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Am I the only one who is disturbed that our "front runner" only ties Rudy?

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jackbourassa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 07:59 PM
Original message
Am I the only one who is disturbed that our "front runner" only ties Rudy?
The latest Rasmussen poll, which Hillary-bots love so much, has Hillary trailing Giuliano by 4%. If one wants to be fair about it, given the volatility of that particular poll, you have to say that at best Hillary ties Giuliani.

Both Rudy and Hillary are known commodities. And worse, Giuliani's weakness seems to come from Republicans who will never vote for Hillary under any circumstance.

On these boards and others, I keep hearing that our victory in November 08 is a certainty. Yet, our front runner, with nearly 100% name identification, can do no better than tie the Republican's front runner, whose inherent weakness comes from soft-Republican support.

Am I the only one who is troubled by this?

Is there a lot of whistling past the graveyard going on here?
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The Velveteen Ocelot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:04 PM
Response to Original message
1. Don't worry.
After Iowa there could well be a different front-runner.
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Catch22Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #1
9. Just as in 2004
It surprises me how short some memories are around here. A Dean nomination was a foregone conclusion going into 2004 and look what happened. Anything can, and likely will happen.
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bvar22 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 11:50 AM
Response to Reply #9
40. I remember 2004.
The Party Machine that torpedoed Dean in 2004 is the same Party Machine that now supports Hillary.

There is legitimate cause for deep concern.


"There are forces within the Democratic Party who want us to sound like kinder, gentler Republicans. I want us to compete for that great mass of voters that want a party that will stand up for working Americans, family farmers, and people who haven't felt the benefits of the economic upturn."---Paul Wellstone
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adnelson60087 Donating Member (661 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:06 PM
Response to Original message
2. I am very troubled by Hillary's 50% negatives
since that necessitates a VERY close and dangerous race. Dems should seek a candidate who can rally the country, 55% being a rallying point. Edwards would have the best chance of that considering his populist views and moderate social status. Obama as PREZ nominee would polarize the GOP into their Southern Strategy revised for '08, leading to another very nasty election season, reducing turnout, and giving the GOP their best (only) shot at keeping the White House.
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Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:11 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. I agree with you. However, corporations run this election....
As long as candidates have to beg for money to run, corporations will run the elections, and corporations don't mind another Republican, and they wouldn't mind Sen. Clinton. It's all terrifying.
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neutron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 10:32 PM
Response to Reply #4
21. Clinton is more left wing than she lets on.
You might take a look at her bio.
If you want corporate, go with Edwards whose claim to be the
next Dean is hollow.
He voted for the war. He even voted for Bankruptcy reform that
is hurting the very people he claims to bleed for.
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waiting for hope Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 11:46 PM
Response to Reply #21
32. Only been here about a month
and that's the second Edwards jab I seen from you tonight - what's your point? :sarcasm:
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Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 09:57 AM
Response to Reply #21
38. Her voting record scares me.
She might be more left wing than she lets on, but she's hiding it very well. I don't think she'll be elected. I think her running will put another Republican in office because she's our weakest link in the Dem Party and this country isn't feminist enough for a woman president. In the event she were to be elected, she'll be a president that reflects her short record in the Congress.
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Demeter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:48 PM
Response to Reply #2
12. And that 50% Is Among the Democrats!
It's no doubt higher in the other columns!
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 10:58 PM
Response to Reply #12
26. I think it's because there are so many other viable Dems that appeal to us all for
whatever reasons.. Nothing against Hillary, but she's got some tough competition and they're bound to take away from her at this point.

I don't think the Rep offerings lend themselves to such diversity among voters. They only have a couple of candidates who are palatable to them, whereas we have someone for everyone!

And like others have said -- this too, shall pass.


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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 11:05 PM
Response to Reply #12
27. Right you are,,,As the saying goes...
..Democrats can always manage to pluck defeat from the jaws of victory.

:rofl:
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Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:09 PM
Response to Original message
3. We Democrats are making another mistake, and we're not correcting it
I don't get it. I really don't.
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nightrider767 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:12 PM
Response to Original message
5. Hillary is not running against Rudy now....
If she wins the nomination, and he wins, love her or hate her, make no mistake about it, she will eat him for lunch.

Rudy is currently running in a "vacuum", but he has more holes in his armor than a loaf of Swiss cheese.

