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John Edwards Takes the Lead in Iowa Poll - 30% and Leads Second Choices

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okamichan13 Donating Member (77 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 07:00 PM
Original message
John Edwards Takes the Lead in Iowa Poll - 30% and Leads Second Choices
Edited on Tue Dec-18-07 07:02 PM by okamichan13
Here's the quick and dirty of the latest Iowa poll:

Edwards leads with 30 percent in a poll of Democratic voters who said they intend to participate in the Jan. 3 presidential caucuses, followed by Clinton with 26 percent and Obama with 24 percent. When the sample was narrowed to the most likely caucus-goers, based on several questions, Obama leads Edwards by less than a percentage point with 27 percent, with Clinton in third place at 24 percent.


check out jsamuel's diary on it here:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/12/18/175333/55/103/423988

and the full results here:
http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_1218_89.aspx

showing Edwards with a commanding lead in 2nd choice voters. The candidate with momentum in Iowa is Edwards.
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madeline_con Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 07:02 PM
Response to Original message
1. YAY!
:woohoo:
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Selatius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 07:04 PM
Response to Original message
2. In other words, the race is becoming far tighter in Iowa.
The air of "inevitability" that Hillary's camp tried to portray is pretty much gone.
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DaLittle Kitty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 10:32 AM
Response to Reply #2
32. Time To Help Edwards in New Hampshire and Here's How!

2) REMOTE PHONE BANK for New Hampshire right from your own home in Florida or (ANYWHERE) using your cell phone minutes or many of us have UNLIMITED NATIONWIDE LONG DISTANCE ON OUR HOME PHONES with which calls to potential Edwards Caucus Goers in Iowa or New Hampshire Voters could be made to encourage them to support John Edwards. Sign up at:

http://johnedwards.com/nh/volunteer/signup/

and/or just go directly to: http://www.johnedwardsphonebank.com/ to help out John Edwards in NH!

Many of us have nationwide no-roam/no-long distance plans with a lot of spare minutes that we rarely use. This month consider signing up to make calls into New Hampshire (and possibly other states) using your minutes. This can help make a difference if you can spare the time and the minutes.


3) ROAD TRIP FOR ONE AMERICA: Take your support on the road and volunteer to travel for the John Edwards campaign to one of the early states and spend a weekend (or week!) helping them campaign. Temporary housing can usually be arranged through the help of local supporters in these states so all you have to do is get there, help'em out and then get back later.

