Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

40% isn't exactly awe inspiring

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
auburnblu Donating Member (536 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:01 AM
Original message
40% isn't exactly awe inspiring
Kerry seems to have been labeled the clear front runner by every news agency and pitiful "look at me I can jump on the bandwagon once a winner seems clear" politician, but with all of this to only beat Edwards by 5%. Edwards has come out of nowhere. If Edwards was viewed as someone with a little more experience, I believe he would be overtaking Kerry at this point.

My advice to Kerry, don't make anymore references to JFK, why. Because while his initials may be JFK, people may really think of Edwards being the next JFK.

If I'm Edwards I do a backroom deal with Dean, promise him the V-P position for his endorsement and I say bye-bye Kerry. If Dean dropped out tomorrow and endorsed Kerry, I think JFK would be in real trouble.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:02 AM
Response to Original message
1. I don't think any candidate should be making any VP deals at this point.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
NNN0LHI Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:03 AM
Response to Original message
2. He has won 15 out of 17 states. Perhaps that means something? n/t
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Dookus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:04 AM
Response to Original message
3. There are no extra delegates
apportioned based on awe.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
eileen_d Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:05 AM
Response to Original message
4. "If Edwards was viewed as someone with a little more experience"
Edited on Wed Feb-18-04 12:05 AM by eileen_d
... but he's not viewed that way, and he doesn't have as much experience as Kerry does. That's one big reason Kerry is beating him, IMO.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
PROGRESSIVE1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:05 AM
Response to Original message
5. What is with the "anti-Kerry" sentiment here?????
Why is it that so many people hate Kerry????

:puke:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
NNN0LHI Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:06 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. One word. FEAR n/t
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
robsul82 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:35 AM
Response to Reply #6
21. Yeah. I FEAR that he's gonna lose to Bush, and lose badly.
The governor couldn't beat the father, the lieutenant governor can't beat the son.

No it's not, going to stop...'til you wise up.

Later.

RJS
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
2004Donkeys Donating Member (123 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 02:09 AM
Response to Reply #21
35. But Dean (who's behind by 20 pts on Bush) is going to win?
I have an idea for you ... look at the polls and take some reality pills.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Old and In the Way Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 05:02 AM
Response to Reply #35
36. Good one.
Edited on Wed Feb-18-04 05:13 AM by Old and In the Way
For an intelectually saavy political posting site, we sure seem to have a lot of "counter-intuitive" people suggesting courses of action precisely opposite from what the polling data supports.

Support an American hero who helped to end the worst war of my lifetime; a man who's got the foreign intelligence and federal investigation experience on the criminals that are running the show today? Support a man that's won the hearts and minds of the clear majority of Democrats? Nah, what do these media duped fools know? Much better to run someone who can't nearly stack up as well against Bush and who won't be able to bring the office to bear on the shadow government that needs excision to effect real long term change.

Hey, I like John Edwards...he seems like a very nice man. Bear him no ill will at all. His very short record doesn't differentiate him from Kerry. Made a lot of money as a trial lawyer. Just not the best candidate to be elected President of the United States.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:09 AM
Response to Reply #5
11. I don't hate him.
But I don't like his comfort level with power. If he'd been president, it would have been okay to give him the IWR vote because the great John Kerry wouldn't abuse all that power.

Uh, why do I not believe that?

Because absolute power corrupts absolutely.

Oh, yeah, and his IWR vote.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Frances Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:09 AM
Response to Reply #5
12. DU used to be my refuge
a place to come to when it seemed the vast majority of Americans were blind to what Bush was doing to the economy, the environment, the courts

Now it seems that every time I come online there are more negative threads about Democrats than about Bush

Is it because DU has been infiltrated by very clever Republicans whose purpose it is to discourage us?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
gate of the sun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 01:24 AM
Response to Reply #12
30. It's not as simple as that and you know it.
This is the 2004 primary forum. Here we talk about what's going on in the "Primary", obviously people have differing views on who they believe would make the best candidate. Hopefully this is handled with some finesse but not always. If you want to be on the forums where we have negative threads about the Republicans go to general discussion.

