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The Key to this election

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Tropics_Dude83 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 04:34 PM
Original message
The Key to this election
The key to this election is women. They have decided that they are tired of having men running the country. They make up between 55-60% of the electorate and they are storming the gates for Hillary. Mark Penn wrote a memo way back in July that if all else fails, Hillary wins because of women.

If you have 60% of the electorate voting 60-40 for you, how can you lose.

I'm not a supporter of HRC but this is what I see. And those republicans rubbing their hands with glee over running against her are missing the tidal wave of females who will come to vote for HRC against Mitt or Mike or perhaps John in the fall.
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 04:37 PM
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1. Gender will be a factor for Hill and race/Blackness a factor for Obama: entrance
polls in NV showed Hispanics wide for Hill and wide for obama for the black vote.
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Tropics_Dude83 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 04:43 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Agree
The problem now is that Obama is the AA candidate, Just like Jessie Jackson, Al Sharpton, et al. He no longer transcends race. I mean Hispanics voting heavily against him, whites, women. Sure he'll win S.C. but it doesn't matter. S.C. to Obama is like Harkin winning Iowa in 88. Meaningless.

This coalition of women combined with hispanics who are becoming an increasingly huge voting block combined with African Americans who even though they might be disappointed will come home to the democratic party in the fall combined with those voters who are just simply fed up with the GOP machine is very formidable.

I'm impressed. My biggest problem with HRC I think was electability. She's shown that she has a very strong coalition now. I might have to re-analyze where I stand. Also, I no longer see Obama as a transcendant figure either. I have some thinking to do.
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