Rudy is lower than a swamp rat.

He's heading for a big embarrassment.
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jackbourassa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 12:55 AM
Response to Reply #5
33. I don't think so
Hillary is not popular at all among independents. She may be loved by Democrats, but she is widely disliked by independents and republicans. Like I wrote in the original post, Rudy manages to tie her now and he hasn't even consolidated his Republican support.

Let's say the race right now is 45% to 45% (roughly, for the sake of argument).

The 10% outstanding vote are among Republicans and independent conservatives WHO WILL NEVER SUPPORT HILLARY CLINTON.

Which means conceivably, she could lose this election by 10%.
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hayu_lol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 02:51 AM
Response to Reply #5
36. Nightrider...you are right on target...
This is a comparison of apples and oranges--they are in different parties. Everybody seems to want to make of these primaries, a general election.

The gloves come off in the GE and the candidates really surface at that time. A womanizing cross dresser cannot possibly stand up to Hillary. Or Obama. Or maybe even Edwards. She will, as Nightrider states, "eat him for lunch."
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Basileus Basileon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:12 PM
Response to Original message
6. First, knock it off with the Hillbots talk. Secondly, Yes. Hillary is not the candidate
to fight Ghoul with. Hillary is the candidate for grabbing the center against a Bush-esque Republican. She'd probably kick Thompson's ass in the general.

However, she is not the candidate to fight a social moderate like Rudy. The two of them will compete for the center, while the Clinton name will fire up the right wing to support the Giuliani no matter what. Against Rudy, I have to think that Obama would be a better choice.
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:25 PM
Response to Original message
7. Insulting fellow Democrats is a real winning strategy.
Who's your candidate? Does he endorse your disgusting behavior?
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LibDemAlways Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:34 PM
Response to Original message
8. If it's close enough to steal, the repukes will
steal it. That's what they're counting on, and, I suspect, the main reason Rove left. His job will be to work behind the scenes to assure a 2008 election theft.
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snot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:43 PM
Response to Original message
10. k&r'd -- NO, I too am astounded -- How can it be that nearly everyone --
even in my ultra-conservative location -- HATES the current administration, and yet we're to believe 50% of the population is rooting for another Repub???
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terrya Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:46 PM
Response to Original message
11. That assumes that Giuliani will win the nomination.
Which I'm not so sure is a done deal.

I still think it will be Romney. Who, if she's the nominee, Senator Clinton will beat.
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illinoisprogressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:49 PM
Response to Original message
13. that is because they never mention the head to head of Edwards & Obama who do better
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:57 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. That is Why We Have to DRAFT GORE!
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neutron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 10:29 PM
Response to Reply #15
20. Is it too late for Gore?
The two male top runners are looking like duds, and they are sliming Hillary into oblivion.
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tritsofme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 10:50 PM
Response to Reply #15
24. The only way that could happen would be through subverting the Democratic process
Through entry to the process at the convention, primary filing deadlines have passed in many states.
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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 08:51 PM
Response to Original message
14. Clinton is not the best GE candidate. Obama is.
That's one of many reasons I cannot support Clinton -- she's not electable and she'd have the shortest coattails in history, given
her negatives everywhere but the Northeast and West Coast. The latest head-to-head matchups from SurveyUSA shows she can't
even beat McCain, while Obama leads all Republicans by a wide margin in the general election.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=2d211d2a-ee13-40ab-8455-5a70b9b55bfe
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 09:37 PM
Response to Reply #14
16. These cherry-picked bits of nonsense have reached the point of lying
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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 11:30 PM
Response to Reply #16
31. What are you talking about? The results of the SurveyUSA poll are clear.
Try again, swift boater.
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polichick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 10:00 PM
Response to Original message
17. Actually, I find it disturbing that any American would...
Edited on Fri Nov-23-07 10:00 PM by polichick
...vote for Giuliani ~ Biden is dead-on about him: a noun, a verb, 9-11 and NOTHING ELSE!
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 10:25 PM
Response to Original message
18. Every four years these know-it-alls come up with the perfect
Edited on Fri Nov-23-07 10:25 PM by Kahuna
Dem candidate they are certain will win. And just about every time it ends in defeat in the general election. Given their track record I wonder where this arrogance comes from.
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neutron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 10:26 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. A New Yorker on his 14th wife with a mob connection
Edited on Fri Nov-23-07 10:27 PM by neutron
will really be the next president of this country.
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 10:45 PM
Response to Reply #19
23. Read my post AGAIN.
:eyes:
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 11:11 PM
Response to Reply #19
28. Mob Connections Didn't Hurt the Current pResident Any
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pnwmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 10:36 PM
Response to Original message
22. The poll doesn't show her "trailing" him. You were right the first time,
it shows a statistical tie. There is no such thing as a LEAD when the DIFFERENCE is within the statistical error.

