John Nichols: "A Very Bad Omen for Hillary"

from The Nation:




"A VERY BAD OMEN FOR HILLARY"...MANCHESTER, NH -- New Hampshire polls released today show Iowa caucuses winner Barack Obama moving up on – and in some cases pulling ahead of – frontrunner Hillary Clinton as Tuesday's first-in-the-nation primary approaches. But the surveys only begin to indicate what is happening here in the first primary state.

The CNN/WMUR-TV survey has Clinton and Obama tied at 33 percent, while John Edwards gets 20 percent. Bill Richardson is at 4 percent, with smatterings for Dennis Kucinich and Mike Gravel.

The Concord Monitor/Research 2000 survey has Obama at 34, Clinton at 33, edwards at 23 and Richardson at 4.

What is important to recognize, however, is that these surveys do not begin to reflect Obama's Iowa "bump." Conducted for the most part on Friday night, they capture first impressions rather than a full sense of the reaction to the Illinois senator's inspired victory and even more inspired speech on caucus night. ......(more)

The complete piece is at: http://www.thenation.com/blogs/campaignmatters?bid=45&pid=266706