Gallup: Guliani support thin & indifferent; Clinton support committed & enthusiastic

Beyond the horse-race aspect, this is good news for all Dems, enthusiasm-wise. Guliani must go down, and go down hard. The man is a menace.

Where things stand: Election 2008

There are a number of signs which underscore Hillary Clinton’s strong position in the race for the Democratic nomination. Number one, of course, is her tremendous lead in the national polls. She has a 29 point lead over her nearest competitor in our latest USA Today/Gallup poll. A CNN poll released yesterday shows virtually the same thing.

Second, when one looks at any summary of where the early primary and caucus states are at this point, Clinton also looks strong. She has strong leads in most early primary states, including New Hampshire. Her only potential weakness: Iowa, where available polling suggests a much closer race, albeit with the huge caveat that predicting the outcome of a caucus process is very tricky. The Clinton campaign is well aware of her relative weakness in Iowa, and there’s little doubt that securing a win in that state’s caucus is now the number one short term objective of her entire campaign apparatus.

67% of Clinton voters say they are certain to vote for her and won’t change their minds. Less than half of those Democrats who say they support one of the other Democratic candidates are certain to vote for them. Plus, 64% of Democrats say they would support Hillary Clinton’s candidacy enthusiastically, rather than just as a vote to beat the Republicans.

Plus, as my colleague Jeff Jones’ has recently discussed here, history shows that there has never been a Democratic candidate with a 20 point or larger lead this late in the campaign process who did not go on to win the nomination. (SNIP...)

http://blogs.usatoday.com/gallup/2007/10/where-things-st.html

"history shows that there has never been a Democratic candidate with a 20 point or larger lead this late in the campaign process who did not go on to win the nomination."

I was surprised to see that Ted Kennedy was two-to-one over Carter in 1979 polling.

re: The enthusiasm factor:

"All told, 57% of Democrats who express a candidate preference say they are certain to support that candidate, much better than the 44% of Republicans who say they are certain to support their first choice for the Republican nomination. But the Democratic number is inflated by Clinton supporters -- 67% of Democrats who name Clinton as their first choice say they are certain to support her, compared with just 44% of Democrats who support any of the other Democratic presidential candidates Thus, it appears that the Democrats' advantage in candidate enthusiasm over Republicans is largely attributable to heightened excitement among Clinton backers."

http://www.galluppoll.com/content/?ci=29050&loc=interstitialskip

2004- Early frontrunner wasn't Kerry
2000- Early frontrunner was Gore, former VP
1992- Early frontrunner wasn't Clinton.
1988- Early frontrunner wasn't Dukakis
1984- Early frontrunner was Mondale, former VP
1976- Early frontrunner wasn't Carter.
1976- Early frontrunner wasn't McGovern

So you could claim that the early frontrunner only gets the dem nomination when they are a VP or former VP.

Alas, I don't doubt that HRC may be the nominee, but I would count your chickens yet.

and, FYI, Kerry was the early frontrunner - way early in 2003.

Yes,of course Gallup joins in the Hillary chorus. The armies of Fascism have their chosen one.

His stance never wavers...

You should do a search...

And just had to try it out..?

:rofl:

Remember, the people who don't support Hillary are also committed and enthusiastic about stopping her.

It is the condescension of her opponents that stiffen the resolve of her supporters...

There are people out there who would crawl through broken glass for Ron Paul, but it's not really germane to who will win the republican nomination.

especially if up against Hillary

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4IrE6FMpai8


I was baptized in a Southern Baptist church at fourteen and I never saw anything like that until I went to the big city...

are sick and disgusted.

While Obama armies of college students are going to go out and vote in the primaries!

:sarcasm:

"All told, 57% of Democrats who express a candidate preference say they are certain to support that candidate, much better than the 44% of Republicans who say they are certain to support their first choice for the Republican nomination. But the Democratic number is inflated by Clinton supporters -- 67% of Democrats who name Clinton as their first choice say they are certain to support her, compared with just 44% of Democrats who support any of the other Democratic presidential candidates Thus, it appears that the Democrats' advantage in candidate enthusiasm over Republicans is largely attributable to heightened excitement among Clinton backers."

http://www.galluppoll.com/content/?ci=29050&loc=interst...