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Should the Florida Democratic primary "mean anything"?

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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 01:45 PM
Original message
Should the Florida Democratic primary "mean anything"?
Edited on Wed Jan-23-08 02:12 PM by Kurt_and_Hunter
On the one hand, since no delegates are awarded in the Florida Democratic primary one can say it is meaningless.

On the other hand, Florida Democrats don't seem to think it's meaningless at all. They are already voting absentee in gigantic numbers and will turn out big on election day, so they want to be heard. Though damaged, the primary is still the only available forum for them to formally voice their preferences in a campaign in which they are interested.

I'm not saying their votes should count as directly apportioning delegates. But I am puzzled by the contention that the voices of a MILLION Democrats in a key swing state, in a contest where everyone is on the ballot, are "meaningless." (A lot of concerns over democracy and disenfranchisement are highly selective on both sides. After Florida, Clinton will have received the most Democratic votes cast in the primaries by a huge margin. I can understand why one might hope that those real votes will be described by the media as meaningless, but those votes are at least as meaningful to Democratic Presidential prospects than votes in, say, South Carolina, a state we will not even contest in the general election. Florida Democrats probably have a better idea of who can win Florida in the general than I do.)

Added on Edit: The issue is whether the will of the people in Florida should be treated by the media as meaningful. The rules are already in place, so it's not a question of whether the rules should have been different. Essentially, should the media cover the primaries as being all about the will of the people, all about party rules, or somewhere in between.


Absentee Explosion In Florida
23 Jan 2008 11:43 am

If there's a race, they will vote -- even if there are no delegates.

For Democrats, the number of returned absentee ballots in Florida so far exceeds the total number turned in in the 2004 general election, and the number of Democratic early voters plus the number of absentees requested is more than the number of actual voters in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada combined.

This means that despite the fact that NO Democrat is campaigning in Florida, no Democrat is advertising in Florida (except on cable) and the DNC is ignoring Florida, Democratic voters in Florida are organically excited about the primary race and their party's prospects for November, 2008 -- and are voting despite the temporal meaningless of their vote. That's pretty impressive... and it also poses a philosophical quandary: if a million Democrats vote next Tuesday in a meaningless primary, did they actually vote? What does the media say about them? What if one candidate wins by a large margin?

The state Democratic Party says that 96,286 absentee ballots have been returned, up from 93,909 in 2004. 100,000 ballots have yet to be returned. Combining the number of early voters (121,693) with the number of absentees requested, you get 316,940 -- more than the total Democratic vote for each of the three early states.

The party projects a turnout of more than 1,000,000.

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/01/florida_primary_turnout_as_of.php

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GodlessBiker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 01:46 PM
Response to Original message
1. It means as much as Michigan. Nuttin'.
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 01:47 PM
Response to Original message
2. There are larger turnouts in all the primary states so far.
Couldn't be the 50 state strategy at work, could it?

Nah....
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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 01:53 PM
Response to Original message
3. If they piss off 1 million voters in Florida, there will be hell to pay.

come Nov 5th. So yes it does mean something.
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:00 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Who is "they"?
Clarify.

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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:04 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. I know you think Howard Dean is more sacrosant than the right to vote, but he ain't
Edited on Wed Jan-23-08 02:04 PM by robbedvoter
No one is. Nothing is. This primary is deeply flawed - in more states than Florida. He screwed up.
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:06 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. He followed the committee rules, Florida broke them.
Your attacks on me sound simplistic, like Johnny one-note who doesn't understand the depth of what Florida did.

It's ok, I don't mind.
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:34 PM
Response to Reply #11
25. spoken like a petty bureaucrat. "committee rules vs right to vote."
Hatherine Harris also thought some deadline was more important that counting the votes. same mentality, if for different reasons.
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kerry-is-my-prez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 03:40 PM
Response to Reply #3
27. I live in Florida and there are a lot of PO'd people. I have mixed feelings about it.
I would have liked to see both sides work this thing out. I agreed with the Dean side initially.

I worry that there could be a backlash against the Dem Party - maybe a low turnout.
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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 01:55 PM
Response to Original message
4. Yes it does matter and here's why
Now hear me out of this before you start attacking the 0 delegate thing

1 : Florida is 3 days after SC
2 : Hillary seems to be taking that by a very wide margin

Obama's victory if it happens in SC and it looks like it will, will be very shortlived. Regardless what you think Florida will matter to the msm and to the people around the country. We've lost the last 2 elections primarily because of Florida. People will notice if Hillary walks of with that massive vote.

Momentum if any stopped dead again for Obama.

Apparently a lot of the votes are already in, in Florida due to absentee and early voting, so 3 days is not a lot of time. I've heard Hillary's absentee and early voting has amounted to the region of approx 72% as Florida also has a huge older voter base and hispanic and latino base.

Obama has BIG problems here.

Any momentum from SC is shortlived because Hillary kills that 3 days later with Florida, you may say it has no delegates but it DOES matter. The perception by the MSM and the people will be all that matters. So in fact it is Hillary who gets the momentum going into ST, not Obama.