Some of our candidates have policies that promote negative threads. At least some view them that way because it's not all about how much we love each and every candidate. Some of these issues must be talked about and debated. Just because these candidates have a "D" next to their name means nothing. We the people are the democratic party......we decide who will represent us. hence their is alto of so called " bashing" going on because well honestly alot of these candidates have alot of explaining to do.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
auburnblu Donating Member (536 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:38 AM
Response to Reply #5
22. Its not that people hate Kerry
But to me, he comes across as a guy that if you're not a rich white liberal that hangs out at Martha's Vineyard, I'm just not sure he's going to relate that much. Clinton came across as a guy that relate to just about anybody. Gore came across as "if you are a rich white liberal from an elite university" I can relate to you otherwise, I'm smarter than you.

Kerry also seems like the classic politician that waffles on a lot of things.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
mikehiggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:40 AM
Response to Reply #5
23. It isn't hatred Pro. It's fear that he is an "empty suit" as opposed to
an "empty vessel".

Even though my candidate, Wes Clark, endorsed Kerry I still can't forget that the reason I supported the Draft Clark movement was because I didn't see anyone in the Democratic field that I thought was capable of beating Bush.

Nothing has changed.

If the media has its way we will end up with two Yale Skull&Bones types facing off across from each other. Not a reassuring prospect.

I've made the point elsewhere that Kerry is like the Milton Berle of politics. He's never heard a good line that he didn't like, or didn't eventually steal.

Listening to him talk tonight about how he would tell Congress that he wanted to give America the same kind of health benefits "you" have, like he was an outsider? Telling Hoffa we'll drill all over the place. All that stuff.

God, now Kerry wants a million people to give him a hundred dollars each. Where did we hear that idea before?

Deep down, John Kerry is shallow, and that just isn't going to cut it going up against the wealth of the BushCo forces.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
gate of the sun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 01:15 AM
Response to Reply #5
28. because a win for Kerry
doesn't seem like a "win" for us. Not even close.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
WilliamPitt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:07 AM
Response to Original message
7. It's a good idea to base your perspective on one state's primary
Edited on Wed Feb-18-04 12:07 AM by WilliamPitt
or not.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Tweed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:07 AM
Response to Original message
8. Neither is 35% n\t
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
PretzelWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:07 AM
Response to Original message
9. I agree. if Dean endorses Kerry, Kerry is in trouble
must be that bad mojo Gore gave to Dean.

I hope Dean continues to fight another day and another day clear up until the last primary in May.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
David Dunham Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:08 AM
Response to Original message
10. Kerry Gets Hugely Important AFL-CIO Endorsement on Thursday
Edited on Wed Feb-18-04 12:10 AM by David Dunham
Every Democrat endorsed by the AFL-CIO in history has won the party's nomination.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:10 AM
Response to Reply #10
13. That's nice.
Union endorsements have been so dependable lately.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
David Dunham Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:14 AM
Response to Reply #13
16. The AFL-CIO Endorsement Is virtually ALL UNIONS combined.
That's why Kerry's getting it will mean so much. Gore got it and beat Bradley in every state.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
SerpentX Donating Member (262 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:12 AM
Response to Original message
14. It ain't exactly peanuts either ...
and if it knocks Dean out of the race, Edwards will have to win decisively in GA, pick up OH, and go 4 for 4 on 3/9. Anything less and Kerry will run out the clock. Not impossible, but very tricky.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:12 AM
Response to Original message
15. Clinton beat Bush and Perot by how much again? nt
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
NV1962 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:23 AM
Response to Original message
17. Yeah yeah, it's still 57% of 1,074 delegates in primaries so far
Sure, 40% today ain't overwhelming, but it Kerry won 16 out of 18 primaries. And yes, on Super Tuesday (two weeks from now) 1,151 more delegates will be split among the winners, but Edwards can't do in two weeks across 10 states what he did in Wisconsin: concentrate on just one state.

Realistically, I think it's pretty clear who the winner is - what remains is the question when and in what order the others drop out.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:29 AM
Response to Reply #17
18. 40% in a 5 (or 6) man field is GREAT!
Geez. Dean and Edwards moved into Wisconsin. Kerry was the punching bag and sleaze reciever ala Drudge.
Kerry's as strong as ever.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
NV1962 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:32 AM
Response to Reply #18
20. Realistically, 40% in a virtual 3-candidate race is not very impressive
At least, not in my view...

:shrug:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Robb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 08:26 AM
Response to Reply #17
38. ...So 43% still wanted someone other than Kerry?
THAT's interesting to me.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
fujiyama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:30 AM
Response to Original message
19. Why would Edwards...
want Dean as his VP? Another question is, would Dean play second fiddle to anyone?

