New NH poll. Bad news for Edwards.

New CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll in New Hampshire:

Hillary Clinton 36%
Barack Obama 27%
Bill Richardson 11%
John Edwards 9%
Joseph Biden 4%
Dennis Kucinich 3%

For comparison, here's a poll taken by the same group a month ago:

Hillary Clinton 39%
Barack Obama 24%
John Edwards 14%
Bill Richardson 11%
Joseph Biden 5%
Dennis Kucinich 2%

Here's why this is bad for the Edwards campaign--
Going from 14% to 9% means the Edwards campaign lost over a third of its support in the span of a month. (Clinton lost 8% and Obama increased by 12% in the same timespan.)
New Hampshire is a critical state if Edwards expects to have a shot at the nom. A win is not necessary, but a strong showing is. However, he's sunk to single digits and now trails Richardson as well as Clinton and Obama. Though the primary is about 6 months away, just how much of a hole does the Edwards campaign want to dig out of? Or has the Edwards campaign gone past the point of no return in regards to being a serious contender?
If the Edwards campaign isn't in panic mode now, they damn well should be.

-Side note-

Anyone who think Gore will suddenly sweep the state away has a bit of reality to take...

Here's the recent poll but now with Gore included:

Hillary Clinton 33%
Barack Obama 25%
Bill Richardson 10%
John Edwards 8%
Al Gore 8%
Joseph Biden 3%
Dennis Kucinich 3%

Oops... Isn't Al supposed to be on top of that list? Sorry, but I guess reality is a b****.

Dennis Kucinich is improving his % as it appears is Barack Obama. I guess we will have to wait for the voting to know for sure. Yet any of them would be better than what we have now.

:toast:

For Al Gore to be at 8% is not bad when you consider that he has repeatedly said he has no plans to be a candidate. Most people think he has ruled out running in 2008 (which is not in fact the case).

If Al Gore would change his mind and publicly announce his intention to seek the Democratic nomination for 2008, he would get masses of media attention.

Then people would start to consider his candidacy and very quickly you would see his numbers starting to rise. Probably through the roof! B-)

And even if Al Gore refuses to run (which I guess is more likely), I am confident that Wes Clark will.

So either way there will be a better (qualified) candidate than the ones who already announced.

Either Gore or Clark would shake-up the field in the early states and nationwide.


Let's all find ways to show our support for Al Gore! :patriot:

Sign the Live Earth Pledge: www.liveearthpledge.org

Then ask all your friends and family to sign it too! :-)

Visit Al's site www.algore.com and read his blog http://blog.algore.com

Sign the petitions at www.algore.org and www.draftgore.com

:kick:

Don't count out Edwards.Remember Kerry In 2004.If Edwards wins In Iowa that will help him.And Obama
continues to be the main alterive to Hillary.

Clearly, one poll is way off...

Edwards has been struggling in NH ever since the debate in which he criticized HRC and Obama. Let's see what happens as that recedes in people's memories. He also has ads running in NH. If he is at 9-10% in NH by Labor Day I will be worried.

It should be noted that Edwards still leads Iowa. That is a luxury that will allow him to shift more of his effort to NH and this should increase his numbers in NH. Moreover, looking forward to the primaries, If he wins Iowa all bets are off in NH. Remember the boost Kerry got in NH from his IA win? Dean and Clark were 1-2 in NH before Iowa...