Hillary now leading by 4% in Iowa in Real Clear Politics Average

Herman Munster

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Thu Dec-27-07 11:57 PM
Original message

Hillary now leading by 4% in Iowa in Real Clear Politics Average

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ia/iowa_democratic_caucus-208.html

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MadBadger

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Thu Dec-27-07 11:59 PM
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1. They are counting that 14 point ARG poll

Edited on Fri Dec-28-07 12:19 AM by hnmnf

which we all know is an outlier, and they have HRC up six points over Edwards and nine points over OBama, when LA times pushed the numbers that shows it much closer.

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MannyGoldstein

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Fri Dec-28-07 12:00 AM
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2. Her 26-Point Lead Is Unstoppable! This Is Unprecedented! Her Victory Will Be Historic!

How many times did I hear that?

Ah, the good old days.

(I continue to maintain that polls don't mean a lot now.)

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Lasher

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Fri Dec-28-07 12:06 AM
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3. Check it out, Edwards was the leader first.

Then Hillary, then Edwards, then Hillary, then Obama, now Hillary.

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Hippo_Tron

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Fri Dec-28-07 12:07 AM
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4. In other words, too close to call

Iowa is gonna be a nail biter.

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wiley

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Fri Dec-28-07 12:18 AM
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5. Polls.

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calteacherguy

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Fri Dec-28-07 12:54 AM
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6. I'm going to make a prediction that might surprise most folks here.

I don't have a crystal ball, but my hunch is Clinton will win Iowa and Obama NH.

Why? Independent voters in NH, and a desire among NH voters to upstage the voters in Iowa.

Stay tuned.

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Lucinda

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Fri Dec-28-07 03:20 AM
Response to Reply #6

8. Looks like we might be in agreement! . :)

I'm not as sure as you are...but I've been thinking along the same lines

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calteacherguy

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Fri Dec-28-07 03:34 AM
Response to Reply #8

9. Nobody in the media is talking about this possibility.

I think it's because they have been saying that if Hillary wins Iowa it's all over for so long. But the thing is, they were saying that BEFORE Obama had closesd the gap in NH. Remember in 2000 all the polls in NH were way off because so many independents went to McCain. My hunch is the independents are going to favor Obama in NH, and he's really going to break away from the pack there.

We'll see.

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Hardrada

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Fri Dec-28-07 03:16 AM
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7. Here in Iowa, we think that Edwards has a very good chance

of stopping the Hillbots. I wouldn't mind if Obama came in first but prefer Edwards. I am judging from the people I've talked too. Hillary seems most popular among older women incidentally. No surprise there.

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