I just talked to someone in Nevada.

She lives in the Summerlin South area (Vegas). She said that there's tons of Ron Paul stuff out there. She sees bumper stickers, freeway signs, and other signs. There's supposedly lots of Ron Paul people out there. She thinks Romney will probably win, but Paul will be strong.

She also said that she thinks Obama will win based on what she sees. She said that people are saying that Hillary does better with blue collar people and Nevada is a blue collar state, but she thinks Obama is going to do well.

She was thinking about caucusing, but wasn't sure. She thought the caucus was at 9AM. I told her that it's at 11AM. She also said she kind of wants to "block Hillary" and she kind of likes Obama. I said that tomorrow is her chance. It sounds like there's one more likely voter for Obama.

And the whole Ron Paul thing - I think all those signs and stickers are a red herring. I think he has a very small but very very active organization.

A lot of volunteers, a lot of moving around, a lot of visibility, but it didn't translate into support among actual caucus-goers. It's an easy tactical mistake to make.

I too thought he would do well in MI based on the number of signs I saw.
I saw 0 signs for uncommitted signs, and hundreds of Paul signs. Uncommitted got 40%, Paul got... I forget... 5%? 8%?