FSquirrel's Super Tuesday Delegate Prediction

FlyingSquirrel

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Sun Jan-27-08 07:42 AM
Original message

FSquirrel's Super Tuesday Delegate Prediction

Edited on Sun Jan-27-08 07:44 AM by FlyingSquirrel

You heard it here first folks!

FS has officially pulled the following numbers out of his...... bushy tail.

HRC: 750
BO: 601
JE: 337

Making their grand totals (Pledged delegates only):

HRC: 798
BO: 664
JE: 365

I'll post my state-by-state predictions later.. 'night!

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

Dogmudgeon

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Sun Jan-27-08 08:05 AM
Response to Original message

1. They're close to my numbers

I've looked at the numbers four times in the past month, and I usually get HRC at around 45%, BHO at around 35%, and JRE down in the 20%s range. (I've been using percentages to compare with the Republicans.)

Earlier HRC numbers were higher, but the trends are not changing rapidly -- though the "Keith Numbers" are quite high.

I am convinced that the press will calibrate their coverage to drive HRC/BHO as close to an even split as possible, and will do the same in the general election.

--p!

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

mrmx9

(210 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Sun Jan-27-08 08:17 AM
Response to Reply #1

2. A brokered convention then - Edwards delegate count is double the gap between Clinton and Obama

Of course - these estimates are based on the current polls. Things could move in a different direction!

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

wellstone dem

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Sun Jan-27-08 09:28 AM
Response to Original message

3. I've been waiting for these

now I can go to sleep.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

sunonmars

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Sun Jan-27-08 12:42 PM
Response to Original message

4. so with superdelegates she has, that puts here over the 1000 mark

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

FlyingSquirrel

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Sun Jan-27-08 04:37 PM
Response to Original message

5. Would put her at 980, not counting any more she picks up on Tues

1428 Pledged Delegates and 424 Superdelegates left. If she continues to get 45% of the vote, she'd have 1,441 Pledged Delegates. If she continues to get 62% of the Superdelegates she'll have 494.

Grand Total 1,935.

Close but no Cigar, Bill! ;)

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

FlyingSquirrel

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Sun Jan-27-08 04:43 PM
Response to Original message

6. Make that JE 363. n/t

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

DU AdBot (1000+ posts)

Sat May 04th 2024, 06:59 AM
Response to Original message

Advertisements [?]

Top

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators

Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.