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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 12:48 PM
Original message
Frank Luntz's Focus Group: Here's the video.
Edited on Sun Aug-19-07 01:16 PM by Katzenkavalier
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Inuca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 12:55 PM
Response to Original message
1. Interesting, thanks!
I have no idea how much value these famous focus groups have, if any, but inteesting nevertheless.
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hlthe2b Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 12:57 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. How about a clue for those who are not able to watch?
'Much appreciated if you would....:thumbsup:
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 12:59 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Whole crowd turns to Obama
Clear, concise, stands behind his answers, in control. Disappointment in Edwards & Hillary, staged, scripted.

I do take into account that this is a Frank Luntz forum and I think he knows how to manipulate anybody to think and say whatever it is he wants, but an entire crowd is pretty phenomenal.
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maximusveritas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 12:59 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. Transcript here
http://www.iowapolitics.com/index.iml?Article=102970

Feel free to edit that into your OP, Katz.
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hlthe2b Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 01:02 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. thanks, Sandnsea and MaximusV......fascinating....
Edited on Sun Aug-19-07 01:02 PM by hlthe2b
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 12:57 PM
Response to Original message
2. Wow!!
That's amazing. I missed the debate, forgot it was on. Kicking myself now, for sure. Hopefully we'll get some clips up.
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Inuca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 01:05 PM
Response to Reply #2
11. Rerun on CSPAN
at some time, do not remember when, but it should be easy to find.
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 01:08 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. 3:30 pacific
I just checked, yippee! I'm glad I get to see it. Thanks!!
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rndmprsn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 12:57 PM
Response to Original message
4. ...very interesting
i haven't seen the debate, but am planning on watching the replay
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trayted Donating Member (250 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 12:58 PM
Response to Original message
5. Luntz is always wrong. After the NH debate he declared Edwards the winner based on his Focus Group
Edited on Sun Aug-19-07 01:00 PM by trayted
He claimed that Edwards would be moving up in NH.

Edwards has been falling in NH since then.

If Luntz's focus group says that someone won, then they lost.
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zulchzulu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 03:44 PM
Response to Reply #5
21. So you're saying that the people who expressed their opinions are wrong?
They walked in not really knowing Obama and left supporting him. I guess you think that they are stupid... Next thing you know, you'll be making fun of them because they only live in Iowa, so what do they know...

:crazy:

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trayted Donating Member (250 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:11 PM
Response to Reply #21
27. Either wrong or lying. They said the same things about Edwards in Luntz's NH focus group
Edited on Sun Aug-19-07 04:11 PM by trayted
and he tanked in New Hampshire after that. Yes, that's exactly what I'm saying.

I suppose you also believe that the people who went down to Florida in 2000 and banged on the doors where they were re-counting votes actually were citizens who somehow got into the building instead of paid members of the Republican party. You know, back in 2000, the media claimed they were disgruntled citizens.

Some people can be duped so easily.

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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:12 PM
Response to Reply #27
28. So to support Obama is to be wrong?
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trayted Donating Member (250 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:16 PM
Response to Reply #28
31. Did you read post #27? Apparently, you ignored it.
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draft_mario_cuomo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:19 PM
Response to Reply #27
33. Focus groups have about 20 people in them
Edited on Sun Aug-19-07 04:20 PM by draft_mario_cuomo
I would say Obama legitimately won this. I doubt it was rigged. However, is the focus group an accurate reflection of what voters nationally and in Iowa thought about the debate? Let's not forget that after the Youtube debate one focus group (CNN) declared Obama the winner, another Richardson and Clinton the winners, and yet another said Edwards won. We will find out who the real winner was in the next batch of polls.

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trayted Donating Member (250 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:23 PM
Response to Reply #33
34. What does "20 people" have to do with anything? The point is, a group of Republicans
Edited on Sun Aug-19-07 04:26 PM by trayted
went down to Florida in 2000 to try and stop the recount.

The media said that they were "citizens."

Just because Frank Luntz says that this was a group of "Iowa voters" (citizens) does not mean they were, or that they were unbiased or uncoached.

The Luntz Focus Group in New Hampshire said the same things that night about John Edwards that they said today about Barack Obama, and Luntz concluded that Edwards would start moving up in the polls, whereas the exact opposite happened. Edwards fell down to 9% in New Hampshire in the WMUR poll.

