Thoughts on the Repub race. - Democratic Underground

Stop Cornyn

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Fri Jan-04-08 03:20 AM
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Thoughts on the Repub race.

Fourth place at 13% in Iowa has to be a disappointment for McCain.

Fifth place at 10% for Paul confirms his support is under-counted in the polls.

Sixth place is humiliating for Giuliani.

Assume a nice bump for Huckabee, put the breaks on McCain's momentum, accelerate Giuliani's decline a bit, inflate Paul's numbers a bit, and otherwise follow the trend in this model:

In five days, Romney and McCain ought to be in a tight race for first, Huckabee third, Paul fourth, and Thompson versus Giuliani in a tight race for fifth.

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