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At this point I'm certain that had Osama fallen into Bush's hands, (and for whatever reason he was unable to quietly let him go again), he would have been taken off the ice in 2004.
That election was just close enough to steal as it was, and the ruse is wearing thin at this point. Osama did of course help out his buddy Bush by releasing a well-timed video tape, but his ass in a sling would have been welcomed by Karl Rove.
At this point, I'm nearly certain that virtually nobody is looking for him. In later years we'll discover that between spying on Americans and assassinating people who want to kill Americans because Americans are now in their country somewhere, there was nobody left to hunt for an actual international terrorist.
I think we'll learn that the Great Delegator delegated the responsibility of catching Osama to the Pakistanis, who instead recruited him to their own use, including the "assassination attempt" on Vice President Cheney earlier this year.
Even if you're not as cynical and conspiratorial as I am, there's another excellent reason why it's a bad idea to catch Osama bin Laden. Even if we are actively searching for him, it's actually a better idea to find him, track him, intercept all of his communications, penetrate his planning staff, and then foil his larger operations while letting him succeed in killing people whom you also want to kill, like Shiites (no, I don't want to kill Shiites and neither do you, but George Bush does). This represents a level of competence I don't normally ascribe to the criminals in charge here, but that is the sort of counterintelligence operation admired by the Republican intelligence mentor, Allen Welsh Dulles, in his book Classic Spy Stories.
Another reason why it's a bad idea to catch Osama is that his piety in the Muslim world is above reproach. Whatever else you can say about him, he lives (and many would argue, acts) as a devout Muslim and long ago achieved a very high status in his religion. His death, whatever the circumstances, will be instantly be twisted into martyrdom and perhaps an even more dangerous level of sub-deification. At this point, it may be better to let him fall into insignificance than to let him triumphantly ascend into Heaven.
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