Take whatever Luntz and his groups say with a grain of salt. Him and his group, which said the same things about John Edwards in NH.

Either they are unrepresentative, or Luntz is just bad at what he does.
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draft_mario_cuomo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:30 PM
Response to Reply #34
37. My point is we can't put too much stock into what 20 random people said
Edited on Sun Aug-19-07 04:31 PM by draft_mario_cuomo
As the last debate showed, three different focus groups produced four different winners. That speaks volumes about the accuracy of focus groups. If they were accurate gauges of debate results there would be only one winner, not four in those focus groups. What happened in all the polls after the debate, though? Clinton rose, Obama fell, and everyone else stayed about the same.
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trayted Donating Member (250 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 09:32 PM
Response to Reply #37
42. I agree, and Frank Luntz's group, other then the NY Post's, is always the most suspect
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zulchzulu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 09:34 PM
Response to Reply #27
43. Yeah, it was all done with mirrors 'n shit
Ferchrissakes, could you at least said they were jus' a buncha dumb farmers in Iowa? I was waiting for that...

:crazy:

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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-20-07 11:22 AM
Response to Reply #43
50. The poster has gone to his eternal rest
Didn't last long that one.

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TeamJordan23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 12:59 PM
Response to Original message
7. Any links to watch the full debate? nm
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alteredstate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 01:02 PM
Response to Original message
10. Obama was the clear winner of today's debate
He was truly impressive.
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 03:09 PM
Response to Reply #10
14. He was indeed.
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ruggerson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 01:08 PM
Response to Original message
13. If Luntz's group had proclaimed Hillary the winner
this thread would be full of posts about how Luntz, Murdoch, Rove and Ailes are setting us up so that Hillary will be our nominee and lose the presidency.

If Fox is pumping Obama, why is there any reason not to think they are setting us up to lose with him?

Personally, I thought Edwards won the debate and I'm still leaning his way.
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 03:24 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. It's OK, that's the media's job
If the Youtube and AFL-CIO debates are any guide, people vote for Obama, media responds with, "Hillary was majestically the clear winner nobody laid a glove on the frontrunner go fuck yourselves people."

Not to worry.
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 03:30 PM
Response to Reply #13
17. The media is calling Hillary the winner
That's what I heard first thing on CNN this morning. It wasn't until I came here, and then saw the ABC poll and this focus group, that I knew CNN had really gone off into complete fantasyland this morning.
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 03:37 PM
Response to Reply #17
18. They are saying she won because she didn't make any mistakes
not because she was dominant.
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zulchzulu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 03:46 PM
Response to Reply #17
23. Gee... I wonder why CNN would declare Rodham-Clinton the winner?
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:05 PM
Response to Reply #23
25. *sigh* we are so fucked
Do you honestly see any way out of this?

Do you not look around some days and just see this over-indulged class of fat Americans being pampered by subserviant underpaid serfs? Then read the story about the young girl who died from working 16 hours a day in a toy factory in China.

And people like Hillary just go on their merry way, supporting this stuff with no human regard at all.

I will never understand how she duped so many Democrats.
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zulchzulu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:10 PM
Response to Reply #25
26. It's early....
National polls mean nothing until AFTER the first votes get cast. And if you look at how people responded in the focus group, you see how opinions on candidates are pretty thin.

I do wish MSNBC would expose CNN's Gupta links...

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draft_mario_cuomo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:18 PM
Response to Reply #23
32. Why are CNN's polls consistent with the polls of every other firm?
Lame excuse for HRC rising, Obama declining in the polls. :boring:
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zulchzulu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 03:41 PM
Response to Reply #13
20. I was listening to the people's opinions...not what Luntz was saying
Are you implying that the people who responded are stupid? They seemed pretty together to me.

If Clinton had done well, there would have been a show of hands for her performance. They didn't think so, so that hurts your feelings.

Too bad.


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trayted Donating Member (250 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:14 PM
Response to Reply #20
30. Wow, you really are being simple, you know that? You act like just because they are labeled as
Edited on Sun Aug-19-07 04:15 PM by trayted
a "focus group" that they have to be telling the truth. As far as you know they could have been told (paid) to say that.

See post #27.
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zulchzulu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 09:43 PM
Response to Reply #30
44. Put down the crack pipe, junior
It was a group of people who watched the debate. Wow! They changed their mind! OMFG!!!!

