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Anyone living in Nevada here? Who do you think will win? n/t

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Onlooker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 05:37 PM
Original message
Anyone living in Nevada here? Who do you think will win? n/t
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ursi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 05:47 PM
Response to Original message
1. I live in Reno. It's going to be close. Obama seems to pull huge crowds
and so does Hillary.

But this is our first caucus and possibly our last. So who knows?

Plus, exit polls have been outlawed in Nevada.
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elizm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 05:52 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Exit polls outlawed. That's interesting. What is the rationalization for that? nt
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Yukari Yakumo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 06:03 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. Since it's a caucus, it's a moot point. {nt}
uguu
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elizm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 06:07 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Do you do ballots at all in Nevada? Or just a body count? Any machines involved?
Sorry that I know so little...
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amandabeech Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 06:24 PM
Response to Reply #2
10. Exit polls can sometimes be used to gauge whether or not there has
been tampering with the actual votes.

If the exit polls, done reasonably well, are in dramatic conflict with the actual voting results, then it may be a basis to question the validity of those results. It might also give the loser, particularly in a relatively close election, reason to consider calling for a recount--which would include challenges to whether particular voters were qualified.

Of course, it is also reason to question the validity of the exit polls.
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 05:56 PM
Response to Original message
3. I just spoke with an Edwards supporter in Vegas who fears low turnout
in his precinct. He and his boss have gathered up 14 supporters and they think turnout will be short of 100 based on their canvassing efforts. He said a lot of folks just aren't paying attention, Hillary's support is the broadest and the softest and a lot will depend on whether the CWU and SEIU turn out with family members. If that happens, Obama will do very well.

For what it's worth.
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 06:20 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. It's interesting that he feels "a lot of folks aren't paying attention" -- and
we can't talk of anything else!
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 10:55 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. I think we're the weirdos
:hi:
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 12:04 AM
Response to Reply #12
13. I couldn't agree with you more!
:hi:
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rollin74 Donating Member (489 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 06:01 PM
Response to Original message
4. I'm in Reno too
my gut feeling is that Obama wins. He seems to have the most support among folks I talk with.

Wouldn't be too surprised if Hillary wins on saturday but I'm not sure she could carry Nevada in the general election if she ends up getting the nomination.
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K Gardner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 06:12 PM
Response to Original message
7. Don't know, but I did hear that results would start coming in early afternoon tomorrow. Not sure how
??
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 06:23 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. The caucus is at noon
Lasts a couple of hours. Some precincts should be able to be done counting within minutes. There are towns in Nevada with 50 people. Or so it seems driving through them anyway.
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 06:28 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. I think the Dem caucusing starts at 11 am their time....
I don't know if they have a set amount of time....but it seems like there should be results fairly fast....especially in the smaller locations.
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ChiciB1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 12:13 AM
Response to Reply #7
14. You Switched To Obama?? n/t
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