Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Help me figure out this statistic from the exit poll

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-29-08 09:48 PM
Original message
Help me figure out this statistic from the exit poll

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#FLREP

Vote By Party ID

Republican (80%): Romney (33%), McCain (31%)
Independent(17%): Romney (23%), McCain (41%)

Uh, why were independents voting in what was supposed to be a closed primary?


Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-29-08 10:56 PM
Response to Original message
1. kick
:kick:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 12:20 AM
Response to Original message
2. kick again
:kick:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 06:28 AM
Response to Original message
3. kick
:kick:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 06:31 AM
Response to Original message
4. This is self-identification rather than actual party registration.
Edited on Wed Jan-30-08 06:31 AM by Perky
They are registered republicans.

Same thing on the Dem side.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
JI7 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 06:32 AM
Response to Original message
5. they registered Republican but consider themselves independents
a lot of times people register with a party just to vote in that election and later change back to indie or some other party if they want to vote in that election.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DangerDave921 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 07:37 AM
Response to Original message
6. Register
I think the distinction is between REGISTERED independents (who cannot vote) and those who self-identify as independents in an exit poll. That is, they are registered Repubs, but tell the pollster they are really independents. That's my best guess.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
mohc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 08:16 AM
Response to Original message
7. Which is why "closed" primary states are not that much different than open...
I would love it if someone could do the research on this, but I would wager that Independent registration is much higher in open and modified open states than in closed. From an Independent's point of view, open and modified open primaries are the same, they can vote in either the Democratic or Republican primary. In a closed primary, Independents can not vote in either primary, so I would assume in closed primary states Independents tend to register with the party they would most likely vote with so that they can have some say in the primaries. When both parties have competitive primaries, the level of Independent participation in the primary is probably fairly similar between the open and closed formats. The real difference is when one side has no primary, like say an incumbent is running unchallenged in one party, the open format allows for cross over voting, and in the case of the full open format, even the other party can cross over.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Fri May 03rd 2024, 03:01 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC