Internal Number in CNN Exit Poll... Most Qualified to be Commander+Chief

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#val=SCDEM



It is the bottom one, scroll down It does not cut and paste well, hard to get columns to line up properly sorry.

Also it is not a great poll, the percentages do not all add up well, but that is what I expect from CNN anyways (I am a MSNBC guy)


Anyways, what it shows is that almost 3 out of 10 people (28%) that voted for Clinton in S.C. do not believe that she is Most Qualified to be Commander-in-Chief, compared to less than 1 in 10 for Obama (6%)

Also the most likely to beat repug is only 68% for her, among her own voters.

What exactly do you think this signifies? Is it significant at all?

To me (an Obama supporter) it looks like Hillary has some very soft support and that could be peeled away fairly easily.

Hit her where it hurts. What if a decision needs to be made and your husband is not there to advise you? That kinda thing.....





Most Qualified to be Commander-in-Chief
voted for:.. Clinton Edwards Kucinich Obama
Clinton (35%) 72% 8% 0% 20%
Edwards (19%) 4% 79% 0% 16%
Kucinich (0%) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Obama (46%) 4% 2% 0% 94%

Notice 27% Hillary got last night but 35% in that question and Obama got 55% and only 46% in that question, who did better with their voters.

I suppose you looked at the experience question too where it said Hillary won hands down 83%.

So its 2 of 1 and half a dozen of the other.

gonna shit on Clinton and elevate Obama.

Support that can be peeled away? Come ON!!! People go with the one THEY like.

I'll bet if you polled Democratic voters in NY, you'd get a different story.

First, it says that 35% think Clinton is most qualified for C-in-C, 19% think Edwards, and 46% Obama. Of the 35% who like Clinton for C-in-C, one out of 5 voted in the primary for Obama anyway - because they like him for something else (ability to beat the Republicans, for instance).

So Obama's vote was:
.94 * .46 = 43% who also think he'd be the best C-in-C
.16 * .19 = 3% who think Edwards would be the best C-in-C
.20 * .35 = 7% who think Clinton would be the best C-in-C
total: 53%

Clinton's vote was:
.72 * .35 = 25% who she she'd be best C-in-C
.04 * .19 = 1% think Edwards best C-in-C
.04 * .46 = 2% think Obama best C-in-C
total: 28%

So, on this aspect, Obama's voters are more likely to say someone else would nevertheless be the better C-in-C, proportionately. But he still has significantly more voters who think he's the best at this aspect than Clinton does.

Significant? not much, I'd say. It means some Obama voters recognise Clinton would be better at one aspect; you might say that means they could waver, but you need to look as other aspects, and ask them what their main reasons for choosing are.