http://johnedwards.com/roadtrip/signup/

Just DO IT For America! :bounce:
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tblue37 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 07:22 PM
Response to Original message
3. Another Yay!
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saracat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 07:26 PM
Response to Original message
4. Whoopee! I will be gettimg my Christmas present of an Edwards victory In Iowa for sure!
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Champion Jack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 07:26 PM
Response to Original message
5. I'm really starting to like Edwards
I think his healthcare ideas need work, but his anti-corporate stance is great
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Horse with no Name Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 07:08 AM
Response to Reply #5
30. I would LOVE to see Edwards pull Kucinich into his administration
to help develop a good solid healthcare plan.
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sellitman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 06:49 PM
Response to Reply #30
34. In my dreams
Dennis unfortunately has more pressing problems with the loss of his brother.
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tinrobot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 07:37 PM
Response to Original message
6. He's got the momentum...
I think he'll take Iowa by a good margin.
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WileEcoyote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 07:40 PM
Response to Original message
7. Edwards is winning the mudfight between Hillary and Obama
He needs only to state his message and stay away from the hissy fits between his other two rivals.
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Catchawave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 08:52 PM
Response to Original message
8. Thanks okamichan !
This is great news. The "plan" is working :D
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Dawgs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 09:03 PM
Response to Original message
9. Look even closer and you see that they only poll 1 in 10 under the age of 45.
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laureloak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 09:06 PM
Response to Original message
10. Go Johnny Go!
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surfermaw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 09:10 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Run John Run. I have been telling them you have never been behind in Iowa.
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Rambis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 01:53 PM
Response to Reply #11
33. Agree 1000%
the media and talking heads wanted an Obama/Hillary dustup because it will sell more papers etc. the real story on the ground here in Iowa is Edwards connects with people and they trust him to do something different than every other candidate.
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lisainmilo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 11:22 PM
Response to Original message
12. Woo Hoo! YAY!!!
:applause: :woohoo: :woohoo: :applause: :patriot:
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antiimperialist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 11:31 PM
Response to Original message
13. Wow. one and only one poll shows Edwads ahead
amazing isn't it?
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0007 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-18-07 11:35 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Is that bad?
:applause: :woohoo: :woohoo: :applause: :patriot:
:applause: :woohoo: :woohoo: :applause: :patriot: :applause: :woohoo: :woohoo: :applause: :patriot:
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forsberg Donating Member (221 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 12:37 AM
Response to Reply #13
22. gotta start somewhere
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Fried Bread Donating Member (97 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 12:13 AM
Response to Original message
15. Edwards is a dead end candidate. Him winning Iowa is the death knell for Obama
Edwards will win no other primaries. Get used to Hillary as our nominee if Edwards wins Iowa.
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asdjrocky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 12:19 AM
Response to Reply #15
16. First off,
Edited on Wed Dec-19-07 12:20 AM by asdjrocky
Welcome to DU, Fried Bread. Can you tell me why you feel "Edwards is a dead end candidate"? I mean, do you have some special information a lot of people here don't?

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Fried Bread Donating Member (97 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 12:31 AM
Response to Reply #16
17. He doesn't have enough money, is limited by campaign finance rules, and might have a love child
I like him as a general election candidate, but he doesn't have the horses to get there.
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asdjrocky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 12:36 AM
Response to Reply #17
18. Might have a love child?
Not enough funds? It's money and sex now, right? Sad.
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Fried Bread Donating Member (97 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 12:37 AM
Response to Reply #18
20. His healthcare plan is also a nonstarter
the 'mandatory' aspect of it, anyway. You wanted reasons; I gave them to you.
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asdjrocky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 12:40 AM
Response to Reply #20
24. Well, good luck to you-
And as far as the "love child" comment, you might consider weather you belong here or not.

As far as the health care plan goes, we'll see how Obama will do "sitting down at the table" with the very interests we need to fight.

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Fried Bread Donating Member (97 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 12:42 AM
Response to Reply #24
25. it's why I wrote "might"
I'm not willing to dismiss it out of hand. A broken clock is right at least twice a day. They helped break Monicagate, FWIW.
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asdjrocky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 12:44 AM
Response to Reply #25
26. Monicagate?
WTF? Now I know you don't belong here.
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Fried Bread Donating Member (97 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 12:46 AM
Response to Reply #26
27. huh?
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VolcanoJen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 01:03 AM
Response to Reply #20
28. Please, if you're here representing Obama, stop.
Really. Seriously. Don't do this.

John Edwards is a good man and many of us are undecided between the two. Let's talk policy, let's talk nuts and bolts. If you're here to have an honest discussion, let's have it. But if you're here to smear, then really, just stop.
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forsberg Donating Member (221 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 12:37 AM
Response to Reply #17
19. Says the NATIONAL INQUIRER
aka, the slimiest dirt mag in america that literally conjures things out of thin air.

watch the money roll right in should Edwards win Iowa, then it's bye bye bama.
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Hieronymus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 12:37 AM
Response to Reply #17
21. None of the three is very threatening.
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Mother Of Four Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 07:22 AM
Response to Reply #17
31. Looks like someone reads "The Star" or something....
Is this love child perhaps Big foots niece? I mean you know how those southern men are, Bigfoots sister is an alien and JE fathered a love child by it?

