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TWO NEW POLLS: HILLARY CLINTON LEADS IN IOWA BY 5-7 POINTS

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Alamom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 12:38 PM
Original message
TWO NEW POLLS: HILLARY CLINTON LEADS IN IOWA BY 5-7 POINTS
http://www.hillaryclinton.com/news/release/view/?id=4487


12/3/2007
TWO NEW POLLS: HILLARY CLINTON LEADS IN IOWA BY 5-7 POINTS

AP-Pew poll also shows strong double-digit leads in NH and SC; Clinton leading on important issues, most electable

Hillary Clinton leads all Democrats in Iowa, according to a new AP-Pew poll showing her leading by 5 points, and an Iowa State poll showing her ahead by 7. In addition, new AP-Pew polls show her leading by 19 in New Hampshire and 14 in South Carolina. The polls also show her ahead on the issues most important to voters, as well as the most electable Democrat:

Iowa

Hillary leads the AP-Pew poll with 31 percent, compared to 26 percent for Obama and 19 percent for Edwards.
In addition, the new Iowa State University poll shows Hillary ahead with 31 percent, compared to 24 percent for Edwards, and 20 percent for Obama.

New Hampshire:

Hillary leads the AP-Pew poll with 38 percent, doubling each of her opponents. Obama follows with 19 percent, and Edwards at 15 percent.

South Carolina:

Hillary leads the AP-Pew poll with 45 percent, followed by Obama at 31 percent, and Edwards at 10 percent.
Hillary and Obama are even among black voters in SC, and Hillary leads by 3-to-1 among white voters.

Support among key groups:

In the AP-Pew polls, Hillary has amassed strong support among female, older, less-educated and lower-income Democrats -- significant because women and older voters in particular have dominated these primaries and caucuses in the past.
Hillary leads among women in each state, drawing the support of nearly half of women in New Hampshire and South Carolina, and more than a third in Iowa.


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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 12:40 PM
Response to Original message
1. YES! YES! YES!
The ship isn't sinking as fast as everyone thought.
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Nedsdag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 12:41 PM
Response to Original message
2. How old are the Iowa polls?
I heard rumors the last day of polling was 11/25.
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 12:42 PM
Response to Original message
3. Bogus.
One poll has month old data.

The other is a poll commissioned by the University, with no methodology reported.

That being said, I understand how the Hillary Machine is desperate for any glimmer of *hope*.
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MNDemNY Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 12:48 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. .
:cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry:
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 01:35 PM
Response to Reply #3
9. That's just silly.
I doubt that Clinton in desperate. She's still the front runner by practically any measure. To be sure, they'll fight like hell to keep it that way, but reports of her political death are premature.
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 01:39 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. You may not like the word but you get my point.
No honest observer would say that Hillary has NOT had a rough go of it these past few weeks.

That being said, I agree that she's still the front-runner. The bigger they are...the harder they fall.
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ariesgem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 07:03 PM
Response to Reply #3
17. Clinton's internet director Peter Daou posted these polls today on KOS
Hillary leads in two new Iowa polls
by Peter Daou
Mon Dec 03, 2007 at 07:54:22 AM PST

NOTE: I am the Clinton campaign's Internet Director

I wanted to draw your attention to a pair of new polls from Iowa:

AP-Pew: Clinton 31, Obama 26, Edwards 19, Richardson 10

..........

Iowa State University: Clinton 31, Edwards 24, Obama 20, Richardson 11.

.........

"We'll see how much attention these polls get..."



http://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/12/3/10497/3446
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 12:55 PM
Response to Original message
5. Methodology
The telephone poll, done by The Associated Press and the Pew Research Center, was conducted Nov. 7-25 and involved interviews with 594 likely Democratic voters in New Hampshire. It had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.


The telephone poll, done by The Associated Press and the Pew Research Center, was conducted Nov. 7-25 and involved interviews with 460 likely Democratic voters in Iowa. It had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5.5 percentage points.


The telephone poll, by The Associated Press and the Pew Research Center, was conducted Nov. 7-25 and involved interviews with 373 likely Democratic voters in South Carolina. It had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 6 percentage points.


*All from links in Hillary's press release.
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William769 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 01:17 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. I guess polls will become meaningless again on DU.
:rofl:
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Rock_Garden Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 01:32 PM
Response to Original message
7. Sounds good to me.
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Mass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 01:34 PM
Response to Original message
8. If she is happy to push 2 old polls, good for her.
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sundancekid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 01:39 PM
Response to Original message
10. desperation, thy new name is billary - will you get off with posting OLDEST frikking poll data
of the last 5 ones released? back to the future all of a sudden has a whole new meaning here
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jgraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 06:20 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. Poll-rigging, thy name is Mark Penn
This is part of his standard bag of tricks to convince people they want something they really don't want.
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bigdarryl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 06:25 PM
Response to Original message
13. If her poll numbers are that great why the FUCK is she attacking him personally
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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 06:30 PM
Response to Original message
14. NBC's Chuck Todd dismissed these results, saying, "All polls are not created equal."
He said there's a reason most journalists go with the Des Moines Register poll (where Obama leads Clinton 28%-25%) . He said, "They usually get it right
and they have been doing ti a long time."

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Evergreen Emerald Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 07:05 PM
Response to Reply #14
18. the unbiased media again--we can surely count on the media
to give us the facts.

(that is sarcasm by the way)
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quiet.american Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 06:38 PM
Response to Original message
15. Years ago, I would have been ecstatic to hear this.
Now I greet the news with a vague sense of dread.
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Sancho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 06:49 PM
Response to Original message
16. Kicked
:dem:
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calteacherguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-03-07 07:20 PM
Response to Original message
19. The Pew poll is old data from 11/7. This is OLD DATA. nt
Edited on Mon Dec-03-07 07:31 PM by calteacherguy
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