According to a poll obtained exclusively by the Boston Phoenix, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama by 11 percentage points in California, while John McCain has a small and shrinking lead over Mitt Romney with two weeks left before the Golden State’s presidential primaries.
The California primary is the biggest prize on Super Tuesday, February 5, when more than 20 states will hold their primaries or caucuses. California’s primary will determine 173 delegates to the Republican National Convention. For the Democrats, 370 pledged delegates are at stake.
With Clinton likely to win her home state of New York, California is especially important for Obama as the two Democratic frontrunners fight to collect delegates for the nomination. Obama began advertising on San Francisco–area television stations on January 12, and did his first mail campaign in the state a few days later. Clinton began advertising on California TV this past Thursday, and is visiting the state this week. The poll was conducted from January 18 to 21 by EMC Research of Oakland.
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Among the Democrats, support remained almost identical from the previous week. Clinton leads Obama 39 percent to 28 percent, with John Edwards trailing at 12 percent. A week ago, Clinton led by 12 percentage points, 41 to 29, with Edwards at 13.
http://thephoenix.com/article_ektid54916.aspx