Shock Therapy
by Hannah (my copyleft)
Pt. 1
As all good torturers know, fear and uncertainty can be wonderfully motivating.
In Naomi Klein’s latest book, The Shock Doctrine, she explains how this simple principle has been used to push through neo-liberal economic policy around the world. In the wake of crises and disasters, the boys from the IMF and the World Bank would show up, loans in hand, preaching the gospel of privatization and austerity.
The natives, their better judgment clouded by fear and confusion — or bribes, when needed — would generally submit. It was called “shock therapy.”
...Case in point, right here at home: Social Security.
A recent headline from my local paper: “Social Security 13.6 Trillion Short.” Big, scary number, but you’ll search the article in vain for any contextual detail. Just how much is 13.6 trillion? And when will this shortfall occur? Next week? Next year? Sometime in infinity?
They don’t say. Just the scary number. The lack of context, boys and girls, is a clue you’re being played.
The correct answer is: “Sometime in infinity”.1
Pt. 2
...So new tax cuts were passed by a bipartisan Congress in 2001, and once again, the main beneficiaries were — you guessed it — the filthy rich. The top 1% of wage earners, those making 500K and up, saved 70 billion in 2006 alone. Enough to fund the Department of Education with change to spare.
Over the ten years 2001-2010, the top 5%, those making 191K and up, will save about 920 billion dollars. That’s 48.3% of all Bush’s tax cuts.1
Incidentally, that’s about half of what’s in the Social Security Trust Fund right now, built up over 24 years on wages under 97K.
But the Trust Fund debt, some say, is “just IOUs”. You’ve heard the spiel. Here’s Bush in 2005:
"Now, let me tell you something about the Social Security system. It’s not a trust. A lot of people think, well, we’re collecting your money and we’re holding it for you, and then when you retire, we’re going to give it back to you. That’s not the way it works. We’re collecting your money, and if we’ve got money left over — in other words, if the — if there’s more money than the benefits promised to be paid in our hands, we’re spending it and leaving behind an IOU. That’s how it works. It’s called a pay-as-you-go system. You pay, we go ahead and spend it. (Laughter.)2"
Isn’t he cute?
...The cost of the war in Iraq, waged over imaginary WMDs, is approaching 200 billion a year.5 Nine billion of that has simply disappeared6, and unknown millions have gone into the pockets of corporations with ties to Cheneys and Bushes.789
Apparently it’s easy to find 200 billion a year to kill people, even while cutting 70 billion from millionaires’ tax bills — but impossible to come up with 60 billion or so a year to redeem the Trust Fund.10
Those IOUs are implied to be “worthless” only because they’re owed to ordinary working people: sheep to be sheared, rubes to be conned, like the rubes dying in Iraq.
Pt. 4
Here’s where we come back to Klein’s thesis. In her book she quotes Milton Friedman, the capo di capi of the Chicago School of Economics: “Only a crisis produces real change. When that crisis occurs, the actions that are taken depend on the ideas that are lying around.”1
Within certain circles of power, the Social Security “crisis” has been lying around for a very long time. In his 1936 campaign against FDR, Alf Landon called the new program a “fraud on the workingman,” and continued:
“Every month they bring 6 per cent of their wages…so that he may act as trustee and invest their savings for their old age….the day comes…What do they find? Roll after roll of neatly executed IOU’s.”2
Those damned IOUs again. FDR won that election.
During the war and after, booming profits kept the rich folks busy for awhile, but by the end of the 50’s things had started to slow down and Social Security crisis was back on the agenda.
St. Reagan, in his nominating speech at the 1964 Republican convention, suggested privatization.4 Goldwater, the nominee, echoed the call. He lost...
In 1978, a young Congressional candidate picked up the theme of crisis. Stumping at the Midland Texas Country Club, George W. Bush said:
“
will be bust in 10 years unless there are some changes…The ideal solution would be… to invest the money the way they feel.”8
Like the WMDs, the 1988 Social Security bust never manifested. You’d think Bush would be embarrassed, but 20 years after the crisis-that-wasn’t, he’s still banging the privatization gong.
There’s plenty more scary talk where that came from, a steady stream of policy papers and opinion pieces, dutifully parroted by the media...
In 1983, in the wake of another failed attempt to gather public support for privatization, Cato published an influential paper titled “Achieving a Leninist Strategy.”14
The authors start by acknowledging that Social Security is a popular program, so head-on approaches to dismantling it are unlikely to be successful. Instead, they recommend the “Leninist Strategy” of the title...To help create revolutionary conditions, they suggest:
1) Mobilizing a coalition of folks who’d benefit from privatization (banks, investment houses, and other financial institutions).
2) Continuing public “education” aimed at discrediting Social Security and talking up privatization.
