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California poll: Clinton 39% (-2), Obama 28% (-1), Edwards 12% (-1)

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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 09:22 AM
Original message
California poll: Clinton 39% (-2), Obama 28% (-1), Edwards 12% (-1)
According to a poll obtained exclusively by the Boston Phoenix, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama by 11 percentage points in California, while John McCain has a small and shrinking lead over Mitt Romney with two weeks left before the Golden State’s presidential primaries.

The California primary is the biggest prize on Super Tuesday, February 5, when more than 20 states will hold their primaries or caucuses. California’s primary will determine 173 delegates to the Republican National Convention. For the Democrats, 370 pledged delegates are at stake.

With Clinton likely to win her home state of New York, California is especially important for Obama as the two Democratic frontrunners fight to collect delegates for the nomination. Obama began advertising on San Francisco–area television stations on January 12, and did his first mail campaign in the state a few days later. Clinton began advertising on California TV this past Thursday, and is visiting the state this week. The poll was conducted from January 18 to 21 by EMC Research of Oakland.

-snip

Among the Democrats, support remained almost identical from the previous week. Clinton leads Obama 39 percent to 28 percent, with John Edwards trailing at 12 percent. A week ago, Clinton led by 12 percentage points, 41 to 29, with Edwards at 13.


http://thephoenix.com/article_ektid54916.aspx

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zanne Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 09:25 AM
Response to Original message
1. And another poll will come out today or tomorrow...
Edited on Wed Jan-23-08 09:25 AM by zanne
Another poll will come out showing precisely the opposite. It happened during the NH campaign (and we know what happened to those polls), and it's happening now. I don't know what's going on with the polling companies, but something just isn't right with them. I'll never believe polls again.
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MrsT Donating Member (427 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 09:25 AM
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2. This isn't shaping up to be the blowout I expected
Sen. Clinton was leading by 20%-30% not too long ago.
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Le Taz Hot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 09:29 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. Dont' worry, Art Torres
just LOVES Hillary Clinton and he's made sure there are Clinton offices all over California. The rest of the candidates? They're on their own here. Worry not, your candidate was front-loaded in California a LONG time ago.
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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 09:26 AM
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3. It has tightened considerably.
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THUNDER HANDS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 09:28 AM
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4. if Obama dominates on Saturday
expect that to tighten up even more.
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 09:31 AM
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6. At this point a close second is as good as a win in CA for Obama
nt
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