Yeah, they could have been space aliens! They could have been reanimated dead people that were controlled by Microsoft's new wireless bluetooth InnerPowerpoint, a virtual puppetry program integrated through neuron chips jacked into the NSA!

Run! Waaaaa!!!!!

:crazy:

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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 09:44 PM
Response to Reply #44
45. Obama's great performance has struck a nerve...
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 03:29 PM
Response to Original message
16. Excellent! 5th Recommend!
:hi:
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zulchzulu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 03:38 PM
Response to Original message
19. For the Luntz bashers, I guess the people were wrong too...
Of course Obama couldn't do well...after all...um...um...um...

Seriously, people who are dissing the people that made their own judgements and opinions and thought Obama did well have NO credibility at all.

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trayted Donating Member (250 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:13 PM
Response to Reply #19
29. Either wrong or lying. See post #27
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zulchzulu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 09:47 PM
Response to Reply #29
46. Or...maybe expressing an opinion... you forgot that one...
If Obama did well in the debate (he won actually), then in your little World of black helicopters and parallel universe acid trips, when people think he did very well, well of course, they are either:

Door Number One:
Wrong

or

Door Number Two:
Lying

Oh...OK... psst... I have to go back to Planet Earth now.... good luck...


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NOVA_Dem Donating Member (195 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 03:44 PM
Response to Original message
22. People who actually watch the debates say Obama won...
and it's always the pundits who proclaim Hillary the winner.
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ariesgem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 03:51 PM
Response to Original message
24. That's great! I believe he's down in the polls because many folks
at first tend to support candidates based solely on name recognition and what the media tells them. If he continues to introduce himself to voters who are not yet familiar with him in the early states, he may take this thing.

I particularly enjoyed these comments from the transcript:

Frank: Did anyone else switch from who they came in here for

Participant: Hillary

Frank: Hillary to...?

Participant: I probably would say more Barack Obama now.

Frank: How many of you thought that she was the biggest disappointment of the debate, raise your hand

Frank: Why? Did she not look presidential to you

Participant: She looked very staged. She looked very cold and I was fairly disappointed coming in as a Hillary supporter. Im not saying that it changed my view, but it did disappoint me quite a bit.

Frank: Tell me why?

Participant: She came across as being very, she was very outgoing and very in control but her answers were wishy washy.

Frank: Great. That was, you've got a clear winner here you've got Obama is the winner. Hillary Clinton is the disappointment of the debate. You know that every time that we do this there is a different answer, there is a different response based on the people that we have here at Des Moines University, but one thing is for clear, Obama is getting better and better as time goes on. The language he uses, the way that he presents himself, his use of facts and figures, he's becoming a whole candidate and I think you'll see that in the polls in the coming weeks. :)

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draft_mario_cuomo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:26 PM
Response to Reply #24
35. The media is the reason Obama is even in the race
;)
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trayted Donating Member (250 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:27 PM
Response to Reply #35
36. Smart "person," since I don't know if you are a man or a woman
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hollowdweller Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-20-07 06:22 AM
Response to Reply #24
48. If your transcript is correct Luntz was leading them

My system is too slow to watch the vid but sounds like he was putting words in their mouths
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alfredo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 04:37 PM
Response to Original message
38. I think the gap between Obama and Hillary was close, but yeah,
Obama did handle himself well.



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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 05:02 PM
Response to Original message
39. Although Luntz is a putz, his panel had some interesting feedback.
Gobama.
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Karmadillo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 05:41 PM
Response to Original message
40. If you can't trust a focus group picked by a Republican pollster working for a right wing network,
who can you trust?
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-19-07 08:57 PM
Response to Original message
41. Gobama!
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Apollo11 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-20-07 04:52 AM
Response to Original message
47. Obama should be on the ticket in 2008, 2012, 2016 & 2020
I think that Edwards' biggest problem is his lack of consistency on the Iraq issue.

ABC (Klein): "...Obama still gets applause by saying we should have figured out how to get out of the war before we got in. Clearly Democrats still care about who was against the war from the start..." LINK <http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2007/08/live-blogging-1.html>


I'm sure Obama will make a great VP for either Al Gore or Wes Clark.

Then he will be ready to take over the Presidency in January 2017. B-)
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-20-07 09:47 AM
Response to Reply #47
49. Obama/Clark 08
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-20-07 11:23 AM
Response to Original message
51. Luntz?
:rofl:
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