No smears please, KKTHX


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PATRICK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 07:39 PM
Response to Reply #17
37. I heard this
from the horse's anatomy, Pat Buchanan on C-Span. This 'wisdom" is a reasonable talking point from conservatives who wish the Dem party nothing but trouble but are into the handicapping as well. Similar comments have been echoed here about organization, funding and state preparations. How could Bobby kennedy jumping in late after LBJ folded beat Humphrey? We'll never know. How did McGovern's team brush aside the establishment? The way had been paved, the road since torn up and controlled as dean's new people found out. Money and establishment power added to the real base of Hillary's support have the GOP totally convinced and most of the Dem party establishment at least resigned. Nobody counts on actual democracy power anymore. They can't see it.

The Edwards team seems very capable an on top of things nonetheless and remarkably this is over and above the grassfire performance of Edwards. They are not merely hoping for a tsunami but are running their own campaign contrary to the perceived horse race that the media MUST keep engaging in.

The sign is not in the polls but in Newsweek. They are beginning to hedge even as they are bewildered by how Edwards expects to keep winning. Their horse race was screwed in 2004 but they got in the end what they wanted, Destruction of the firebrand. In this, the smooth, lasting machine of the Clinton candidacy is something they think to chip away at and ruin for November. They wouldn't allow themselves to talk about or possibly imagine a different kind of race than their own circus. Always the way and always the reason they are so often wrong.

Edwards will make fools out of almost everyone with this "sudden" win. Hillary should have avoided Iowa but couldn't and she still has a lot to gain with a place and an Obama defeat. Obama had to be serious or drop out. They savaged each other as Edwards took the aggressive initiative and stepped back from the clumsy barfight. The media, which by its own inclination wanted to discount Edwards, has magnified what they could have dismissed(as the above meme attempts to do now) as a routine, predicted win.

This instead will be a more magnificent strategic victory- with NO media assist- than Kerry in 2004. More indicative of political strength. Less likely to crush the entrenched rivals, so the proof will have to keep coming for months. If he wins this primary season he should convince almost everyone in the party much more than Kerry did.

And in their revealing irritation they keep tsk tsking or complaining that Edwards has moved to far to the left. An ideological jaws of death trap for center right myths that could be the biggest victory in the whole November election. Bigger than the great candidate himself.

Do the carping points about his warchest weaknesses relative to centrist Hillary matter? Yes and I am no fan of Dem secret plans. I hope Edwards and trippi have learned enough to keep knowing what they are doing. I hope and I hope the American people catch this hope. And it won't be easy.
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K Gardner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 07:41 PM
Response to Reply #17
38. You need to go back to Freeperville. Not the place for you.
Edited on Wed Dec-19-07 07:43 PM by K Gardner
Buh bye
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VarnettaTuckpocket Donating Member (559 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 12:40 AM
Response to Original message
23. Wow, go Edwards! n/t
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HamdenRice Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 06:44 AM
Response to Original message
29. I sure hope so! nt
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frogmarch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 06:57 PM
Response to Original message
35. Rootin' for you, Edwards! nt
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madmunchie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 07:20 PM
Response to Original message
36. How do JE supporters get by JE's votes while in the Senate?
How do they/you justify a candidate that, not so long ago, voted for the Patriot Act, IWR, Bankruptcy.....? What has he DONE that convinces you that he has changed his stripes? I am so friggin blown away by all of the short memories of Democrats when it comes to this guy. I judge by a person's actions and JE's actions in the Senate were less than Democratic. How can it be so easy to turn a blind eye to the votes that this man made that are still effecting all of us in an adverse way? I really don't care what this guy says now, it's too little too late from a very short time ago to believe that he has so fundamentally changed in time for the next election cycle....

To say the least, I am very dissappointed in many of the Democratic Party members. It is a sad testament to the values of Democrats and the lowness of the threshold that our candidates are measured against.

I hear he's "electable".....so was Bush, that didn't make his a decent Pres

I hear, he said this or his plan is that, Bush made a lot of promises that went to the wayside once he was elected.

What proof do you have that JE won't "revert" once he is in?



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