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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 09:22 AM
Original message
The Nation: An Obama Flub at the YouTube Debate?
Edited on Wed Jul-25-07 09:25 AM by SaveElmer
Posted by David Corn




I can see the ad now: Kim Jong Il, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Fidel Castro, Bashar al-Assad, and Hugo Chavez all strolling into the White House, and a grinning Barack Obama greeting them with a friendly "Welcome, boys; what do you want to talk about?"

If Obama gets close to the Democratic presidential nomination, pro-Hillary Clinton forces could air such an ad. If he wins the nomination, the Republicans could hammer him with such a spot.

And the junior senator from Illinois will not have much of a defense.


...


Obama had suggested he would sit down with these leaders willy-nilly, no preconditions. Clinton and Edwards explained that that they would use diplomacy to try to improve relations with these nations and that such an effort could lead to a one-on-one with these heads of state.

Obama had responded from the gut, working off a correct critique of the Bush administration's skeptical approach toward diplomacy. But his answer lacked the sophistication of Clinton's and Edwards' replies. And this moment illustrated perhaps the top peril for the Obama campaign: with this post-9/11 presidential contest, to a large degree, a question of who should be the next commander in chief, any misstep related to foreign policy is a big deal for a candidate who has little experience in national security matters.

...

For Obama to have a chance of toppling front-running Clinton, he will have a near-perfect performance from now until the actual voting. During the YouTube debate, Obama generally did fine. But he did not differentiate himself from Clinton in a significant manner. After all, there is not much difference between their current positions. He did take a strong shot at her during a series of questions about the Iraq war:

One thing I have to say about Senator Clinton's comments a couple of moments ago. I think it's terrific that she's asking for plans from the Pentagon, and I think the Pentagon response was ridiculous. But what I also know is that the time for us to ask how we were going to get out of Iraq was before we went in. And that is something that too many of us failed to do. We failed to do it. And I do think that that is something that both Republicans and Democrats have to take responsibility for.

The crowd cheered, but one swing at Clinton does not a campaign make. Yes, there are months to go in the preprimary maneuvering, but at some point--probably sooner than later--Obama is going to have to make a move. Meanwhile, he also has to avoid such mistakes as promising to open the doors of the White House without conditions to Kim Jong Il and others of that ilk. He cannot let Stephen Sorta of Diamond Bar, California, trip him up again.


http://www.thenation.com/blogs/capitalgames?pid=217102
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MannyGoldstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 09:31 AM
Response to Original message
1. Yes. Preconditions Have Worked So Well For Bush.
It would only be wise to emulate them.

:sarcasm:
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 09:34 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. They worked so well for every President before Bush
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MannyGoldstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 09:45 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. And Which Preconditions Did Reagan Set For The USSR?
Edited on Wed Jul-25-07 09:57 AM by MannyGoldstein
Which did Carter set for Egypt?

Both of those worked out very well.
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:16 AM
Response to Reply #5
10. what, you think they just called each other up and said, "let's hang out?"
Edited on Wed Jul-25-07 10:35 AM by wyldwolf
No, in each case there was a pre-summit diplomatic delegation that worked behind the scenes hammering out the conditions for these meetings.

On the American side, Anthony Lake (who formerly went with Kissinger to North Viet Nam) headed up this for Jimmy Carter's (as he did for Clinton's Dayton Accords) and Elliot Abrams was instrumental in this regard for Reagan before the first Reagan-Gorbachev summit in Geneva.

Agenda's are set. What will be discussed. What, if any, press will be allowed. Etc.

THESE are examples or preconditions
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MannyGoldstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:23 AM
Response to Reply #10
14. Did Obama Say He'sdJust Call And Say "Let's Hang Out"?
Edited on Wed Jul-25-07 10:24 AM by MannyGoldstein
Like your favored candidate, you're evading the question. Your examples are not preconditions. They are planning.
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:33 AM
Response to Reply #14
18. did he not say yes without precondition? Yes, he did
Edited on Wed Jul-25-07 10:35 AM by wyldwolf
You and the Obama camp are trying to retroactively change the definition of "preconditions" as applied to diplomacy. It really is funny.

That is what a diplomatic delegation does. They meet to discuss the conditions that must be met before leaders meet face to face. They can be as simple as the ones I mentioned above or much more complex like "you have to pull back your troops two miles from the border."


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MannyGoldstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:47 AM
Response to Reply #18
20. Utter Nonsense
By your wacky definition, only meeting with people who do not fling their own feces is a "precondition" - you are engaging in I think your in a very tiny (and very temporary) minority on that.
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:49 AM
Response to Reply #20
21. "progressive" revisionism
Edited on Wed Jul-25-07 10:49 AM by wyldwolf
historical events and definitions change to fit the need.
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MannyGoldstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:58 AM
Response to Reply #21
25. Your Own Wikipedia Page!
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:59 AM
Response to Reply #25
26. and one for you
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On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:53 AM
Response to Reply #18
22. Examples of "Preconditions" Might Be:
Edited on Wed Jul-25-07 10:53 AM by ribofunk
I will not meet with you until you stop your nuclear program. I will not meet with you until you renounce violence. I will not meet with you until accept UN inspectors.