3) Creation and promotion of financial savings alternatives (e.g. 401Ks, IRAs) to get people accustomed to using them.
4) Splitting potential coalition supporters of Social Security, such as current and future recipients: “…the strategy must be to propose moving to a private…system in such a way as “to…neutralize…the coalition that supports the existing system.” Thus, older folks would be told their benefits wouldn’t be cut, making them less likely to mobilize to help protect benefits for the young.
All this has happened in the years since.
At the end of the paper, the authors say: “The next Social Security crisis may be further away than many people believe…it could be many years before the conditions are such that a radical reform of Social Security is possible. But then, as Lenin well knew, to be a successful revolutionary, one must also be patient and consistently plan for real reform.”
Pt. 5
Lenin and the boys at Cato agree with Friedman: “Only a crisis produces real change. When that crisis occurs, the actions that are taken depend on the ideas that are lying around.”
We know what ideas our “leaders” have lying around. They’ve been drumming them into our heads for years. What shape might the coming crisis take?
Crisis needn’t be a hurricane or tsunami; it can be a financial disaster as well — even a phony one. As long as people are scared and confused and will do what you want them to — that’s all that matters.
Crisis might look like the perfect storm of mortgage meltdown, recession, declining industries and wages, rising deficits, all coming to a head as the boomers retire — and that unfortunate file cabinet full of IOUs, with — so sorry — “no money” to redeem them.
Combine that with a full-court press of pundits, preachers and politicians, all well-manicured and well-fed, none in any danger of going without in their old age, though they insist you must. All of them nattering away at you, on the TV, in the papers, on the radio, relentless as the zombies in The Night of the Living Dead:
“There’s no-o-o-o money! No-o-o-o money! If you don’t do what we say the country’s going to go broke and you’re all going to die!”
It might be that the 1983 debut of both Greenspan’s “reform” and the Cato paper wasn’t coincidental. It might be, indeed, that Greenspan created the debt to the Trust Fund with an inkling that it could eventually be hyped as a “crisis” to take down Social Security for good.
That’s how the IMF did it, Klein says. Get the rubes in debt, then pressure them to take your “shock treatment,” your austerity program. As in Chile, as in Russia, where poverty rates doubled and tripled after the treatment1; so here. We too must take our medicine.
Bugger that.
There’s no Social Security crisis. There never has been. If you’re not convinced yet, how about this: the projection used to hype the phony crisis assumes a growth rate of 1.8% over the next 75 years.2 That’s lower than the 1.9% average growth rate of the Great Depression, 1929-1940.3
But there are actually three projections; an optimistic one, an intermediate one, and a pessimistic one. In the “optimistic” scenario, long-term growth averages 2.6%, the Trust Fund never runs out, and there’s a 17-trillion dollar surplus in 2080.4 So far, reality has always turned out closer to the optimistic projection than the other two. Since 1980, growth has averaged 3.1%.5 Whee! Feel better?
Not that a projection 75 years into the future has any bankable accuracy anyway.
The projection, like “crisis” it predicts, is a fraud, a cynical Big Lie, a con. They want your money. That’s all they’ve ever wanted, and they’ll keep pushing until they get it, unless they know you understand the con.
The Republicans won’t save you, and the Democrats won’t save you either. They’re the ones up on the tube, debating oh-so-seriously about the “crisis” when they know it’s phony, pretending to disagree, all the better to con you. They’re the good cop and the bad cop, the inside and the outside man in the three-card game.6
They know that some of you’ll want to identify with the nice, caring Democrats, who’ll save Social Security by raising taxes — just a hair, just a smidge. And others will want to identify with the tough, fiscally responsible Republicans, who’ll institute sensible private accounts.
And while you’re watching the game, taking one side or the other, getting all riled up about the stupidity of the other side — they’re moving in, like the partners in crime they really are, for the coup de grace.
Here’s the straight story.
“The economy” isn’t the casino, isn’t the game, isn’t even the chits of paper we use to trade and keep score with. The economy is the real world of producing real goods and services. So long as American workers are producing real goods and real knowledge for decent wages, there will be enough surplus for their elders’ Social Security.
If, on the other hand, our “leaders” follow the road they’ve been on the last 30 years: off-shoring production, outsourcing democratic government to unaccountable private power, stripping resources faster than they’re renewed, allowing infrastructure and human skills to decay, and substituting a casino economy for a real one, we’ll all go broke, and private accounts won’t change that likelihood one bit.
Social Security’s not in crisis. Our leadership is. Our democracy is.
No tax hikes, no benefit cuts, no private accounts. Hands off, ya lying crooks.
Full here, with references:
http://www.dissidentvoice.org/author/HannahB/