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Clinton wins elections, Obama wins caucuses. The GE is an election.

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elixir Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:23 AM
Original message
Clinton wins elections, Obama wins caucuses. The GE is an election.
That just about sums it up. You can protest all you want about how a 60 year old woman is treating your youngster. And you can cry that you'll vote for McCain (yeah, riiiight), but, Hillary will win in the general election, Obama will not.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/anatole_kaletsky/article3492457.ece
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Guava Jelly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:24 AM
Response to Original message
1. I respectfully disagree
..
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Kittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:25 AM
Response to Original message
2. Apparently we now only count the primaries that Clinton has one.
It's bizzaro world in the clinton camp :crazy:
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angie_love Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:25 AM
Response to Original message
3. Um Obama has won as many primaries as well you know.
Stop spreading lies.
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kentuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:26 AM
Response to Original message
4. Then how do you explain...
that Obama is ahead even in the popular vote at the moment, even with Florida counted.
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TwilightGardener Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:26 AM
Response to Original message
5. Hilary endorsed McCain. I'd have to be a fool not to at least consider
a man who has many more years of experience and service to his country than she has. And they have the same poor judgment concerning Iraq. She's made me take a whole new look at him.
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elixir Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:42 AM
Response to Reply #5
25. She didn't endorse him, but, you'll keep using that line because you can't admit that BO is weak on
national security. Keep up the illusion.
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TwilightGardener Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:57 AM
Response to Reply #25
32. He's not. He has the judgment to know the difference between
a worthwhile war and a fucking stupid one. Your gal doesn't. She's the one with no creds.
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NDambi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:27 AM
Response to Original message
6. okay...lol
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CATagious Donating Member (277 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:28 AM
Response to Original message
7. Hillary will not win the GE....
because she won't be in it. So, sorry.
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mrreowwr_kittty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:28 AM
Response to Original message
8. McCain has won more primaries than Clinton has. nt
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marmar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:28 AM
Response to Original message
9. Nice pretzel logic.....
:eyes:

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Raffi Ella Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:30 AM
Response to Original message
10. Bingo.
Shout out to all my fellow Hillary supporter's out there :hi: Just remember,this is why they are shouting you down and so angry now - Hang tough!
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Dogmudgeon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:39 AM
Response to Reply #10
20. The more they rant, the more I know that Hillary has won.
There's only one reason people rant and hate and sputter -- it's when they are wrong and are too vain to reconsider their behavior. Mr. Rofl replaces dialog, and raw hatred replaces honest inquiry. The name calling starts; the skin becomes tissue-thin. And blame is put on some convenient enemy.

I've seen it more times than I care to remember. It's going to kill the modern GOP, and it's going to sink Obama.

--p!
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dionysus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:44 AM
Response to Reply #10
28. plz explain... she won't win more elections, or more delegates...
how will she be the nominee?
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:30 AM
Response to Original message
11. He's won just as many primaries as dirty hilly
so your premise is fatally flawed. Furthermore, it's you hilldroids that whimper and whine at every turn. obama will dismantle dirty hilly's campaign and we'll be able to toss her on the ash heap of history.
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:41 AM
Response to Reply #11
24. first one to name-call in this thread. congratulations
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elixir Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:44 AM
Response to Reply #24
29. It's always Cali. She's like the bad girl in junior high that you were always afraid to make eye
contact w/ in the hallway. She's scary and isn't afraid to cus.

EEEKK!!!!

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MonkeyFunk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:46 AM
Response to Reply #24
30. Surely you're not surprised
She's devolved to grade-school level name-calling. It's a shame - she used to be somewhat reasonable.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 12:24 PM
Response to Reply #24
35. I'm sick of lies.
I'm sick of dirty hilly and her filthy ways. I'm sick of hillbots too.
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Phillycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 03:08 PM
Response to Reply #35
58. Didn't you get suspended for this sort of behavior recently?
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JimGinPA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:30 AM
Response to Original message
12. I'm Pretty Sure Obama Has Won More Elections Than The Former First Lady Too
:dunce:
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Tom Rinaldo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:30 AM
Response to Original message
13. The OP cited doesn't even mention caucuses anywhere in it
I think your OP title is misleading. It's a good subject for discussion but not what is discussed at your link. Meanwhile, I thought the OP you linked to was well reasoned and deserves discussion based on it's actual content.
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Political Heretic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:32 AM
Response to Original message
14. Obama wins both.
And closes 20+ point gaps on presumptive nominees... over and over and over and over again.

He also has the most pledged delegates, has the popular vote, has the most states and has the most money.

