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New Gallup Poll: Obama takes the lead, 47-44. First ever lead for Obama in the poll.

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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:14 PM
Original message
New Gallup Poll: Obama takes the lead, 47-44. First ever lead for Obama in the poll.
http://blogs.usatoday.com/ondeadline/2008/02/poll-obama-lead.html
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:16 PM
Response to Original message
1. Since it's Gallup, that means he's really up 6-10 points.
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The Backlash Cometh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 02:13 PM
Response to Reply #1
32. You got that right.
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zanne Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:16 PM
Response to Original message
2. This will go unnoticed by Hillary supporters...
Only to be replaced by a poll that shows Hillary leading!
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skooooo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:34 PM
Response to Reply #2
15. Gallup doesn't count.
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RL3AO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:39 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. Not this week at least.
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Avalux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:17 PM
Response to Original message
3. Wow! I wonder if this will impact superdelegates?
Gobama!!! :kick:
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Tropics_Dude83 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:19 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. This is huge and great news:)
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
4. Here is the gallup daily tracking poll


The reason for the difference is that it shows a three day average.
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Tropics_Dude83 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:25 PM
Response to Reply #4
14. Obama did lead once in a June 2007 Gallup
31-30 so it's not quite the first time but this time it's a meaningful lead.
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my3boyz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:19 PM
Response to Original message
5. I support Obama and I'm always happy to see good news but
national polls really don't matter at this point. GOTV in your state if you haven't already voted!!!!!
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Alhena Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:19 PM
Response to Original message
7. Great news, though national polls only mean a lot in the general election
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Bread and Circus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:19 PM
Response to Original message
8. Is that the one w/ the graph thingy that the Clinton folks were posting a week back?
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RL3AO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:21 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. Yep.
:)
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:19 PM
Response to Original message
9. I'm worried about Herman and Murkin right now
Edited on Mon Feb-11-08 01:43 PM by BrentTaylor
They should be on suicide watch
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:24 PM
Response to Reply #9
13. I believe Murkin is gone
Or so somebody was saying yesterday. Poor Herman, though.
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:44 PM
Response to Reply #13
17. Murkin has been on today
spilling his garbage
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:51 PM
Response to Reply #17
19. It's been on Ignore so long, I wouldn't know firsthand nt
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Eurobabe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:46 PM
Response to Reply #9
18. They are both on my ignore list anyhow
Had to do it.
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Sulawesi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 02:06 PM
Response to Reply #18
28. me 2
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JVS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 02:05 PM
Response to Reply #9
27. But would the watcher care to intervene?
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NoBorders Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:20 PM
Response to Original message
10. That's a pretty big swing.
Boy, is the electorate fickle. I think the respondents just base their answer on whoever 'seems' to be ahead at any given time.
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Hutzpa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:22 PM
Response to Original message
12. I don't believe in polls anymore
Edited on Mon Feb-11-08 01:24 PM by spokane
they can be bought and borrowed. We have seen it over and over,
polls are used for many reasons these days, so Gallup, Zogby et al
can kiss my Donkey
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:53 PM
Response to Original message
20. According to Gallup she's still ahead 46-44

http://www.gallup.com/poll/104281/Gallup-Daily-Tracking-Election-2008.aspx
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RL3AO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:57 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. I think those graphs are 3 day averages.
Just for today, Obama was up 47-44.
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 04:26 PM
Response to Reply #22
35. Not according to the link. I think the op poll was a joint poll, not the usual gallup poll
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mzmolly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 01:56 PM
Response to Original message
21. Wow!
:toast: to Obama
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IsItJustMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 02:00 PM
Response to Original message
23. The poll had a margin of error of 5%. That is a huge margin, which to me, makes this poll
incredibly dubious. Not hear to bust anyones bubble, but I can't understand why they didn't just sample more people to have a more reliable poll.
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RL3AO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 02:02 PM
Response to Reply #23
24. Obama supporters are going to use this poll
because last week when Clinton rebuilt a 12 point lead, the Clinton supporters were using it to say Obama is collapsing. The graphs use a 3-day average, so that probably helps the margin of error a little.
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NoBorders Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 02:06 PM
Response to Reply #24
29. Not this Obama supporter
when clinton was up 7 points or whatever, I posted that that meant they could be tied. I still feel that way.
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 03:05 PM
Response to Reply #29
34. No doubt they could be tied.
But the poster's point is valid. People were using this poll to suggest Obama was done, showing Clinton had a surge post-Super Tuesday.

I have no doubt the perception AT FIRST was that Clinton won Super Tuesday, but when people actually began to think about the results and had time to digest them, clearly the momentum returned to Obama.
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rocktivity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 02:02 PM
Response to Original message
25. Get thee behind me, polls!
UNCLEAN! UNCLEAN!!!!



x(
rocknation
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bigtree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 02:03 PM
Response to Original message
26. what do you think these national polls mean this far into the race?
some buyers remorse? possibly. that happens.

I can't find anything much else in the nationals to fathom, except for the fact that these candidates are closely matched and evenly regarded among Democrats.
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NoBorders Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 02:08 PM
Response to Reply #26
31. I think respondents just go with the lastest sense of who's 'ahead'
in some amorphous sense, and right now that would be Obama. But I don't think it means much beyond that.
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cloudythescribbler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 02:07 PM
Response to Original message
30. Every day, the Gallup polls w/ HRC in the lead are posted; now suddenly they are of little interest!
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Freetospeak Donating Member (105 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 02:27 PM
Response to Original message
33. ....Yes!
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nickn777 Donating Member (249 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 04:40 PM
Response to Original message
36. We don't have national elections in America...
we have individual state elections. The only polls that matter are the ones from the upcoming states that will vote...Maryland, Virginia, D.C., Wisconsin, Hawaii, etc...
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nickn777 Donating Member (249 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 04:41 PM
Response to Original message
37. We don't have national elections in America...
we have individual state elections. The only polls that matter are the ones from the upcoming states that will vote...Maryland, Virginia, D.C., Wisconsin, Hawaii, etc...
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-11-08 05:35 PM
Response to Original message
38. K&R
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