Rasmussen: Clinton -46% Obama -18% Edwards -14%

DemocratSinceBirth

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:05 AM
Original message

Rasmussen: Clinton -46% Obama -18% Edwards -14%

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, little has changed. Clinton attracts 46% support and continues to enjoy a commanding lead over Barack Obama, who earns the vote from 18%. John Edwards attracts 14%. Bill Richards is at the 4% mark and no other candidate attracts more than 3% support from Likely Democratic Primary Voters (see recent daily numbers). A Rasmussen Reports analysis this week noted that the only bad numbers for Clinton these days can be found on the calendar.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

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Ian David

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:06 AM
Response to Original message

1. You forgot the most important part...

Edited on Fri Oct-26-07 09:14 AM by IanDB1

Many polls this year have highlighted the GOP weakness among young voters. A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey released today shows that comedian Stephen Colbert, running as an independent, attracts more voters under 30 than the GOP candidate.
http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/2008_presidential_election/comedian_colbert_reaches_double_digits_as_third_party_candidate

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sampsonblk

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:09 AM
Response to Original message

2. Wow-nt

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ihelpu2see

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:13 AM
Response to Original message

3. as a general note... small sample sizes of "likely voters" and still 40+ % can't

name a republican running (A PEW POLL).... The public is just starting to pay attention.... The national polls are just name rec. at this point.

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phen43

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:25 AM
Response to Original message

4. I would like to know the sample size & who is being polled?

I just don't have give any credibility to any of these "polls". Many times you find that the sampling size is far too small to show any real impact. And, just who are they polling, all of Hillary's supporters? I am a registered Democrat and have been for many years(with a listed phone number) and have NEVER been polled once!!!!:patriot:

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DavidDvorkin

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:29 AM
Response to Original message

5. See the graph at the link below

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=3518385&mesg_id=3648436

I update that graph and post about it every day.

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DemocratSinceBirth

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:30 AM
Response to Reply #5

6. The Race Seems Flat

DSB

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Tellurian

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:39 AM
Response to Reply #6

8. Third day in a row Obama below 20%

His supporters are running a great PR campaign for him here!

Thanks guys!

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geek tragedy

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:42 AM
Response to Reply #6

11. It's a rolling average of the previous 4 days'

polling.

So, if he polls at 5% in one day, it'll lower his % for the next four days.

For example, if he gets a terrible number on Monday's polling, it will affect:

Tuesday's
Wednesday's
Thursday's
Friday's

reported averages.

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DemocratSinceBirth

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:46 AM
Response to Reply #11

12. Rolling Averages Seem To Be Better

Edited on Fri Oct-26-07 09:47 AM by DemocratSinceBirth

Because one day polling gives you anomalies...

I remember in 04 Zogby had Dean within striking distance of Kerry in NH after the IA debacle...I knew that result was specious...

On the other hand in 00 Zogby and I believe CBS polled right up to Election day and caught the trend for Gore that polls that stopped on Friday missed...

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geek tragedy

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:32 AM
Response to Original message

7. I won't worry unless Obama stays below 20%

for 5+ days--the downtick could be attributed to one especially bad day.

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Colobo

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:40 AM
Response to Reply #7

9. He's having a particularly bad week.

It shall pass.

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DemocratSinceBirth

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:41 AM
Response to Reply #9

10. Hey- You Got Beat Up Pretty Bad On The Biden Thread

I got your back, pardner...

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OHdem10

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Fri Oct-26-07 09:55 AM
Response to Original message

13. Last night I think it was Lou Dobbs and maybe Fox

showed Clinton dropping --only a few points but dropping.

I did not copy it because I thought as usual it wouod be everywhere
by today.

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