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Kelvin Mace Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:32 AM
Response to Original message
15. Either candidate will win against McCain
unless the primary is decided by arbitrary means (Superdelegates voting against the will of the people).

In which case, we will lose.

http://thoughtcrimes.org/s9/index.php?/archives/2306-The-only-losing-scenario-for-Democrats.html
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npincus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:33 AM
Response to Original message
16. Democrats will fall in line, whoever is nominated.
While there is a loathsome chimp in office blue states will stay blue, and I bet we'll turn some red ones.

There has been a lot of repub mischief in the open primaries,l but you won't find repubs caucusing for dems, therefore Hillary is not carrying them.

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printpolitico Donating Member (87 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:33 AM
Response to Original message
17. I support U elixir
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elixir Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 12:25 PM
Response to Reply #17
36. Thanks. Now, follow me behind Hillary.
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printpolitico Donating Member (87 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 12:50 PM
Response to Reply #36
38. I may be leading the way
I was campaigning at my local coffee shop @ 5 am this morning. another one converted. Go HRC
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Exilednight Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:33 AM
Response to Original message
18. Hmmm, looking at a map I see ....
Obama has won more:

Caucuses
Open primary elections
Closed primary elections
Pledged Delegates
Overall Delegates
Overall Votes
------------------------------------------

Hillary has won more:

Super Delegates

------------------------------------------

Do you actually win super delegates, if not, then she hasn't much of anything.
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girl gone mad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 12:57 PM
Response to Reply #18
39. Ahh... relevant facts.
Greeted by Clinton supporters with the sound of crickets chirping.
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John Q. Citizen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:36 AM
Response to Original message
19. Wisconsin was an election. So was MD, VA, DE, IL,SC, VT, MO, DC, and
HI, The Virgin Island and the Democrats abroad vote.

In fact, Obama has won more elections in this race than Hillary has.

He's also won more caucuses.

Obama's also ran and been elected far more time than Hillary has in her life.

Hillary is bad for other Democrats winning elections though. Look what happened to the party when her and Bill were in the White House. They lost both houses of congress for the first time if 40 years.

Thanks a bunch, Hill.
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Exilednight Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:39 AM
Response to Reply #19
21. Clinton supporters don't want to hear about the down ticket vote.
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:39 AM
Response to Original message
22. Good Karma--yes she will win in the GE
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The Stranger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:40 AM
Response to Original message
23. CAUCUS GOERS GET OUT THE VOTE LEADING TO MORE SUPPORTERS AT THE VOTING BOOTH.
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dionysus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:43 AM
Response to Original message
26. pssst, she doesn't and won't have the delegates to be the nomination...wake up...
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VotesForWomen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 02:51 PM
Response to Reply #26
50. uh, neither will obama. wake up. nt
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:43 AM
Response to Original message
27. Very true
Obama has been able to exploit the loose structure of the caucus system to his benefit, but it won't translate into a win in the GE.

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DearAbby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 12:29 PM
Response to Reply #27
37. Obama didnt attend our Caucus...I have no idea how
he could exploit anything. Compared to here, people at our caucus were pretty civil even downright friendly. It was great meeting fellow Democrats.

Caucus only represents a small portion of voters. I am sure more voters will show up at the voting booths in November, then were there at the Caucus.
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yurbud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 11:46 AM
Response to Original message
31. this kind of retarded perception management might work on people who get their news from TV but...
here at DU, it is a waste of keystrokes, and reflects poorly on the poster.
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ProgressiveEconomist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 12:02 PM
Response to Original message
33. FALSE! Obama has won 15 of 27 state primares so far, as well as 12 of 13 caucuses
so far, according to my spreadsheet of CNN data.

Obama's vote margin over Hillary in those 27 primaries is 371,000, and his margin over Hillary in those 13 caucuses is 200,000.

See the spreadsheet and CNN links at URL http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4918049 .
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Bigleaf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 12:14 PM
Response to Original message
34. Unfortunately, she CAN'T win this one. The numbers don't lie.
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ContinentalOp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 01:03 PM
Response to Original message
40. The caucus system is weird.
So is the electoral college. I want a candidate who knows how the system works and can put a strategy in place to actually win.
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Vinca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 01:04 PM
Response to Original message
41. Somehow I have a hard time believing all the Democrats who
cast votes for Hillary in the "important" states will not vote for Obama in order to get a Democrat in the White House. Obama has an advantage because not only will he get people who voted for Hillary, he'll have his own following, Independents and disaffected Republicans who want the war to end. He's done well in some red states and there's a possibility he might pick off 1 or 2 in the general election. The "she's won the important states" meme doesn't play.
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AnarchoFreeThinker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 01:05 PM
Response to Original message
42. you're a riot. never has anyone invested so much energy in being wrong.
fallacies that she can win in the fall:

fallacy 1: Clinton could win OH the same way she won it against Barack: by capturing the rural vote. Sorry, but those will all be McCain's. Which leaves her with the cities, which Barack won. So who votes for Clinton in Ohio?