Hillary winning Florida by perhaps 30% would be a huge blow to Obama's campaign and the subsequent press.

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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:01 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Size matters....
http://journals.democraticunderground.com/madfloridian/1774

If you are big like Florida you can do anything you want. Right?
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 03:54 PM
Response to Reply #4
29. Yup. The MSM coverage will trump everything.
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 09:11 PM
Response to Reply #29
30. The pug primary will be the big story, of course, but there will be some free pub for the dem winner
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:02 PM
Response to Original message
7. Votes should ALWAYS mean everything! Some Floridians opinions - in buttons:
There were the people Bush robbed in 2000:
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:04 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. And the Florida Democrats voted 115 to 1 to break the party rules
and sue the national party...all in the name of getting the Hillary is inevitable idea in front of the media.

No thought was given to the fact that the people lost their voice. They were warned, they laughed, they sued.

And we are all losers here now.

I am to see you take such joy in it. It is a day of losing for everyone.

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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:07 PM
Response to Reply #10
13. Same party rules that gave us Nevada? Settle ties with a cut of cards Nevada?
Please!
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:08 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. You don't care about truth at all.
You care about baiting me. When someone does that I say good-bye...
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:31 PM
Response to Reply #14
24. baiting YOU? I care about the right to vote - see my handle? Don't know you,
don't care to. I cannot believe that ANY democrat can be so cavalier about the right to vote. Anywhere in the US - not just Florida. NOTHING justifies messing with this right.
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THUNDER HANDS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:02 PM
Response to Original message
8. of course it should mean something
but blame the state party for not wanting to be patient.
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:06 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. Not blaming the state party. Iowa, NH are not kings. Caucases are screwey too
This whole primary is undemocratic - people's votes are devalued.
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Maribelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:15 PM
Response to Reply #8
16. Republican-controlled state added new primary date to a bill on election reform
Between a rock and a hard place, democrats chose the rock in order to get election reform, and voted for it.

They took a stand for the voters of the state on an issue they felt more important than the squabbles they would get into with the DNC.

Unlike the "present" votes Obama made in his state for political cover, the democrats of Florida took a stand.

Today, democrats are rocking the early vote, regardless of the DNC's inability to see through the problems with the republicans.


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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:19 PM
Response to Reply #16
19. No, that is not the truth.
It was the Democratic governor and other state Dems who worked to get that early primary through.

http://journals.democraticunderground.com/madfloridian/1761

Granholm endorsed Hillary the very next day after she signed the bill to move up the primary.

She did not have to sign it, you know.
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Maribelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #19
26. Since the OP subject was about Florida, I was talking about Florida.
Edited on Wed Jan-23-08 03:36 PM by Maribelle
I probably should have put that in my post to avoid confusion.
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 03:52 PM
Response to Reply #26
28. Either way....the Florida Dems worked with the GOP and voted for it.
Then they tried to play the victim.

They worked with them from early 2006 on. Then they blamed Dean for it.

"Florida Democrats are all for it"...March 2006. All for the early primary that far ahead.
http://journals.democraticunderground.com/madfloridian/1564
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suston96 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:10 PM
Response to Original message
15. Michigan and Florida both mean everything - resulting delegates must be distributed....
At the very least, they indicate what the voters want.

The leaders of the Democratic and Republican parties are shameful in denying hundreds of thousands of members of their parties from participating in the primary process - punishing them for mistakes made by state party leaders.

A national primary out of the control of party hacks is needed.
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:16 PM
Response to Reply #15
17. Bull hockey.
Both states had every warning not to break the rules. They did it anyway, and they did not care if the people lost their right to choose the nominee.

They wanted the power they thought they could get by having firsties.

May I ask you who you think should control the party's primaries?

If not the parties themselves, then who?

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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:18 PM
Response to Reply #17
18. I don't agree its gone too far


The people of Florida and Michigan deserve as much as anyone to be seated at that convention. Screw the state party, fine them but they should seat the delegates.
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:20 PM
Response to Reply #18
20. Screw all of them in both states.
They knew exactly what they were doing, and they did it for one candidate's benefit.
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:27 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. yeah, who needs voters? GOBAMA! Votes are meaningless, only delegates matter!
Edited on Wed Jan-23-08 02:27 PM by robbedvoter
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suston96 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:22 PM
Response to Reply #17
21. Read my post again...the people are being punished by being deprived of their right to participate..
...in the nominating process because of mistakes or obstinacy of state and national party leaders.

There should be no state primaries. A national primary on one day or one weekend where candidates are narrowed down to 4 or six or eight....

Then a national runoff on one day or one weekend to elect the President and Vice-President directly - no electoral college. And paper ballots.

Something like what most of not all of the rest of the world does.
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-23-08 02:28 PM
Response to Reply #21
23. Amen to that. And no electoral colleges either. Equal vote!
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