Senator, you're no Bill Clinton.

and provide a vision for the future! I haven't heard any mention of a vision for the future from Obama.
All I've seen from you, are your pompous posts telling people what to do, and who to vote for. When you're not climbing up into someone's grill agitating and festering toxic conflicts.

I mean, if Hillary is everything you have said she is, and Obama is what you and the other Hillarites say he is, she will beat him easily. By a landslide.

So, there is actually nothing to worry about then! Obama is just a momentary distraction, right? :)

my opinion isn't couched with envy, jealousy or meant to be taken as meanspirited in any way. Of course, I want Hillary as the nominee, she's more than ready to take on the GOP. I just don't feel anywhere near the same confidence in Obama. But thats just me, Katz and the OP.

What's Hillary's "vision for the future?"

Oh, that's right! She doesn't have one except wanting to live in the White House again.

Give me a break! Hillary is the past, Obama IS the future!

To ignore the personality aspect of presidential politics is unrealistic. How do you think Bush beat Kerry? If it were soley about merit that election would have never been close. Enough people bought the "I could have a beer with him" myth about Dubya to allow him to win.

Just two years in the House? A number of defeats in various elections? I find it odd that so many think he can be a good president.

These are difficult times. America is a divided country. We cannot afford Abraham Lincoln as our President!

:sarcasm:

Almost.

I am not an Obama supporter but I disagree with your assessment completely. He got to where he is by winning elections as a candidate. There's something to be said for taking the long hard slog from local/state politics to the Big Game of US Senate.

Hillary may be brilliant et al but she has won one election as a candidate herself that she never would've considered running for if she hadn't been married to Bill.

From the perspective of actually getting elected to office, Obama's got a lot more experience than many of our other candidates.

Just throwing that out there as a relatively objective observer.

Julie

...they seemed to think that Clinton was still a lock for the nomination, as Edwards and Obama are splitting the anti-Hillary camp down the middle.

Fair analysis or biased crap? (They're definitely not on the Neo-Con side anymore--in the same issue, they criticized Bush, McCain, and co. relentlessly. )

And as far as Richardson goes, I believe momentum will be coming.

Hopefully the debate on Thursday will make things go even better for us!

Clinton-Richardson.. swwweet!

to say nothing of his broad-based support.

Hillary's Jewels are people like you-