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IA Poll (ARG): Edwards campaign near complete collapse? / HRC 32%, BO 22%, JE 15%

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Yukari Yakumo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:12 PM
Original message
IA Poll (ARG): Edwards campaign near complete collapse? / HRC 32%, BO 22%, JE 15%
http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres08/iadem8-711.html
ARG IA Poll October (September) (August)

Clinton 32% (+2) (+4)
Obama 22% (-2) (-1)
Edwards 15% (-4) (-5)
Richardson 7% (-3) (-6)
Biden 5% (+2) (+4)
Dodd 2% (+1) (+1)
Kucinich 1% (nc) (-2)
Gravel -% (nc) (nc)
Undecided 16% (+3) (+5)

- - - - -

At his peak in March, Edwards was polling at 33%, and in June he was at 29% Today, his numbers are half of what they were in June. Is his status as a frontrunner over? IMHO, I would say yes.
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Sanity Claws Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:14 PM
Response to Original message
1. The first primary has not even been held
He's not near collapse.
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Birthmark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:14 PM
Response to Original message
2. Yes, only Hillary can win the nomination.
The media are always right.
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MalloyLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:16 PM
Response to Original message
3. 16% undecided plus 4% magin of error
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:20 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. So He Could Be At 12
DSB
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MalloyLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:37 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. Or he could be at 19%, similar to the other IA poll
With 16% undecided. If he gets even a third of that he will become competitive again.
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MBS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 05:02 PM
Response to Reply #3
15. yup, that undecided % really stands out for me
.. both the 16% value in itself, and especially the fact that the undecided % is going UP. I think (hope!) that Iowa caucuses will yield some real surprises. Among other things, I'd like to see all those overpayed, overconfident Talking Heads with egg all over their stupid faces.
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MalloyLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 05:11 PM
Response to Reply #15
18. talking heads were downplaying an Edwards surprise
Saying , "what then?"
Dumbasses
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jillan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:21 PM
Response to Original message
5. hehe - look at my guy - after HRC, he is the next one whose #'s are going up!


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Ninga Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:23 PM
Response to Original message
6. Edwards has not spent ONE DIME yet, for media buys in Iowa. He will. And then watch.
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liskddksil Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:47 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. ARG has always underestimated Edwards strength as well
compared to other polls.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:49 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:55 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. Here's Their Website
Edited on Tue Oct-30-07 04:59 PM by DemocratSinceBirth
http://www.predatory.com/


And I suggest you withdraw your cheap shot about people being paid to post or there is going to be the "mother of all internet pissing matches"... It's insulting!!!
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Yukari Yakumo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:54 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. If he hasn't spent a dime yet, then why is he taking public financing? {nt}
uguu
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Ninga Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 05:09 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. If he takes public financing he has to spend it right now...all of it???? I think he
is timing his media buys for when they will have the most impact and when people will be paying the most attention.
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Ninga Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 05:09 PM
Response to Reply #11
17. dupe. self delete
Edited on Tue Oct-30-07 05:10 PM by Ninga
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Alamom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:52 PM
Response to Original message
10. Thank you. nm
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bigdarryl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 04:59 PM
Response to Original message
13. I think this is good news for Edwards and Obama Iowa rarely goes for the ...
candidate who is leading in the polls
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polichick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 05:02 PM
Response to Original message
14. I don't give a fig about polls...
How sad that they do encourage some voters to jump on the bandwagon.
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More Than A Feeling Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 05:12 PM
Response to Original message
19. It doesn't say what the expected turnout the poll is assuming.
That makes a significant difference.
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ShortnFiery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 05:13 PM
Response to Original message
20. I sincerely hope and pray that Edwards and his supporters put their
votes behind Obama. That is the ONE chance we have at beating HRC. I sure hope that we can set aside our differences? Edwards would make an excellent VP and later perhaps President? :shrug: .... Yeah, I'm sucking up --- but it makes sense (Obama/Edwards), no?
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elizm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-30-07 05:19 PM
Response to Original message
21. Isn't it great!
Just go on over to pollster.com and take a look at some of the latest general election matchup polls and see how she's STILL doing against Guiliani. Isn't it great that the Democrats are so hell bent on nominating someone even John McCain beats in some places. Yes, the Democrats should really be celebrating. :eyes:
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