fallacy 2: Barack didn't beat Hillary in swing states. Wisconsin, Iowa, Missouri, Colorado, etc. prove that wrong.

fallacy 3: some states that were blue last time aren't trending red and are safe if Hillary is the nominee. There's Hawaii: poised to be red in the fall, unless the native son runs.

fallacy 4: Florida is a swing state. No, sorry: Florida is a red state, with the red apparatus in place, red rules, red voter registration, a red governor, and red dirty politics. The single smartest thing democrats can do in the fall is ignore Florida--or make a show effort there that forces MacBombIran to splash out some cash. But Dems will NOT carry it.

fallacy 5: Only Hillary can win the biggest true blue big states in the Fall, because she won them in the primary. Which of these big blues will go to McCain: California, New York? Please.

fallacy 6: Hillary can turnout the vote to unseat a single traditionally red state. Show me where. By contrast, Virginia, marginally red last time, looks like a possible switch to blue with Barack at the top of the ticket. Even North Carolina and Georgia might be doable, but only if Clinton's instant and automated GOP GOTV isn't in play.

fallacy 7: The candidates bring equal turnouts to the table. True--but not necessarily to the benefit of the Democratic Party. One candidate brings new voters and motivated Democrats, the other brings termites out of the woodwork to vote against her. One has crossover appeal without Rush Limbaugh's help, the other doesn't. One can help downticket races, the other drags down the ticket.
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ContinentalOp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 01:40 PM
Response to Reply #42
46. Great post!
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Scriptor Ignotus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 01:29 PM
Response to Original message
43. Scoreboard. - nt
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anonymous171 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 01:30 PM
Response to Original message
44. Clinton wins closed primaries. Obama wins open caucuses
The GE is an open primary.
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RiverStone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 01:36 PM
Response to Original message
45. Obama is ahead by over 600K in the popular national vote total....
Sounds like an election to me.
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neverforget Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 01:52 PM
Response to Original message
47. So is Hillary giving up her Nevada Caucus delegates?
:shrug:
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VotesForWomen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 02:44 PM
Response to Original message
48. yep; Obama zealots will not be able to brow-beat people into supporting their candidate. nt
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galadrium Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 02:45 PM
Response to Original message
49. Hillary has got to win the primary first... hows that going?
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ElsewheresDaughter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 02:51 PM
Response to Original message
51. A Bucket of Truth!
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Dawgs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 02:53 PM
Response to Reply #51
53. Except the truth is that Obama has won just as many primary elections as Hillary.
And won almost all of the caucases.
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ElsewheresDaughter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 03:07 PM
Response to Reply #53
57. Obama can only win with the 1 time Rethuglican crossover Primary votes..
Edited on Fri Mar-07-08 03:14 PM by ElsewheresDaughter
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mculator Donating Member (658 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 02:51 PM
Response to Original message
52. When you're right, you're right.
kudos @ K&R
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Dawgs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 02:54 PM
Response to Reply #52
54. But they are not right.
Obama has won just as many primary elections as Hillary.

Sorry. :shrug:
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otohara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 02:55 PM
Response to Original message
55. Caucus States Don't Matter
the insult 30 state strategy continues.
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mohc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 03:07 PM
Response to Original message
56. Delegate counts: Primary vs Caucus
Edited on Fri Mar-07-08 03:44 PM by mohc
Primary:
Obama 1079.5
Clinton 1061.5
Lead 18

Caucus:
Obama 299
Clinton 167
Lead 132

Total:
Obama 1378.5
Clinton 1228.5
Lead 150

Obama and Clinton are basically even in primaries, but he is ahead nonetheless. Obama is way ahead in the caucuses, and almost all of his total lead comes from this. But to say Clinton is winning the primaries is just flat out wrong. Obama has more primary delegates, more primary votes, and more primary state wins than Clinton, by all measures he is winning.

Update: Including Vote Totals
Primary popular vote totals:
Obama 12,619,783
Clinton 12,216,674
Lead 403,109

Primaries won:
Obama 16
Clinton 13

Caucuses won:
Obama 12
Clinton 2
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