Studies predicted Iraq upheaval (will be part of Phase II report)

http://www.registerguard.com/news/2007/05/20/printable/a2.nat.warintel.0520.92d0Z517.phtml?section=nation_world

Studies predicted Iraq upheaval
The Washington Post
Published: Sunday, May 20, 2007

WASHINGTON - Two intelligence assessments from January 2003 predicted that the overthrow of Saddam Hussein and subsequent U.S. occupation of Iraq could lead to internal violence and provide a boost to Islamic extremists and terrorists in the region, according to sources.

The two assessments, titled ''Principal Challenges in Post-Saddam Iraq'' and ''Regional Consequences of Regime Change in Iraq,'' were produced by the National Intelligence Council and will be a major part of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence's long-awaited Phase II report on prewar intelligence assessments about Iraq. The assessments were delivered to the White House and to congressional intelligence committees before the war started.

The assessment on post-Saddam Iraq included judgments that while Iraq was unlikely to split apart, there was a significant chance that domestic groups would fight one another and that ex-regime military elements could merge with terrorist groups to battle any new government.

It even talks of guerrilla warfare, according to congressional sources and former intelligence officials. ..........