Rasmussen Ohio: Clinton 47%, Obama 45%

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/ohio_democratic_presidential_primary

However, while Clinton’s support has remained stable, Barack Obama has been steadily inching up in the poll. Obama now earns support from 45% of Ohio’s Likely Primary Voters. That’s up from 43% last Sunday, 40% last week and 38% the week before.

Ohioans, how do these numbers match with what you see on the ground?

I was born in Cincinnati, but have been away a while. I'd really like to see my birth state pull this off :)

the percentage would be if they polled those with only cell phones...no landline.

TV ads - Obama, Obama, Obama, Ted Strickland for Hillary, Obama, Union for Obama, Obama
Radio - Obama, Obama, Obama,
People talk - Obama, HRC, Obama, Obama, HRC, HRC, Obama
Mood - People seem to be in better spirits these days - the Hope message is reaching the ears.
Signs - HRC
Republicans - for Obama, or not voting
It seems the older Dems are in the HRC camp, younger or more progressive Dems, Obama
The older Dems rely on younger Dems to do the grassroots work, so Obama has more going on in his campaign.
Telephone calls - been hearing complaints about people getting so many of them.
Columbus TV surveys indicate people want to hear more about education from both candidates

21 points to 14 points to 8 points to 5 points and now to 2 points behind.

The party will say differently, however. There will come a point where her continued campaigning will be considered as injurious to the Democratic chances of taking back the WH in November. At that point, she will be advised to concede by the senior statesmen of the Democratic party.

But it kind of makes me laugh to imagine Hillary in her back-room meetings with advisers and campaign managers ranting and raving about why is she losing and what do they suggest to do about it. Can't be a pretty sight! This was supposed to be her year.

And i confess. I never thought Obama would be in this position. I thought the Clinton machine was just too big and powerful.

Keep in mind that in political circles, the greatest campaign of the 20th Century is generally considered to be Gerald Ford's '76 campagin, in which he closed a 33-point gap to a 2-point gap. So, just closing a huge deficit to a narrow loss will continue to bolster Obama's claim for the nomination.

If he wins Texas and Ohio, it's over.
If he wins Texas and loses Ohio by a narrow margin, it probably is still over.
If he loses both, the campaign continues.

Survey of 851 Likely Dem Primary Voters
February 28, 2008

Fifty-six percent (55%) of those surveyed were women, 45% were men.

Eleven percent (11%) were under 30, 38% aged 30-49, and 51% were over 50.

Eighty-one percent (84%) of those surveyed were white while 81% were Democrats.

When they called me and asked who I was voting for and I said Obama, they just said, "ok, thank you," and politely hung up.

I have a staff of 14 students. I don't know how one of them is voting, but the rest are all Obama supporters.