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ARG: Bush and Kerry tied in New Mexico, Bush Leads New Hampshire

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mobuto Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 01:21 PM
Original message
ARG: Bush and Kerry tied in New Mexico, Bush Leads New Hampshire
ARG polled 600 likely voters in New Mexico, March 30 - April 1.

Bush 46%
Kerry 45%
Nader 3%
Undecided 6%
MOE ± 4 percentage points

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/nm/

ARG polled 600 likely voters in New Hampshire, March 30 - April 1.

New Hampshire

Bush 48%
Kerry 43%
Nader 3%
Undecided 6%
MOE ± 4 percentage points

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/nh/

This is reputable poll and shows just how close this race is.
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Kathleen04 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 01:28 PM
Response to Original message
1. Kerry's going to have to fight hard for NM
It's going to be really close there.

I really don't understand why New Hampshire votes the way it does, but this fits the usual pattern.
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JI7 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 01:42 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. in 2000 new mexico was close and did a recount i think
or hand counting of ballots. but i think it was one where we had to wait until after election day for results because it was so close. gore ended up winning i hear because of overseas military ballots. and they say gore actually won the military vote in new mexico. this should be a positive thing for kerry in new mexico if the trend holds because of his own service.
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mobuto Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 01:45 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. New Mexico also has Bill Richardson as its Governor
And Bill Richardson may just be the most popular Governor in the nation. He's also an extremely partisan Democrat who will do what he can to deliver his state. He's also been floated as a possible VP contender. I don't know if there's any merit to that, but if he is, New Mexico will no longer be a swing state.
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Kathleen04 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 01:47 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. He himself seems like he's shut down the VP idea..but...
it would be excellent if he were out there campaigning on behalf Kerry in NM!
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JI7 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 02:03 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. i think that would be enough to help kerry
i think new mexico is swing state, but one where kerry has a better and easier chance of winning than most other swing states.and with richardson not just campaigning for kerry but being head of the democratic convention should be enough to help kerry with the state. i would rather have a southerner on the ticket as vp. this is because geography seems to be a factor in people's voting mostly in the south and not as much or at all in the rest of the country.
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Kathleen04 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 02:09 PM
Response to Reply #10
13. I think it would be excellent if Kerry...
could get together a group of popular incumbent Democrats (ones who aren't facing their own re-election and have the time) to heavily campaign for him in their own states. I think this would give Kerry a bit of a boost, especially in swing states.

This is election is slow close that I think a move like that, getting the right people out there campaigning for him in the states where they are considered most influential could make a big difference.
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INTELBYTES Donating Member (881 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 01:31 PM
Response to Original message
2. So this is two blue states from 2000 that will fall if shrub wins?
WTF? How many electoral votes do these two states hold?
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mobuto Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 01:33 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. New Mexico went for Gore, New Hampshire went for Bush
New Mexico has five electoral votes, New Hampshire has four.
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INTELBYTES Donating Member (881 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 01:36 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Thanks for the info!
Edited on Fri Apr-02-04 01:37 PM by INTELBYTES
What's up with New Hampshire?
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mobuto Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 01:56 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. Republicans, lots of Republicans
New Hampshire is where all of the Republicans who used to live in Massachusetts and Vermont have fled to.
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 01:53 PM
Response to Original message
8. It Shows Nader Throwing the Election to Bush*, Again
> ARG polled 600 likely voters in New Mexico, March 30 - April 1.

> Bush 46%
> Kerry 45%
> Nader 3%

Nader's 3% is Bush's margin of victory. Just like in 2000.
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The Magistrate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 02:04 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. Wrecker Nader, Sir
Will not actually get so much as half a percent of the vote on election day, whatever people may say now: people are not nearly so stupid as they are often given credit for, and the degree of stupidity it would take to actually vote for this wretch is vanishingly rare....

"We would have had Socialism long ago, if not for the Socialists."

"LET'S GO GET THOSE BUSH BASTARDS!"
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mobuto Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 02:06 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. "Wrecker," Magistrate?
You should at least afford him the dignity of being a Bukharanite kulak.

Cheers.
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The Magistrate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 02:15 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. Why, Sir?
The stripping of any dignity whatever is the first step towards utter destruction: this creature is worth no more respect than anything else you would scrape off a shoe after an unfortunate step while walking in the park. He is a witting accomplice of the worst elements of reaction in our polity, doing all in his power to see that they continue in the office they usurped with his previous assistance.

"Kill one, warn one hundred."

"LET'S GO GET THOSE BUSH BASTARDS!"
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mobuto Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 02:27 PM
Response to Reply #14
17. Stalinist epithets are so rich
that I think its a shame to let Ralph Nader get by as only a "wrecker."

How about calling him a Vlasovite?

Andrei Andreevich Vlasov was the notorious Soviet General who was captured by the Nazis, and who then volunteered to lead an army against his own country.
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The Magistrate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 02:41 PM
Response to Reply #17
18. That Would Be An Appropriate One, My Friend
As it conveys the sense of treason that is so appropriate here. It is a more obscure epithet, though, and it is my preference to select, from among the rich resources of the boiler-plate, items that are understandable to those unfamiliar with that argot....

"There will be a holiday in our street soon!"

"LET'S GO GET THOSE BUSH BASTARDS!"
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Snivi Yllom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 02:17 PM
Response to Original message
15. WTF? New Hampshire, wasn't Bush down 20pts there?
total bullshit
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Killarney Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-02-04 02:17 PM
Response to Original message
16. Ugh... I just don't get NH.
It's like a slice of the South in the Northeast.
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