It has nothing to do with joint preparations for a meeting.

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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:55 AM
Response to Reply #22
24. of course... like I said upthread...
They can be as simple as the ones I mentioned above or much more complex like "you have to pull back your troops two miles from the border."

Or the ones you mentioned.
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:28 AM
Response to Reply #10
17. I give PreconditionsGate another day or so
Edited on Wed Jul-25-07 10:29 AM by BeyondGeography
A fun little dust-up between the two frontrunners. Obama needs to take a page from Clinton and be more thorough in his responses at the debates, particularly in the area of national security, but this is not the "winner" that Team Clinton thought it would be. Obama's response was more in tune with what primary voters are looking for and Team Obama's flip-flop memos to the media resulted in Mean Ole Hilly, who is on the record as favoring talks with bad guys, throwing the first punch yesterday.
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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 12:04 PM
Response to Reply #3
30. As Madeline Albright said about this: You send the Diplomats First..you don't give away your coin
(in other words you don't show your cards) until you get a sense of your opponent. This is the way Foreign Policy worked before BUSH. You sent an envoy as a scout and you size up the issues...you don't do what Bush has done by making DECLARATIONS of AXIS OF EVIL and WE WILL KILL YOU...because with tactics like that ...there's nothing left to negotiate. Hillary and Dodd were being realists using time honored negotiating tactics. Obama just jumped the gun...speaking before he thought.
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 09:33 AM
Response to Original message
2. It would rank right up there with Dukakis in a tank and Johnson's daisy ad
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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 09:35 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. How about Ford's flub in the 1976 debates?
Claiming Eastern Europe wasn't under the control of the Soviet Union...undercut his one advantage over Carter...national security and foreign policy...
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Ethelk2044 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:20 AM
Response to Reply #2
11. Her Flip Flopping will not work on this one. Media agrees it was a Flip Flop
People are calling her on her triangulations now.
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ShortnFiery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:26 AM
Response to Reply #2
16. Increasing numbers of Americans are getting tired of "beating plowshares into swords"
The bluster is getting old and we don't have the military might to keep up "the swagger."

I'm disgusted at what I see as "The Anti-Diplomats" within this War-mongering Administration.

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robcon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 09:47 AM
Response to Original message
6. I agree. Obama showed himeself to be a neophyte, IMO.
It's similar to Ford's gaffe about Poland... shows no understanding of international relations.
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ShortnFiery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:21 AM
Response to Reply #6
12. I disagree. Obama showed himself to be INDEPENDENT, not a crone of the Pentagon. nt
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Ethelk2044 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 11:03 AM
Original message
Obama is correct we do not need another BUSH
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Ethelk2044 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 11:03 AM
Response to Reply #6
28. Obama is correct we do not need another BUSH
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 09:54 AM
Response to Original message
7. As a rebuttal, much of "The Nation" disagrees with Corn...
Edited on Wed Jul-25-07 09:55 AM by jefferson_dem
BLOG | Posted 07/24/2007 @ 4:48pm
Experience is Overrated
Ari Berman

<SNIP>

So it's a little disturbing to see Clinton surrogates like former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright giving reporters a tutorial today on how to negotiate with hostile regimes. In a follow-up interview with a newspaper in Iowa, Hillary piled on by calling Obama's comments "irresponsible and frankly naive."

Let's step back a second. The Obama camp could argue that it was "irresponsible and frankly naive" for Senator Clinton ☼ to hand President Bush a blank-check to go to war and then claim that she was only giving the Administration the authorization to win over the United Nations and keep weapons inspectors in Iraq until they finished the job. It was painfully obvious, except maybe to Senators and their advisors in Washington, that Bush would use Congressional approval as a mandate to invade.

Hillary's evolution on the war appears to some as more motivated by calculation than conviction. She supported the war for the better part of four years, began to express a few qualified misgivings and then, once she entered the presidential ring, quickly introduced a withdrawal proposal and a plan to de-authorize the war.

Convenient timing. So next time the Clinton campaign touts her foreign policy experience, why doesn't the Obama campaign accuse her of pandering?

Ironically, David reminds me that George H.W. Bush tried to use Bill Clinton's inexperience in foreign policy against him in 1992. Al Gore employed the same tactic against George W. Bush in 2000.

<SNIP>

http://www.thenation.com/blogs/campaignmatters?pid=217218

*****

BLOG | Posted 07/24/2007 @ 10:15pm
Why Obama Got it Right

Katrina vanden Heuvel

In Monday's debate, and with the benefit of having time to think through her response, Hillary Clinton posed as the foreign policy sophisticate to Barack Obama the bold leader who did not hesitate to say that he would meet with the leaders of Cuba, Iran, North Korea, Syria, and Venezuela. My colleague David Corn argues that Obama has committed a major blunder reflecting his lack of foreign policy experience.

(My colleague Ari Berman posted his smart and sharp counter to David's argument on behalf of those like Hillary Clinton who are "steeped in the nuances, language and minefields of foreign policy." But I feel strongly enough to weigh in on this debate.)

Those "nuances and minefields" can also be traps. Witness how far Clinton's nuanced experience got her when confronted with the 2002 Iraq war resolution.

David may well be right that Obama's opponents will try to exploit his response. But from a foreign policy point of view was Obama's response so wrong and Clinton's so right? Her husband's administration generally followed Hillary's approach; during his two terms President Clinton did not meet with Fidel Castro or with Hugo Chavez or with the leaders of Iran, Syria, and North Korea --while generally pursuing a policy of trying to isolate these countries. But what did the Clinton approach actually accomplish? The respective regimes of Castro in Cuba and Chavez in Venezuela have only grown stronger, and more influential in Latin America. Although Syria was forced to withdraw its military forces from Lebanon last year, the regime of Bashar Assad is as firmly entrenched in power as was his father's. And in spite of the odious politics and qualities of Ahmadinejad, Iran carries more weight in the Middle East than it did doing the early 1990s while American power and standing has declined considerably.

<SNIP>

Above all, foreign policy is a matter of simultaneously projecting American confidence and American humility. In signaling that he was willing to meet with the leaders of these countries, Obama was signaling that the United States has the confidence in its values to meet with anyone. But he also signaled a certain humility that reflects the understanding that the next president must reach out to the rest of the world and not merely issue conditions from the White House and threaten military force if it does not get its way.

http://www.thenation.com/blogs/edcut?pid=217320
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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:11 AM
Response to Reply #7
9. Not much of a rebuttal...
More of a repeat of the attack on Hillary for the IWR vote...and vanden Heuvel gives a simplistic and mostly inaccurate recounting of Bill Clinton's foreign policy

And frankly, after Berman's factually challenged hit piece on Hillary a few weeks ago, his opinion is not credible IMO...

The blunder Obama made was not on policy. Personally I have no doubt Obama would actually pursue the course Hillary made clear...his blunder was political...and highlighted his inexperience, both in terms of governance at a national level, and political inexperience...

Corn is absolutely right, had Obama made this mistake in the general election debate he would have been roasted alive...would have been a blunder that quite possibly could have cost him the election...
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Ethelk2044 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:22 AM
Response to Reply #9
13. Hillary Stood before the Council of Foreign Affairs saying the samething
in 2006. She did not state any preconditions. She Blasted Bush for not talking to other nations. NOW she wants to Flip Flop. Give me a break. She is worst than Bush. At least he has the guts to stand his ground. She just does not know what lie to tell first. They she forgets the lie.
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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:25 AM
Response to Reply #13
15. ANd the lie continues...nt
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:38 AM
Response to Reply #15
19. the echo chamber in the netroots is something to behold
They pass information back and forth and then go into denial when it's proven to be false.
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Virginia Dare Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 12:16 PM
Response to Reply #13
31. Why don't you go back and read what she actually said..
before you keep repeating this lie over and over. I'm not a Hillary fan and supporter, but jeez, why keep repeating a falsehood over and over again. That's NOT what she said.
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yurbud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:04 AM
Response to Original message
8. those guys are not equally distasteful. Chavez has done nothing wrong except piss off big oil, IMF,
& world bank.

Maybe someone should ask the candidates what it is they dislike about Chavez.
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TwilightGardener Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 10:55 AM
Response to Original message
23. That's dumb. Hillary had the benefit of thinking through the answer--
she had time to pick up on a point that Obama didn't say--but I'm pretty sure he wouldn't allow himself to be used by rogue leaders. He just focused on the diplomacy aspect, not all the conditions and particulars.
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Virginia Dare Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 12:18 PM
Response to Reply #23
32. I'm glad she called him on it though...
if it were the general election and he said something like that, the right would roast him and hang him out to dry. He needs to tighten it up just a bit if he's going to go all the way.
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Hell Hath No Fury Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 11:03 AM
Response to Original message
27. Funny, that was the one Obama...
reponse that I liked the best. :shrug: Hillary's sounded positively imperial next to.
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zulchzulu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-25-07 11:29 AM
Response to Original message
29. The ads to slam back at Clinton and the one to show his answer
The ad to show that Senator Clinton jumped the shark on the issue is to have her response in the debate that she wouldn't talk to those "evil" leaders in her first year and then have the reverse opinion she said just last April where she felt that we need to talk to our leaders. Throw in the usual "which Clinton is it?"... bing, bang, done.

The ad to show what Obama meant would be to show Nixon talking to Mao in 1973 and Reagan talking to Gorby in 1984...some text about how we need to talk to leaders that are our enemies to make sure we don't fight "dumb wars". Then have Obama's statement about the need for diplomacy.

Corn, like Clinton, jumped the shark on this issue.


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