And, no, I'm not worried. This is just one poll, and the country has not really gotten to know Ghouli yet. When they do, he's going to lose a lot of soft support.
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sniffa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 10:50 PM
Response to Original message
25. off to the greatest page you go
i agree whole heartedly. i've been telling DUers over and over that they're whistling past the grave yard.

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DS1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 11:13 PM
Response to Original message
29. I'm disturbed by our front runner in general
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-23-07 11:28 PM
Response to Original message
30. The GHOUL is Coming! Can Anyone Stop Him?
Why isn't this setting off alarms at Democratic headquarters?



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Seabiscuit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 12:57 AM
Response to Original message
34. Don't you know that all those polls are pure b.s.???
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PBass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 12:58 AM
Response to Original message
35. The entire premise of your thread is wrong....
Sorry...!

Both Rudy and Hillary are known commodities.


That is simply not true. Rudy is NOT a "known commodity". It is quite clear that the more GOP voters get to know Rudy, the less they generally like him. Rudy's poll numbers are trending DOWN and his poll numbers will continue to trend down over the upcoming year, as his positions on abortion, gun control, gay rights, his infidelity, his crossdressing, his significant connection to the corrupt Bernard Kerik, become more and more well known.

Hell in 1972 Rudy voted for McGOVERN for president. How do you think that will play among the rank & file GOP voters???? Rudy's freaking hopeless, he's toast!!!! He doesn't have even the slightest chance of winning the primary OR a general election. IMO, Democrats probably have SIX potential nominees who would knock Rudy out in a general election (Obama, Clinton, Edwards, Biden, Dodd, Richardson would all beat Rudy in a general election, IMHO)

If you're worried about Rudy then IMO you need to pay closer attention... his campaign is a joke.
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Quixote1818 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 03:03 AM
Response to Original message
37. Most American's are not engaged yet
They probably don't know if Rudy is a Democrat or a Republican.
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skyblue Donating Member (724 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 10:19 AM
Response to Original message
39. Republicans suck. Found a disturbing article on the Giuliani.
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rucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 11:54 AM
Response to Original message
41. Once they know Rudy like we know Rudy...
he's toast. Right now, pretty much everything's on name-recognition alone.
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Inuca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 12:39 PM
Response to Reply #41
45. Don't be so sure
there are things about Giuliani that can be appealing to many, including independents. He is a strange one, difficult to peg and predict. I think he is beyond scary, but he is smart,quick on his feet, extremely aggressive (potentially in a very effectvie manner, it would depend a lot on who he may have to run against), conveys strength, and to many I guess even some kind of warped integrity, etc., etc.
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ginchinchili Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 11:54 AM
Response to Original message
42. She can only go down from here.
The Republican attack machine hasn't even started up their engines yet. The Democrats will be at serious risk of losing the general election if Hillary is made the nominee.
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Czolgosz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 12:21 PM
Response to Original message
43. She could snatch defeat from the jaws of victory
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asdjrocky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 12:25 PM
Response to Original message
44. I'm more disturbed that....
MSM has anointed her as our front runner. I believe the country can do better.
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 09:55 PM
Response to Original message
46. NEVER underestimate the pure IGNORANCE of the American voting public.
However, I don't think Rudy is going to be doing so well in the General election after the NY firefighters rake his ass over the coals.:7

Just knowing there are still people in this country who would support the repuke party makes my head explode! They're ignorant! That's all there is to it. NO ONE in their right mind would be supporting that party...look at what they've done to our country. It's just insane.
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 09:58 PM
Response to Original message
47. Rudy has to be derailed. With him in charge of a broken
democratic republic, we are in BIG trouble.
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jillan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-24-07 10:04 PM
Response to Original message
48. Biden is exactly where she is.
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