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Which candidate can better put 'red states' into play in the GE?

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Padraig18 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 11:38 AM
Original message
Poll question: Which candidate can better put 'red states' into play in the GE?
Please vote.

:)
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Padraig18 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 11:45 AM
Response to Original message
1. I wonder how long before the 1st 'this is a silly poll' comment?
LOL! :P
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lastknowngood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 11:46 AM
Response to Original message
2. None the red states are gone
n/t
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Padraig18 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 11:49 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. I think a few are, honestly.
I think there are ruby-red, red states (IN, e.g.), just like there are midnight-blue, blue states (MA).
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boxster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 11:54 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. States like SD, ND, WY, NE, MT, ID, and UT are as red or redder
than IN. No chance we'll win any of those, regardless of how much we campaign.

WY, for example, went 68/28 to Bush. I don't see us turning that one around anytime soon.
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Padraig18 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 11:56 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. I agree.
States like KY, TN, LA, FL, GA, KS (maybe), etc., are the states where we can makes inroads, with the right candidate.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. Not in KY. We lost it bigger than we lost Alabama.
It is becoming a deep southern state it terms of voting patterns. Same thing with Georgia's margin. If we win Georgia, we've already won 370 other electoral votes.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 11:54 AM
Response to Original message
4. Edwards.
He puts North Carolina in play with its 15 electoral votes. That's huge.
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Cuban_Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 06:05 PM
Response to Reply #4
25. 15 EV's is nothing to sneeze at.
Additionally, Edwards would suddenly make the South not NEARLY as 'safe' for Shrub; I absolutely DESPISE just 'giving' Dubya a 170+ EV 'leg up'. Finally, I don't see any blue states from 2000 going red because Edwards is the nominee, rather than Kerry.
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Bombtrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 12:05 PM
Response to Original message
8. In order Florida, Ohio, Missouri, Arizona are the most important, however
If Edwards gets the nomination, North Carolina is more valuable than Missouri or Arizona and he completely has the upper hand where as Kerry wouldn't have a chance. I think he has the better chance of winning EVERY swing state, including New Hampshire, because every dollar and day that Bush doesn't have to spend in Louisiana or Georgia is what he can spend in New Hampshire
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JasonBerry Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 02:04 PM
Response to Reply #8
16. Absolutely - agree - 100%! --- n/t
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Padraig18 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 04:41 PM
Response to Reply #8
19. I agree.
The major thing that Edwards brings to the table as a nominee is to force Bush to spend some of that mega-bankroll to protect parts of his 'red base', something I think it is highly unlikely a Kerry candidacy could force him to do.

If you want to think strategically for the GE, vote Edwards! He keeps the blue staes blue, and turns enough of the red to light pink to drive Bush out of office, PLUS he can help our Conressional and Senate candidates.
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Auntie Bush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 12:06 PM
Response to Original message
9. A Kerry/Clark ticket
could get votes from some military and Southern voters who are darn mad at the burning bush.
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Bombtrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 12:24 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. So military people in the south would vote for Kerry because of Clark?
Having the 2 of them on the same ticket would look like complete reactionary overkill. Every poll shows jobs and the economy as the most important issues. Kerry needs to chose Graham. Arkansas is very unlikely to go for kerry before Florida does, and it has 5 times the electoral votes.

Also, we wouldn't be stuck with the same guy after 4 years, as Graham would be likely to move aside and retire if Kerry won and ran for a second term, and Kerry could chose someone different to run with(perhaps Harold Ford or Edwards) in 08. Kerry would probably chose Edwards to be his Atty General and Clark as his NSA or State sec
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Bombtrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 12:06 PM
Response to Original message
10. In order Florida, Ohio, Missouri, Arizona are the most important, however
If Edwards gets the nomination, North Carolina is more valuable than Missouri or Arizona and he completely has the upper hand where as Kerry wouldn't have a chance. I think he has the better chance of winning EVERY swing state, including New Hampshire, because every dollar and day that Bush doesn't have to spend in Louisiana or Georgia is what he can spend in New Hampshire
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Donna Zen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 12:28 PM
Response to Reply #10
14. Currently
Edwards cannot get re-elected as Senator in NC which may/or may not be the reason he dropped out.

Don't trust anything about Florida voting.

