How do they measure "likely caucus goers"?

Do they simply ask them "are you likely to attend?" or is there something more to it?

I bet the women average around 5'4 and the Men 5'10

:thumbsup:

A little New Years humor.

~

That a "likely caucus goer" would be someone who had been to a caucus or two in the last several cycles.

...they ask us, "How likely are you to caucus?".

They usually give three choices, "Definitely", "Likely", "Not Likely.

I really don't think that these "random sample" polls of Iowans are very
accurate. I believe there's a slant toward most people telling you that
they will caucus, because if they say they aren't caucusing--they run the
risk of sounding apathetic, lazy or uninvolved.

...and who wants to sound like an unworldly sloth?

I think most people say that they will caucus or that they're likely to caucus,
because they don't want to say they won't.

There are three million people in Iowa. In '04 125,000 Iowa Democrats caucused.
Most do not caucus.

The campaigns do internal polls. They have precinct lists, which detail voting
and caucus behavior. These polls are the most accurate and all of the campaigns,
by now, know exactly where they stand. These polls are almost never released.

in a book that costs each campaign
$100,000.....the proceeds go to the Iowa Democratic Party.....I don't know how the Pugs do it, only that its different.