Edwards Support Will Help Obama in Some States...and Others Not so Much

First, I would like to say that I HATE seeing Edwards go more than anyone that has already dropped out. It's a shame that people of passion and conviction like Edwards are rarely ever given a fair shake in this lopsided election system we have. Edwards was my #2 after Obama, and now I have no #2...because I refuse to vote for Clinton. If she gets the nomination, I'm sitting 2008 out (sorry, but it's the truth).

Looking to where his support might go...I'd say Obama MAY be the biggest benefactor, but not in every state. Edwards' support wouldn't have mattered much in Florida OR Nevada even if it ALL went to Obama. Edwards will have the biggest impact on the East Coast and North-East I think. But I believe Edwards' support has been peeling off for some time now due to the fact that he hasn't been able to snag any wins. It would have been very hard for him to break 15% in a lot of states because of that. Even though I think Clinton may get SOME of his voter support, I find it hard to believe she'll get the lion's share of it. Edwards and Obama have been running very close to each other for a while now as the "Change" candidates. Many of his supporters are of that strict anti-corporate belief system that would break for Obama long before it broke for Clinton. But Clinton and Obama are so close on various issues, that some of it may get lost in translation.

I'm going to drink to John Edwards tonight.

1) Edwards supporters after "change" or "No Hillary" side with Obama.
2) Edwards supporters have a demographic that is closer to Hillary's supporters, so they could go her way.

This is complicated. Some are saying that HRC being stronger in the blue collar segment, will see the benefit, but it could very well be that HRC is strong in that segment only because the anti-HRC vote is split between Obama and Edwards right now. It may end up that these race/class distinctions between HRC and Obama look less strong as those votes go Obama's way. I don't know how anybody can know cause and effect here, but we should know soon enough.