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Tony Allen-Mills, Cedar Rapids
WHEN the annual Iowa state fair opened in Des Moines last week the summer celebrations of America’s rich rural traditions included an “ugliest cake” contest. It may prove the only Iowa competition that is not won this year by Mitt Romney, the eye-catching former Massachusetts governor who is threatening to shake up the Republican race for the White House in 2008.
“I love everything that comes out of your mouth,” one adoring Iowa Republican cooed to Romney at an “Ask Mitt anything” fundraising dinner in Cedar Rapids. “I just think he’s such a smart man,” said Walter Willett after a breakfast meeting in Tama.
By gambling heavily on early success in the tortuous campaign for the Iowa caucuses - the key primary vote that traditionally launches the White House election season - Romney is hoping to wake up this morning with a largely symbolic but politically valuable victory under his silver-buckled belt.
As the overwhelming favourite to win yesterday’s Iowa straw poll - an informal vote of Republican supporters who are plied with a free barbecued hog roast to encourage them to turn out - Romney was assured a national spotlight that could transform the only Mormon candidate in the race from curious outsider to intriguing frontrunner.
Rudolph Giuliani, the former New York mayor, and Fred Thompson, the former senator and Hollywood actor, may be well ahead in the national polls, but in Iowa Romney has been sweeping all before him in an expensive bid to be taken seriously as the Republican successor to George W Bush.
An Iowa University poll last week gave Romney 26.9% of Republican voters likely to attend the state caucuses next January; Giuliani had only 11.3% and Thompson trailed with 6.5%. Both men decided not to invest in expensive campaigns for straw poll votes, but are headed to Iowa this week in a bid to make up lost ground.
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