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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
NNN0LHI Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-17-04 11:24 PM
Original message
Upcoming Primaries and Caucus's
Edited on Tue Feb-17-04 11:26 PM by NNN0LHI
Feb. 24

State Type Delegates

Hawaii Caucus 20

Idaho Caucus 18

Utah Primary 23

March 2

California Primary 370

Connecticut Primary 49

Georgia Primary 86

Maryland Primary 69

Massachusetts Primary 93

Minnesota Caucus 72

New York Primary 236

Ohio Primary 140

Rhode Island Primary 21

Vermont Primary 15

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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-17-04 11:30 PM
Response to Original message
1. My hunch...
Dean will endorse Edwards on Wednesday.

On Feb 24, Edwards will shoot to win Utah... a state where he'll sell MUCH better than Kerry.

That will give him the "victory" he needs to gain momentum for March 2nd.

Then, on Super Tuesday, Edwards will win:

Georgia, Minnesota, Ohio, Vermont (because of Dean's endorsement)

Kerry will win:

Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, Rhode Island

California will go Kerry, but Edwards will take at least 150 delegates there. Kerry will take NY, but Edwards will take at least 80 delegates there.

When the dust clears on March 3... Kerry will have about 1200 delegates and Edwards will have about 750.

Edwards will have all the big "mo" and with more than half the delegates still out there, he will still be in it.


If the next two weeks go well...then Edwards has a shot at NY and CAL and then ... whoa boy... look out.


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Rowdyboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-17-04 11:52 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Interesting and also very possible
Enjoyed it :thumbsup:
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