Some of these anti Kerry threads aren't even making sense at this point -- and I say this as someone that thinks Edwards has the best chance in the GE.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MurikanDemocrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:47 AM
Response to Original message
24. Why would Dean endorse Kerry if Edwards promised him the VP?
That doesn't make sense.

And putting a losing candidate on your ticket is a sure way to kill it. Nothing personal, that's just politics.

And, Kerry "seems to have been labeled" the clear front runner because he has won 15 of 17 primaries.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
auburnblu Donating Member (536 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:53 AM
Response to Reply #24
26. It makes sense if
It makes sense for Edwards if he could get a Dean endorsement, because Edwards is really closing the gap and Dean's core voting base is more loyal than anyone's other than Dennis K's.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MurikanDemocrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 01:33 AM
Response to Reply #26
31. But your original post says Dean should endorse Kerry
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
TheDonkey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 12:52 AM
Response to Original message
25. DU believe Edwards is more progressive than Kerry= bizarro world.
:puke:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
bornskeptic Donating Member (951 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 01:03 AM
Response to Original message
27. Look at the exit polls.
Kerry won 48%-31% among Democrats. 38% of the voters were Independent or Republican. No other state gets that high a percentage of non-Democrats. Besides having an open primary, Wisconsin has a tradition of crossover voting and they have other races and issues on the ballot that draw non-Democrats to the polls.

Even if Dean were to drop out and endorse Edwards, there's no way he could ensure that his supporters would follow. Many would go to Kucinich or Kerry.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3762911/
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
dansolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 01:23 AM
Response to Reply #27
29. They might go to Kucinich, but not Kerry
The Dean supporters that haven't already fled to Kerry are very loyal, and are quite pissed at Kerry and the DLC. Edwards has been mostly civil to Dean, and his followers haven't gone out of their way to bully, badger, and antagonize the Dean supporters. If Dean endorsed Edwards, I think a lot of his supporters would vote for Edwards. The real question is whether Kerry supporters will vote for Edwards if he manages to pass Kerry and get the nomination. I, for one, would love to throw ABB back in the face of the Kerry supporters if that happens.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Adjoran Donating Member (650 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 01:43 AM
Response to Original message
32. Is it "hate?"
to wonder aloud about electability of the frontrunner? It wasn't when Dean was way out in front, was it?

Our prospects in the House and Senate are not good, particularly after redistricting and retirements. Our best chance is the White House. A strong win there could help with Congress, too.

If a candidate clinches the nomination, party unity dictates that criticism from within should be ended. Until that happens, the campaign continues.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MessiahRp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 01:57 AM
Response to Original message
33. The WI Primary was freeped...(eom)
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 07:20 AM
Response to Reply #33
37. So Were The Other Open Primaries- Against Clark
too bad Kerry supporters...
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
2004Donkeys Donating Member (123 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 02:08 AM
Response to Original message
34. How many states has Edwards won?
n/t
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
flpoljunkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 08:53 AM
Response to Original message
39. Problem:Exit polls shows Dean voters split evenly between Kerry & Edwards

http://nytimes.com/2004/02/18/politics/campaign/18ELEC.html?hp

A critical question now, some Democrats said, is whether Dr. Dean, who has not won a single contest, withdraws from the race and throws his support to Mr. Edwards or Mr. Kerry. A survey of voters leaving the polls found that those who said they had once intended to support Dr. Dean split evenly between Mr. Edwards and Mr. Kerry.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
markses Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 08:59 AM
Response to Original message
40. Clinton won WI by a mere 20,000 votes in 1992 (37% - 33%)
40% is plenty, playah.

1992

Candidate Vote Percent
Clinton 287,356 37.19
Brown 266,207 34.46
Tsongas 168,619 21.82
Uninstructed 15,487 2
Other/Unknown 13,650 1.77
McCarthy 6,525 0.84
Harkin 5,395 0.7
Agran 3,193 0.41
Larouche 3,120 0.4
Kerrey 3,044 0.39
Total 772,596

2004 (96% Reporting)

Kerry 314,736 40%
Edwards 273,855 34%
Dean 144,980 18%
Kucinich 26,495 3%
Sharpton 14,047 2%
Clark 12,152 2%
Uncommitted 1,071 0%
Total 787,366
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-18-04 09:05 AM
Response to Original message
41. 40,000 votes is a nice size win
You can spin it anyway you want, but a loss is a loss is a loss.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Thu May 02nd 2024, 07:06 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC