Marist poll: Hil's 34% pre-debate lead over Obama shrinks to 25% after debate

antiimperialist

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Tue Nov-06-07 05:13 PM
Original message

Marist poll: Hil's 34% pre-debate lead over Obama shrinks to 25% after debate

Edited on Tue Nov-06-07 05:13 PM by antiimperialist

A new Marist poll conducted in four days--two days before and two days after the latest Democratic debate that took place on Tuesday night, found the following:

Monday-Tuesday: Hil 52%, Obama 16%
Wednesday-Thursday: Hil 43%, Obama 18%

Hillary leads Giuliani in a hypothetical matchup, but the lead was 12% before the debate, and 9% afterwards.
Link to poll:

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lvx35

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Tue Nov-06-07 05:15 PM
Response to Original message

1. Bad news.

Edited on Tue Nov-06-07 05:22 PM by lvx35

Hillary leads Giuliani in a hypothetical matchup, but the lead was 12% before the debate, and 9% afterwards.

That suggests an overall more negative picture of Democrats as a result of the debate.

edit: Though it may not be bad in this situation...they all gathered in undecided, (and for Richardson) which traditionally would be bad news, but with Bush in charge I think that its actually fine, they will not hop the fence.

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SteppingRazor

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Tue Nov-06-07 05:16 PM
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2. Kinda odd that 9 percent left Hillary, but only 2 percent joined Obama, while Edwards lost 2 points

Hell, the big winner looks like Richardson, who went from 2 to 6.

Actually, I guess the biggest gain was undecided. Although, most of those can be expected to rejoin Hillary after a couple weeks, if previous elections are any indication.

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AtomicKitten

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Tue Nov-06-07 05:18 PM
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3. There was an average movement of 11-points in polling

... with Hillary losing ground and Obama gaining ground, in various combinations.

And I am one happy camper.

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theoldman

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Tue Nov-06-07 05:18 PM
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4. If you look back at previous years you will see that the polls

change continuously during the weeks before an election. They go up and down, seldom in one direction.

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antiimperialist

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Tue Nov-06-07 05:21 PM
Response to Reply #4

5. Yes, but this trend is true for all polls, and it's a big change

Hil is losing about 33% of her lead in all post-debate polls.

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CyberPieHole

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Tue Nov-06-07 05:23 PM
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6. According to the poll, Clinton JUMPS UP TO 48%...

...and Obama slips back down to 17%. Am I reading this incorrectly? No snark...I'm just not sure if that is what the poll says.

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