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Bombtrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 05:28 PM
Response to Reply #14
21. he beats Bush in a general election poll but he couldn't beat rep. Burr?
There's some wacked out logic. He had a double digit lead against every one of his potential rivals in polls when he dropped out. He dropped out because he had pressure to do so from a party left in a stalemate and needing to start A senate campaign. Anti-Edwards people bashed him for not making a decision and then they bashed him for making one
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WhoCountsTheVotes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 12:25 PM
Response to Original message
12. Kucinich's anti-Nafta platform could put Texas in play
Hell, even the Republican Party of Texas agrees with him on that.
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union_maid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 12:26 PM
Response to Original message
13. Other - Bush
The red states are his to lose. So far he's trying his best to lose some of them.
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fujiyama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 12:35 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. lol
well said...
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Padraig18 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 04:03 PM
Response to Reply #15
17. That WAS pretty clever!
:P
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citizen snips Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 04:07 PM
Response to Original message
18. Edwards is already winning North Carolina.
And that is a big red state.
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MuseRider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 05:18 PM
Response to Original message
20. Kansas
the folks I have talked to have responded very favorably to Kucinich because of the NAFTA issue and his agricultural policies (farmers/ranchers). Funny thing, it is the democratic party who does not like him, the republicans seem to be more interested.
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CalebHayes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 09:00 PM
Response to Reply #20
30. I'm sure they like his stance on gay marriage too.
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Anwen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 05:31 PM
Response to Original message
22. Edwards. n/t
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R3dD0g Donating Member (625 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 05:33 PM
Response to Original message
23. Arkansas
Edited on Sun Feb-29-04 05:33 PM by pmn
should be in play. We've turned out a religionista Senator and a nut case Rep since the selection of Dec 2000. There is a strong independent streak here and the R gov is in big time trouble out in the boonies.

Which candidate? ABB ought'a do it.

edit forgot to answer question.
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Cuban_Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 05:42 PM
Response to Original message
24. The irony is about to kill me.
Edwards has 58% of the votes on this VERY important question, yet we're constantly being told that Kerry is more 'electable' in the GE?

:wtf:
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King of New Orleans Donating Member (991 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 06:30 PM
Response to Reply #24
26. Well, I've mostly stayed out of it
because for the most part most Edwards people have been good posters here.

But now here is my two cents:

I'm voting for Kerry because I think he'd make the best President and also I believe he'll hold up the best in the General Election. Why? Experience. The only two guys elected with fewer than 14 years of elective office in the post-FDR era are Eisenhower and GWBush. Clearly Eisenhower had other experience. GWB is clearly in over his head. Edwards is clearly smarter than GWB and he's a smooth campaigner but there's really no reason to think he ready to be President. But most his supporters are young and there's a decent chance you'll get to vote for him for President someday.

As for the Red states I think Kerry has a better chance of winning the following:

Nevada,
NH (though recent polling shows they both could win this
Arizona,
Colorado,
Ohio,
Virginia (the two main swing areas in the state are N. Virginia and Tidewater which play towards Kerry's strengths more than Edwards)
Florida
Missouri

The Red State I'm least sure about who would have the advantage is my home state--Louisiana. I think Kerry would have the advantage in New Orleans and the Cajun-Catholic South. Edwards would do better with the baptists.

Red States Edwards would do best in:

North Carolina
Georgia
South Carolina
Alabama
Mississippi
Kentucky
Tennessee
Texas
Arkansas

Of the two list list which list do you think is most winnable?




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corporatewhore Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 07:24 PM
Response to Original message
27. DK's anti NAFTA anti Patriot act stance could win him some votes
old school con and the libertarians like him
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PurityOfEssence Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 08:40 PM
Response to Original message
28. Yes, folks, you're right. What's the problem?
Edited on Sun Feb-29-04 08:43 PM by PurityOfEssence
For the rest of you with votes still to be cast in caucuses or primaries, you have a simple choice: vote for Edwards, or let Kerry have the nomination. Any other vote than Edwards is a vote for Kerry. If Kerry is your happy second choice, then go ahead.

Kerry will be torn to shreds in the south and rural states, and by not even contending them, allows the enemy--and they are the enemy, make no mistake--to spend all their massive amounts of money and efforts on contested states.

It is sheer folly not to nominate Edwards.

So tell me, Senator Kerry: why did you vote against the first Gulf War? If the unprovoked armed annexation of a sovereign nation WITH WHICH WE HAVE CLOSE TIES is not enough to provoke action, then what the hell is? We can talk about April Glaspie all day, but we're not trying to convince each other, we're trying to influence moderates, sane conservatives and the traditional non-voters. Look! Over there! Terrrrrists!!!!
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TheBigDemo Donating Member (190 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 08:49 PM
Response to Original message
29. Zell Miller
But who wants a Republican on the Democratic Ticket
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jpgray Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 09:44 PM
Response to Original message
31. Bush--no Democrat will pull it off. Edwards may get his home state. (nt)
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cosmokramer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-29-04 09:46 PM
Response to Original message
32. Clark will best put the red states in to play.
Adding Clark to any ticket will not only put the red SOUTHERN states into play, but it will also lock up New Mexico for the Dems, and add Arizona and Arkansas to the Blue column. And perhaps most importantly, it will lock up Ohio (extremely high moderate-dem veteran population).

Clark is the person to add to the ticket (any ticket) as he is everything all the other candidates are not.

Southern
Strong FP/Diplomatic/Military Experience
Moderate Democrat
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